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2015 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

DEAによる予測の理論と応用に関する研究

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25282090
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Principal Investigator

刀根 薫  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 名誉教授 (00051235)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 福山 博文  福岡大学, 商学部, 教授 (80218958)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
KeywordsDEA / Forecast / Efficiency / Bankruptcy / Dynamic-Network DEA
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

We completed the following researches in 2015.
1. Resampling in DEA (Tone): We developed a new resampling model in DEA including future forecast, and applied the model to the dataset comprised of 19 municipal hospitals over three years in Japan.
2. Quatitative analysis of market oppotunity utilization in electric power companies (Tsutsui, Tone): We analized the System Reform in the electricity industry in Japan. The role of "Trading Division" is clarified under several different conditions.
3. Out-of-Sample evaluation framework for DEA with application in bankruptcy prediction (Ouenniche, Tone): We first introduced "Out-of-Sample" evaluation to DEA, and applied it to bankruptcy prediction model.
4. A dynamic-network slacks-based measure with an application to Japanes prefectures (Fukuyama, Hashimoto, Tone, Weber): We applied DN-SBM model where total output is jointly produced from human capital and phisical capital. The model is applied using pooled data on 47 Japanese prefectures during the period 2007-2009.

Research Progress Status

27年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

27年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Causes of Carryover

27年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Expenditure Plan for Carryover Budget

27年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All 2016 2015

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] DEA Scores' Confidence Intervals with Past-Present and Past-Present-Future Based Resampling2016

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Tone, Jamal Ouenniche
    • Journal Title

      American Journal of Operations Research

      Volume: 6 Pages: 121-135

    • DOI

      org/10.4236/ajor.2016.62015

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] How to deal with Non-convex Frontiers in Data Envelopment Analysis2015

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Tone, Miki Tsutsui
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications

      Volume: 166 Pages: 1002-1028

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10957-014-0626-3

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] DEA models incorporating future performance2015

    • Author(s)
      Tsung-Sheng Chang, Kaoru Tone, Chew-Hui Wu
    • Organizer
      Workshop 2015 Advances in DEA Theory and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-01 – 2015-12-02
  • [Presentation] Resampling in Data Envelopment Analysis illustrated by a hospital example2015

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Tone
    • Organizer
      Workshop 2015 Advances in DEA Theory and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-01 – 2015-12-02
  • [Presentation] SBM variations revisited2015

    • Author(s)
      Kaoru Tone
    • Organizer
      INFORMS
    • Place of Presentation
      Philadelphia, USA
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-01 – 2015-11-04
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Funded Workshop] Workshop on Advances in DEA Theory and Applications2015

    • Place of Presentation
      政策研究大学院大学(東京都港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-01 – 2015-12-02

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Published: 2017-01-06  

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