Study of evacuation plan in metropolitan area concerning complex disaster

2015 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 25702018
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (A)
• Allocation Type: Partial Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Social systems engineering/Safety system
• Research Institution: Nagoya University
• Principal Investigator: HIROI U 名古屋大学, 減災連携研究センター, 准教授 (50456141)
• Project Period (FY): 2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
• Keywords: 都市防災 / 避難シミュレーション / 市街地火災 / 帰宅困難者 / 大都市

Outline of Final Research Achievements

we built "Evacuation Simulation in Metropolitan Area" for the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. The simulation can evaluate policies for stranded commuters and provide several risk maps of heavy traffic in catastrophic disaster, using decision making model and movement data in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area on the Great East-Japan Earthquake. As a result, if catastrophic disaster occurs and everyone goes home all together in metropolitan area, we calculated that heavy traffic will overload the trunk lines for many hours in wide area and huge people(for example, six people in a square meter) along some sidewalks.

Free Research Field

都市防災