2015 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Measurment of tourism benefit in Tohoku region
| Project/Area Number |
25870649
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Economic policy
Environmental agriculture(including landscape science)
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| Research Institution | Hokusei Gakuen University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
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| Keywords | 風評被害 / 観光便益 / ポアソン逆正規変量効果モデル |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Our study measures the recreational benefits lost due to the economic damage caused by harmful rumors spread over the three-year period from the Great East Japan Earthquake (the Earthquake) until the present. We analyzed revealed preference (RP) data on the number of actual visits to Fukushima Prefecture and stated preference (SP) data on the number of visits that would have occurred under the hypothetical condition that the radiation accident had not occurred. In order to estimate the demand function, we consider a Poisson-inverse-Gaussian regression model with correction for on-site sampling and expand it into the random effect model framework, which is called the Poisson-inverse-Gaussian random effect model. Our results show that Fukushima Prefecture lost approximately \3.745 trillion of recreational benefits over the past three years.
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| Free Research Field |
環境経済
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