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2018 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

Diverse Risk Assessment in the Global Economy from the Viewpoint of International Economics

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26220503
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

石川 城太  一橋大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (80240761)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 阿部 顕三  大阪大学, 経済学研究科, 教授 (00175902)
大久保 敏弘  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部(三田), 教授 (80510255)
木村 福成  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部(三田), 教授 (90265918)
古澤 泰治  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 教授 (80272095)
柳川 範之  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 教授 (80255588)
趙 来勲  神戸大学, 経済経営研究所, 教授 (70261394)
Project Period (FY) 2014-05-30 – 2019-03-31
Keywordsグローバリゼーション / 国際経済学 / リスク / 国際金融市場 / グローバルな環境問題 / 生産ネットワーク / 大規模災害
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

(課題1)国際金融市場に関わるリスク:バブルと経済成長の関係がグローバル化によってどのような影響を受けるかの分析を進め、バブルの際の資金移動、バブルの国際的な連鎖崩壊の可能性などを理論的に解明した。国際貿易が国内所得分配に与える影響を理論的に分析し、国際貿易は高・低所得層の実質賃金を上昇させるが、中所得層の実質賃金を減少させうることを示した。
(課題2)グローバルな環境問題:外国からの政府開発援助による経済開発から環境の悪化がもたらされるような状況を想定し、政府開発援助が受入国の資源配分や経済厚生に及ぼす影響を分析した。とくに援助受入国が援助によって経済厚生を低下させる状況を示した。環境政策を包括的に入れた国際貿易及び空間経済の理論モデルを構築し、スウェーデンの企業データを用いてモデルから得られた仮説を検証した。輸出企業ほど汚染集約度が低いことなどを示した。
(課題3)国際的な生産ネットワークに伴うリスク:輸出とFDIとを比較すると、FDIの方が現地企業に近い分、現地企業による生産技術模倣のリスクが高いと予想される。しかし、現地企業にとって模倣のための投資が必要だとこの予想が必ずしも正しくないことを示した。日本の企業レベルのデータを用いて、企業活動のグローバル化と雇用のボラティリティの関係を分析し、輸出のみを行っている企業は貿易を行っていない企業と比べて雇用のボラティリティが低いことを示した。
(課題4)大規模災害リスク:阪神大震災や関東大震災が企業の生産性、存続・退出、企業の機械の更新や性能の向上に及ぼした影響を企業・工場レベルのミクロデータを用いて計量分析し、災害によるクレンジング効果や創造的破壊仮説を確認した。災害の経済学における創造的破壊仮説を関東大震災時の横浜市の企業レベルデータを用いて検証した。災害によって大きな被災を受けるほど機械の買い替えが進んだことが分かった。

Research Progress Status

平成30年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

平成30年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

  • Research Products

    (76 results)

All 2019 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (6 results) Journal Article (18 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 11 results,  Peer Reviewed: 17 results) Presentation (39 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 33 results,  Invited: 20 results) Book (5 results) Remarks (1 results) Funded Workshop (7 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Boston College/University of Hawaii(米国)

    • Country Name
      U.S.A.
    • Counterpart Institution
      Boston College/University of Hawaii
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Graduate Institute Geveva/University of Bern(スイス)

    • Country Name
      SWITZERLAND
    • Counterpart Institution
      Graduate Institute Geveva/University of Bern
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Kiel Institute for World Economy/IFO Institute(ドイツ)

    • Country Name
      GERMANY
    • Counterpart Institution
      Kiel Institute for World Economy/IFO Institute
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of New South Wales(オーストラリア)

    • Country Name
      AUSTRALIA
    • Counterpart Institution
      University of New South Wales
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Birmingham(英国)

    • Country Name
      UNITED KINGDOM
    • Counterpart Institution
      University of Birmingham
  • [Int'l Joint Research]

    • # of Other Countries
      3
  • [Journal Article] Regional variations in exporters' productivity premium: Theory and evidence2019

    • Author(s)
      Okubo Toshihiro、Tomiura Eiichi
    • Journal Title

      Review of International Economics

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      doi.org/10.1111/roie.12398

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] GVC journeys: Industrialisation and deindustrialisation in the age of the second unbundling2019

    • Author(s)
      Baldwin Richard、Okubo Toshihiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 52 Pages: 53~67

    • DOI

      doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2019.02.003

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Creative Destruction of Industries: Yokohama City in the Great Kanto Earthquake, 19232019

    • Author(s)
      Okazaki Tetsuji、Okubo Toshihiro、Strobl Eric
    • Journal Title

      The Journal of Economic History

      Volume: 79 Pages: 1~31

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050718000748

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Natural disasters and spatial heterogeneity in damages: the birth, life and death of manufacturing plants2019

    • Author(s)
      Cole Matthew A、Elliott Robert J R、Okubo Toshihiro、Strobl Eric
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Geography

      Volume: 19 Pages: 373~408

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbx037

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement2019

    • Author(s)
      Felbermayr Gabriel、Kimura Fukunari、Okubo Toshihiro、Steininger Marina
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 51 Pages: 110~128

    • DOI

      doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2018.12.007

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] International Trade and Income Inequality2019

    • Author(s)
      Furusawa Taiji、Konishi Hideo、Tran Duong Lam Anh
    • Journal Title

      The Scandinavian Journal of Economics

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1111/sjoe.12360

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] How do Business Startup Modes Affect Economic Growth?2019

    • Author(s)
      Zhao Laixun and C. Davis
    • Journal Title

      Canadian Journal of Economics

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] WHAT'S BEHIND THE FIGURES? QUANTIFYING THE CROSS-COUNTRY EXPORTER PRODUCTIVITY GAP2019

    • Author(s)
      Kiyota Kozo、Matsuura Toshiyuki、Nesta Lionel
    • Journal Title

      Economic Inquiry

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12769

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Firm Performance and Macro Forecast Accuracy2019

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka Mari、Bloom Nicholas、David Joel M.、Koga Maiko
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Monetary Economics

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.02.008

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Exporting Sweatshops? Evidence from Myanmar2019

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka Mari
    • Journal Title

      The Review of Economics and Statistics

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00827

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Short and Long Recall Errors in Retrospective Household Surveys: Evidence from a Developing Country2019

    • Author(s)
      Sawada Yasuyuki、Nakata Hiroyuki、Tanaka Mari
    • Journal Title

      The Journal of Development Studies

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2018.1539478

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How Does Import Processing Time Impact Export Patterns?2019

    • Author(s)
      Hayakawa Kazunobu、Laksanapanyakul Nuttawut、Yoshimi Taiyo
    • Journal Title

      The World Economy

      Volume: 印刷中 Pages: 印刷中

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12789

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Trade liberalization, absorptive capacity and the protection of intellectual property rights2018

    • Author(s)
      Ghosh Arghya、Ishikawa Jota
    • Journal Title

      Review of International Economics

      Volume: 26 Pages: 997~1020

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12367

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 米通商政策と世界経済2018

    • Author(s)
      石川城太
    • Journal Title

      国際問題

      Volume: 677 Pages: 6~16

  • [Journal Article] Value Chain Connectivity in Indonesia: The Evolution of Unbundlings2018

    • Author(s)
      Kimura Fukunari、Chen Lurong
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies

      Volume: 54 Pages: 165~192

    • DOI

      doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2018.1505412

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Measuring the usage of preferential tariffs in the world2018

    • Author(s)
      Hayakawa Kazunobu、Kimura Fukunari、Laksanapanyakul Nuttawut
    • Journal Title

      Review of World Economics

      Volume: 154 Pages: 705~723

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10290-018-0321-9

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Unbundling Regimes and Development Strategies in ASEAN: Old Issues and New Challenges2018

    • Author(s)
      Kimura Fukunari
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Southeast Asian Economies

      Volume: 35(1) Pages: 13-21

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Earnings, savings, and job satisfaction in a labor-intensive export sector: Evidence from the cut flower industry in Ethiopia2018

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Aya、Mano Yukichi、Abebe Girum
    • Journal Title

      World Development

      Volume: 110 Pages: 176~191

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.05.029

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Licensing from North to South with South's R&D Opportunity2019

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      14th Australasian Trade Workshop
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Tax Havens and Cross-border Licensing2019

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      The 1st Hawaii-Hitotsubashi-Keio (H2K) Workshopon International Economics
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Transfer Pricing and Arm's Length's Principle under Imperfect Competition2019

    • Author(s)
      Taiji Furusawa
    • Organizer
      China-Japan Workshop on International Economics
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Transfer Pricing and the Arm's Length Principle under Imperfect Competition2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      Hitotsubashi-Peking University Second Economics Workshop
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Licensing from North to South with South's R&D Opportunity2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      Asia Pacific Trade Seminars
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Transfer Pricing and the Arm's Length Principle under Imperfect Competition2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      The 45th EARIE (European Association for Research in Industrial Economics) Annual Conference
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] マルチからリージョナルへの潮流2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      経済通商フォーラム
  • [Presentation] Licensing from North to South with South's R&D Opportunity2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      Deakin 5th Trade & Development Workshop
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Licensing from North to South with South's R&D Opportunity2018

    • Author(s)
      Jota Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      Asia-Pacific Industrial Organisation Conference
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Export Orientation and Firm Innovation: The role of culture and governance2018

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Okubo
    • Organizer
      10th GEP-China Conference on China and the Unraveling of Globalization
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Value Chain Connectivity in Indonesia: the Evolution of Unbundlings2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      The 12th Sadli Lecture, LPEM FEB UI & ANU Indonesia Project
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Value Chain Connectivity in Indonesia: the Evolution of Unbundlings2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      The Mubyarto Public Policy Forum
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Future Direction of Regional Connectivity in the Asia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific Region2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      Symposium on "Fostering Regional Connectivity in the Indo-Pacific Region: Connecting the Connectivities"
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Continuing Agenda and New Challenges: MPAC 2025 and Beyond2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      Workshop on "Latest Developments of Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC) 2025 and Connectivity in the Region"
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Unbundlings and Development Strategies in Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      The 6th OECD-AMRO-ADB/ADBI-ERIA Asian Regional Roundtable on Macroeconomic and Structural Policies
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The Importance of the Unfinished Business of the Bogol Goals for Modern Trade Dynamics: Evolving International Division of Labor and International Commercial Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      2018 Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue on APEC Toward 2020 and Beyond
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Challenge 3: Strengthening Regional/Global Value Chains in Japan and Indonesia2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      The 2nd Executive Committee Meeting for Project 2045
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Technology Transfer/spillover and International Rule Making in the 2nd and 3rd Unbundling2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      WTO Public Forum 2018
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Turbulence in the World Trade Regime and the Japan-EU Economic Partnership2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      TCAS Lunchtime Lecture on Economic Reform in Japan and the Japan-EU Economic Partnership Agreement, Trinity Centre for Asian Studies
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The EU-Japan EPA and Its Relevance for the Japanese and Austrian Economies2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      Bundesministeirum fur Digitalisierung und Wirtschaftsstandort
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Turbulance in the World Trade Regime and the Japan-EU Economic Partnership2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      Camara de Comercio e Industria Portuguesa, Seminario Acordo de Parceria Economica UE-Japao
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Promoting the Rule-based Trade Regime: the Role of Japan and East Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura
    • Organizer
      RIETI-ANU-ERIA Symposium "Asia's Response to the Trade War"
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The Digital and Fourth Industrial Revolution and ASEAN Economic Transformation2018

    • Author(s)
      Fukunari Kimura, Rashesh Shresta,
    • Organizer
      ERIA and Chulalongkorn University, Roundtable Discussion on Technological Revolution, ASEAN Transformation, People Empowerment, and ASEAN Identity
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Relationship Specificity, Market Thickness, and International Trade2018

    • Author(s)
      Taiji Furusawa
    • Organizer
      CAGEO International Workshop on Trade and Trade Policy
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Chinese Hukou system and Chinese exports2018

    • Author(s)
      Laixun Zhao
    • Organizer
      Asian Pacific Trade Seminars annual meeting
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Product quality and antidumping filings2018

    • Author(s)
      Laixun Zhao
    • Organizer
      World economy youth forum
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How do political conflicts affect bilateral trade2018

    • Author(s)
      Laixun Zhao
    • Organizer
      Tsinghua Wudaokou Conference on U.S.-China Trade Disputes
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] What's Behind the Figures? Quantifying the Cross-Country Exporter Productivity Gap2018

    • Author(s)
      Kozo Kiyota
    • Organizer
      Midwest International Economics, Fall 2018 Meeting
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Disasters and International Risk Sharing: The Effectiveness of Market and Non-Market Insurance in Asia2018

    • Author(s)
      Yasuyuki Sawada
    • Organizer
      Aid for Trade in Asia and the Pacific: Promoting Connectivity for Inclusive Development
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 自縄自縛か礼節か? 日本のアンチダンピング政策2018

    • Author(s)
      柴山千里
    • Organizer
      中京大学経済研究所セミナー
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Sugita
    • Organizer
      Hitotsubashi-PKU Economics Workshop
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      杉田洋一
    • Organizer
      日本国際経済学会関東部会
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoich Sugita
    • Organizer
      ミクロ経済学ワークショップ
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A Solution to the Melitz-Trefler Puzzle2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Sugita
    • Organizer
      Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      杉田洋一
    • Organizer
      経済学シンポジウム
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Sugita
    • Organizer
      HIAS Summer Institute: International Trade and FDI 2018
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Sugita
    • Organizer
      Asia Forum of International Economics
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Wage Markdowns and FDI Liberalization2018

    • Author(s)
      杉田洋一
    • Organizer
      特別セミナー「市場の質と現代経済」
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A Scarce but Trustworthy Workforce? Family Labor in the Lao Textile Industry2018

    • Author(s)
      Mari Tanaka, Yasuyuki Sawada
    • Organizer
      Hayami Conference
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 「揺らぐ世界経済秩序と日本 反グローバリズムと保護主義の深層」:中国の過剰生産能力と貿易救済措置(柴山千里)2019

    • Author(s)
      馬田啓一・浦田秀次郎・木村福成・渡邊頼純編著
    • Total Pages
      印刷中
    • Publisher
      文真堂
  • [Book] 「不動産テックの課題」:第1章 第4次産業革命(ブロックチェーン)の進展が社会にもたらす変革と課題(柳川範之)2018

    • Author(s)
      柳川範之、篠崎彰彦、実積寿也、佐久間誠、影島広泰、斉藤賢爾、白川慧一、巻口成憲、小谷祐一朗、芳賀一生、和田ますみ
    • Total Pages
      248
    • Publisher
      東洋経済新報社
    • ISBN
      9784492961407
  • [Book] インフラを科学する―波及効果のエビデンス2018

    • Author(s)
      柳川 範之
    • Total Pages
      208
    • Publisher
      中央経済社
    • ISBN
      978-4-502-28531-8
  • [Book] Socio-Economic Environment and Human Psychology: Capter13, "Disasters, Insurance, and Preferences," Yasuyuki Sawada2018

    • Author(s)
      Edited by Ayse K. Uskul and Shigehiro Oishi
    • Total Pages
      400 (pp.327-349)
    • Publisher
      Oxford University Press
    • ISBN
      9780190492908
  • [Book] Sustaining Economic Growth in Asia: Chapter 7, "Secular Stagnation and the Labor Market in Japan," Kyoji Fukao2018

    • Author(s)
      Jeremie Cohen-Setton, Thomas Helbling, Adam S. Posen, and Changyong Rhee,
    • Total Pages
      458
    • Publisher
      Peterson Institute for International Economics
    • ISBN
      9780881327335
  • [Remarks] グローバル経済におけるリスクの経済分析~国際経済学の視点から~

    • URL

      http://www1.econ.hit-u.ac.jp/getrade/s/index.html

  • [Funded Workshop] Winter International Trade Seminar2019

  • [Funded Workshop] Empirical Investigation on Trade and Investment2019

  • [Funded Workshop] Hitotsubashi Conference on International Trade and FDI 20182018

  • [Funded Workshop] One Belt One Road & U.S.-China Trade Disputes2018

  • [Funded Workshop] Summer Workshop on Economic Theory2018

  • [Funded Workshop] Asian Economic Panel2018

  • [Funded Workshop] Asia Pacific Trade Seminars2018

URL: 

Published: 2019-12-27  

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