Agriculture and Community under Population Aging and Globarization: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis on Japan and East Asia

2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 26292118
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Partial Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Agricultural science in management and economy
• Research Institution: Kobe University
• Principal Investigator: Kinugasa Tomoko 神戸大学, 社会システムイノベーションセンター, 教授 (70324902)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): 山口 三十四 神戸大学, 経済学研究科(研究院), 教授 (90030684) ; 加賀爪 優 京都大学, 学術情報メディアセンター, 研究員 (20101248) ; 福井 清一 京都大学, 農学研究科, 教授 (90134197) ; 近藤 功庸 旭川大学, 経済学部, 教授 (20305874) ; 福本 幸男 大阪経済大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60411386) ; 中川 雅嗣 神戸大学, 経済学研究科, 研究員 (00586638)
• Project Period (FY): 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
• Keywords: グローバル化 / 少子高齢化 / 年齢構成 / 貿易 / 農業 / 効率性 / 日本 / 計量分析

Outline of Final Research Achievements

We analyzed how globalization and population aging affects agriculture and economy in East Asia, including Japan. First, according to simulation analysis using overlapping generations model and general equilibrium growth accounting model, we found that an increase in adult longevity has an important effect on saving rate and that demographic change influences agriculture and industrial structure. Next, we conducted empirical analysis using world panel data and found that age structure influence trade openness significantly. It is indicated that recent dramatic globalization in the world has been partly caused by an increase in share of working-age population in total population.

Free Research Field

農業政策