2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Risk Assessment of Lifeline Disruption using the Comprehensive Database of Earthquake Occurrence Models in and around Japan
Project/Area Number |
26350486
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Section | 一般 |
Research Field |
Natural disaster / Disaster prevention science
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Research Institution | Gifu University |
Principal Investigator |
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Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
久世 益充 岐阜大学, 流域圏科学研究センター, 准教授 (30397319)
杉戸 真太 岐阜大学, 流域圏科学研究センター, 教授 (60115863)
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Project Period (FY) |
2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
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Keywords | ライフライン / 機能的被害 / 機能的復旧 / 地震リスク評価 / リスクカーブ / 地震活動モデル / 地震発生確率 / 地震動予測 |
Outline of Final Research Achievements |
For probabilistic seismic hazard maps produced by the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion,the comprehensive database of earthquake occurrence models in and around Japan is compiled and provided via the website of the Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS). Taking advantage of the database, this study evaluates the relationship between population exposure to five ranks of JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency) seismic intensity scale and the probability of occurrence of earthquakes within 30 years ("P-PEX relation") for all the potential events of earthquake. On this basis, seismic risk curves and expected population exposure are assesses for the period of 30 years. Finally, risk assessment of disruption of utility lifelines are performed for electric power, water and city gas supply focusing on four kinds of duration of disruption: immediately, three days, one week and one month after the earthquake.
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Free Research Field |
地震工学,防災工学,地震ハザード・リスク評価
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