2017 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Dynamics of Public Opinon- Dynamical model of time sereis analysis and experimental investigation
| Project/Area Number |
26780086
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Politics
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| Research Institution | Aichi Gakuin University (2016-2017)
Ehime University (2014-2015) |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
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| Keywords | 投票行動 / 選挙研究 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Do voters intentionally obtain political information and rationally update their party support when the election day is approaching? Originally, this research aimed to answer the question by making a mathematical model and experimental analysis. I formulized voters’ political opinion change as the optimal control problem. However, my empirical research did not support the hypothesis of rational, intentional update of political information. Therefore, I investigated whether voters used irrational non-policy information in political decision making by additional experiments. The results suggested voters were not strongly influenced by non-policy information although they did not rationally obtain political information.
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| Free Research Field |
政治学
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