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Uncertainties of climate variability and change and future projection in mid-latitudes

Planned Research

Project AreaMid-latitude ocean-atmosphere interaction hotspots under the changing climate
Project/Area Number 19H05704
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research on Innovative Areas (Research in a proposed research area)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Review Section Science and Engineering
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

見延 庄士郎  北海道大学, 理学研究院, 教授 (70219707)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 増永 浩彦  名古屋大学, 宇宙地球環境研究所, 准教授 (00444422)
山本 絢子  桜美林大学, リベラルアーツ学群, 准教授 (20811003)
杉本 周作  東北大学, 理学研究科, 准教授 (50547320)
佐々木 克徳  北海道大学, 理学研究院, 准教授 (50604815)
時長 宏樹  九州大学, 応用力学研究所, 教授 (80421890)
釜江 陽一  筑波大学, 生命環境系, 助教 (80714162)
Project Period (FY) 2019-06-28 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥141,050,000 (Direct Cost: ¥108,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥32,550,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥28,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥21,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥6,570,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥30,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥23,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥7,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥28,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥22,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥6,690,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥30,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥23,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥7,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥22,620,000 (Direct Cost: ¥17,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥5,220,000)
Keywords大気海洋変動 / 大気海洋変化 / 高解像度数値モデル / 地球温暖化 / 大気海洋相互作用 / 中緯度 / CMIP6 / HighResMIP / d4PDF / 衛星データ / 高解像度数値モデル解析 / d4PDf
Outline of Research at the Start

日本の南岸に沿って流れる黒潮は,膨大な熱を熱帯から運びそれを日本付近で大気に放出する.この熱放出があることによって,中緯度大気が様々な影響を受けることが,最近十年間の高解像度観測データ解析および数値モデル実験で報告されてきた.しかし,この中緯度海洋が大気に及ぼす影響が異なる数値モデルでも同じように再現されるのか,またこの作用が将来の温暖化においてどのような役割を果たすのかは不明であった.そこで本研究では,これらの問題を解決することを目的として,多数の気候モデル,特に高解像度モデルデータの収集と解析を行う.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

HighResMIPおよびd4PDFのデータを用いた一連の解析を行い、以下の結果を得た。台風の経路の最近数十年のトレンドについて、重要な役割を果たしているのは地球温暖化ではなく、自然変動であるPDO/IPOであることが明らかになった。local wave activity解析を行ってその再現性を調査した。梅雨前線の季節進行の将来変化において、5月中旬に東シナ海から九州にかけて将来気候における降水が有意に増加することがわかった。また、熱帯太平洋-インド洋間の海盆間相互作用が熱帯低気圧活動に及ぼす影響について調べた。エルニーニョ後のインド洋昇温は夏から秋にかけて北西太平洋域の熱帯低気圧を減少させる一方、赤道太平洋の海面水温偏差がモデルで再現される熱帯低気圧の発生数・存在頻度に対し誤差要因となることを突き止めた。さらに、他のデータの解析によって、中緯度における顕著な水蒸気流に伴う極端降水の強度や頻度分布を系統的に調査した。また、北大西洋を北上する顕著な水蒸気流の通過経路の特徴を調査し、広域大気循環や海水温分布との関係を明らかにした。熱帯の対流システムにラグランジュ雲追跡を適用した熱力学的収支解析を実施し、対流システムのラグランジュ的進化は、異なる対流体制間の動的平衡状態に支配されることがわかった。また独自の数値計算実験として、日本の降水への黒潮大蛇行の影響を評価するために、スーパーコンピューターを用いた領域大気モデルによるアンサンブル実験を開始した。計算を終えたものから順次解析を開始している。

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

HighResMIPおよびd4PDFのデータ解析によって、順調に論文が出版され、あるいは投稿・改訂中である。海外研究者および他の計画研究班メンバーと連携することで、大規模アンサンブル実験の解析を効果的に進め、中緯度の移動性擾乱が熱・水循環に果たす役割を調査し、国際共著論文として成果をまとめた。北大西洋の大気海洋相互作用を通じて、高解像度モデルが低解像度モデルよりも、より適切なジェット気流やブロッキングの再現性を示すことについて、論文として出版した。wavinessの解析、また爆弾低気圧の解析については、学術雑誌に論文を投稿し、改訂中である。また、PDO/IPOの台風経路への影響も投稿を行った。さらに、梅雨降水についても、統計的に有意であり、かつモデルの空間解像度依存性を持つ降水の増加を発見している。熱帯太平洋-インド洋間の海盆間相互作用が熱帯低気圧活動に及ぼす影響について論文化するために、気候モデルによる過去気候実験に加え将来気候予測実験を用いて解析中である。また独自の数値実験によって、黒潮大蛇行感度実験結果を解析することで、日本上での降水量の大蛇行への応答特性を明らかにし、合成図解析等を駆使することで海流と陸上降水をつなぐ物理過程を同定する。追加的に水温変化実験を行うことで、海流と降水関係の将来変化の見積りを行う。さらに熱帯対流メカニズムについて得られた結果は、従来知られている発達・成熟・減衰という一方向的なシナリオでは必ずしも捉えきれない実態が明らかになりつつある。さらなる理解の重要性を示唆している。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

HighResMIPおよびd4PDFを用いた研究をさらに進める。特に、将来気候において、5月中旬に東シナ海から九州にかけての梅雨前線に伴う降水が増加するメカニズムについての解析を行う。特に大規模なモンスーンの場との関連について注目する。気候モデルで再現される熱帯低気圧活動に対し、CMIP6のマルチモデル間の不確実性だけでなく、大気の内部変動と強制成分を切り分けるために d4PDF ラージアンサンブル実験を用いてさらに解析を進める予定である。流跡線解析を用いた冬季太平洋におけるブロッキング高気圧への海洋の影響の解析を論文にまとめ投稿する。Local wave activity解析を用い、黒潮の長期変動に伴うブロッキング高気圧の変動について調べる。またそれ以外のデータと手法を駆使して、中緯度を通過する大気擾乱による大気海洋海氷相互作用における役割を評価する。大気の川の通過に伴うオホーツク海海氷密接度の変動を力学的・熱力学的過程に注目して調査する。黒潮大蛇行感度実験結果を解析することで、日本上での降水量の大蛇行への応答特性を明らかにし、合成図解析等を駆使することで海流と陸上降水をつなぐ物理過程を同定する。追加的に水温変化実験を行うことで、海流と降水関係の将来変化の見積りを行う。メキシコ湾流上の日周期変動について、湾流が果たす役割を明らかにするために、領域大気モデルを用いた数値実験を行う。衛星による降水・放射観測を軸とした解析をさらに進め、現象理解を深化させていく。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (178 results)

All 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (10 results) Journal Article (46 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 27 results,  Peer Reviewed: 45 results,  Open Access: 35 results) Presentation (117 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 79 results,  Invited: 21 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (4 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] レディング大学/気象局(英国)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] CERFACS/CNRS(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Max Planck Institute for Meteorology(ドイツ)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] KNMI(オランダ)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] CMCC(イタリア)

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Met Office(英国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ハワイ大学マノア校/大気科学研究所(米国)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] ハワイ大学マノア校/カルフォルニア大学サンディエゴ校/アラバマ大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 大気科学研究所/ワシントン大学/ハワイ大学(米国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] レディング大学/インペリアル大学ロンドン校(英国)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Explaining and Predicting Earth System Change: A World Climate Research Programme Call to Action2023

    • Author(s)
      Findell Kirsten L.、Sutton Rowan、Caltabiano Nico、Brookshaw Anca、Heimbach Patrick、Kimoto Masahide、Osprey Scott、Smith Doug、Risbey James S.、Wang Zhuo、Cheng Lijing、Diaz Leandro B.、Donat Markus G.、Ek Michael、Lee June-Yi、Minobe Shoshiro、Rusticucci Matilde、Vitart Frederic、Wang Lin
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

      Volume: 104 Issue: 1 Pages: E325-E339

    • DOI

      10.1175/bams-d-21-0280.1

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Cold- versus warm-season-forced variability of the Kuroshio and North Pacific subtropical mode water2023

    • Author(s)
      Kawakami Yuma、Nakano Hideyuki、Urakawa L. Shogo、Toyoda Takahiro、Sakamoto Kei、Yamanaka Goro、Sugimoto Shusaku
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 13 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-022-26879-4

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Editorial: North Pacific climate and ecosystem predictability on seasonal to decadal timescales2022

    • Author(s)
      Minobe Shoshiro、Capotondi Antonietta、Chai Fei、Jacox Michael G.、Nonaka Masami、Rykaczewski Ryan R.
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Marine Science

      Volume: 9

    • DOI

      10.3389/fmars.2022.1111272

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Toward Regional Marine Ecological Forecasting Using Global Climate Model Predictions From Subseasonal to Decadal Timescales: Bottlenecks and Recommendations2022

    • Author(s)
      Minobe Shoshiro、Capotondi Antonietta、Jacox Michael G.、Nonaka Masami、Rykaczewski Ryan R.
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Marine Science

      Volume: 9

    • DOI

      10.3389/fmars.2022.855965

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Process‐Level Assessment of the Iris Effect Over Tropical Oceans2022

    • Author(s)
      Ito Masato、Masunaga Hirohiko
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 7

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl097997

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Baroclinic Blocking2022

    • Author(s)
      Martineau P.、Nakamura H.、Yamamoto A.、Kosaka Y.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 15

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl097791

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report 2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Assessing the influence of sea surface temperature and arctic sea ice cover on the uncertainty in the boreal winter future climate projections2022

    • Author(s)
      Cheung Ho-Nam、Keenlyside Noel、Koenigk Torben、Yang Shuting、Tian Tian、Xu Zhiqing、Gao Yongqi、Ogawa Fumiaki、Omrani Nour-Eddine、Qiao Shaobo、Zhou Wen
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 59 Issue: 1-2 Pages: 433-454

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mitigating Climate Biases in the Midlatitude North Atlantic by Increasing Model Resolution: SST Gradients and Their Relation to Blocking and the Jet2022

    • Author(s)
      Athanasiadis Panos J.、Ogawa Fumiaki、Omrani Nour-Eddine、Keenlyside Noel、Schiemann Reinhard、Baker Alexander J.、Vidale Pier Luigi、Bellucci Alessio、Ruggieri Paolo、Haarsma Rein、Roberts Malcolm、Roberts Chris、Novak Lenka、Gualdi Silvio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 35 Issue: 21 Pages: 6985-7006

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0515.1

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Fractions of Atmospheric-River-Related Events to Relatively Intense Precipitation Events in Japan2022

    • Author(s)
      山田 将喜、釜江 陽一
    • Journal Title

      Tenki

      Volume: 69 Issue: 11 Pages: 609-620

    • DOI

      10.24761/tenki.69.11_609

    • ISSN
      0546-0921, 2434-1185
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Variability and predictability of cold-season North Atlantic atmospheric river occurrence frequency in a set of high-resolution atmospheric simulations2022

    • Author(s)
      Li Chuxuan、Mei Wei、Kamae Youichi
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 58 Issue: 9-10 Pages: 2485-2500

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-021-06017-y

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Severe Cold Winters in East Asia Linked to First Winter of La Nina Events and in North America Linked to Second Winter2022

    • Author(s)
      Nishihira Gaku、Sugimoto Shusaku
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 7

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gl095334

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The extraordinary equatorial Atlantic warming in late 20192022

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Hiroki Tokinaga, Yuko M Okumura
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 4

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gl095918

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Two Pathways of Subsurface Spiciness Anomalies in the Subtropical South Pacific2022

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki Yoshi N.、Iwai Yuma
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Climate

      Volume: 4

    • DOI

      10.3389/fclim.2022.897498

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Decreasing Wintertime Mixed‐Layer Depth in the Northwestern North Pacific Subtropical Gyre2022

    • Author(s)
      Sugimoto S.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 2

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gl095091

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Temporal variations of net Kuroshio transport based on a repeated hydrographic section along 137°E2021

    • Author(s)
      Kawakami Yuma, Kojima Atsushi, Murakami Kiyoshi, Nakano Toshiya, Sugimoto Shusaku
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: - Issue: 5-6 Pages: 1703-1713

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-021-06061-8

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Characterizing Ice-Scattering Homogeneity in TRMM Microwave Imagers and Its Influence on Oceanic Rain-Rate Estimation Bias of TRMM Precipitation Radar2021

    • Author(s)
      Sekaranom Andung Bayu、Nurjani Emilya、Wibowo Sandy Budi、Masunaga Hirohiko
    • Journal Title

      Atmosphere

      Volume: 12 Issue: 11 Pages: 1377-1377

    • DOI

      10.3390/atmos12111377

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Satellite‐Based Estimate of Convective Vertical Velocity and Convective Mass Flux: Global Survey and Comparison With Radar Wind Profiler Observations2021

    • Author(s)
      Jeyaratnam Jeyavinoth、Luo Zhengzhao Johnny、Giangrande Scott E.、Wang Di?、Masunaga Hirohiko
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 48 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1029/2020gl090675

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Refinement of Surface Precipitation Estimates for the Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar on the GPM Core Observatory Using Near-Nadir Measurements2021

    • Author(s)
      Hirose, M., S. Shige, T. Kubota, F. A. Furuzawa, H. Minda, H. Masunaga
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II

      Volume: 99 Issue: 5 Pages: 1231-1252

    • DOI

      10.2151/jmsj.2021-060

    • NAID

      130008112052

    • ISSN
      0026-1165, 2186-9057
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Atmospheric Rivers Bring More Frequent and Intense Extreme Rainfall Events Over East Asia Under Global Warming2021

    • Author(s)
      Kamae Y.、Imada Y.、Kawase H.、Mei W.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 48 Issue: 24

    • DOI

      10.1029/2021gl096030

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Revisiting the Tropical Atlantic Influence on El Nino Southern Oscillation2021

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Hiroki Tokinaga, Yu Kosaka, Takeshi Doi, Takahito Kataoka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 34 Issue: 21 Pages: 8533-8548

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-21-0088.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of a Midlatitude Oceanic Frontal Zone for the Baroclinic Annular Mode in the Southern Hemisphere2021

    • Author(s)
      Nakayama Morio、Nakamura Hisashi、Ogawa Fumiaki
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 34 Issue: 18 Pages: 7389-7408

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-20-0359.1

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Subtropical Mode Water in a recent persisting Kuroshio large-meander period: part I?formation and advection over the entire distribution region2021

    • Author(s)
      Oka Eitarou、Nishikawa Hatsumi、Sugimoto Shusaku、Qiu Bo、Schneider Niklas
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Oceanography

      Volume: 77 Issue: 5 Pages: 781-795

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10872-021-00608-3

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Sea surface temperature predictability in the North Pacific from multi-model seasonal forecast2021

    • Author(s)
      Yati Emi、Minobe Shoshiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Oceanography

      Volume: 77 Issue: 6 Pages: 897-906

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10872-021-00618-1

    • NAID

      40022755254

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Rapid warming of sea surface temperature along the Kuroshio and the China coast in the East China Sea during the 20th century2021

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki Yoshi N.、Umeda Chisato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: - Issue: 12 Pages: 4803-4815

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-20-0421.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Marine Heatwave of Sea Surface Temperature of the Oyashio Region in Summer in 2010?20162021

    • Author(s)
      Miyama Toru, Minobe Shoshiro, Goto Hanako
    • Journal Title

      Frontiers in Marine Science

      Volume: 7 Pages: 1-12

    • DOI

      10.3389/fmars.2020.576240

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Monthly Modulations of ENSO Teleconnections: Implications for Potential Predictability in North America2021

    • Author(s)
      Chapman William E.、Subramanian Aneesh C.、Xie Shang-Ping、Sierks Michael D.、Ralph F. Martin、Kamae Youichi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 34 Pages: 1-71

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-20-0391.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Transient Aggregation of Convection: Observed Behavior and Underlying Processes2021

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga Hirohiko、Holloway Christopher E.、Kanamori Hironari、Bony Sandrine、Stein Thorwald H. M.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 34 Issue: 5 Pages: 1685-1700

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0933.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Local Atmospheric Response to the Kuroshio Large Meander Path in Summer and Its Remote Influence on the Climate of Japan2020

    • Author(s)
      Sugimoto Shusaku、Qiu Bo、Schneider Niklas
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: - Issue: 9 Pages: 3571-3589

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-20-0387.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Impacts of Seasonal Transitions of ENSO on Atmospheric River Activity over East Asia2020

    • Author(s)
      NAOI Moeka、KAMAE Youichi、UEDA Hiroaki、MEI Wei
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II

      Volume: 98 Issue: 3 Pages: 655-668

    • DOI

      10.2151/jmsj.2020-027

    • NAID

      130007857972

    • ISSN
      0026-1165, 2186-9057
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] An overview of the performance of CMIP6 models in the tropical Atlantic: mean state, variability, and remote impacts2020

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Hiroki Tokinaga
    • Journal Title

      Climate Dynamics

      Volume: 55 Issue: 9-10 Pages: 2579-2601

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00382-020-05409-w

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multidecadal modulations of key metrics of global climate change2020

    • Author(s)
      Nathaniel C.Johnson, Dillon J.Amaya, Qinghua Ding, Yu Kosaka, Hiroki Tokinaga, Shang-Ping Xie
    • Journal Title

      Global and Planetary Change

      Volume: 188 Pages: 103149-103149

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103149

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Hydrological cycle changes under global warming and their effects on multiscale climate variability2020

    • Author(s)
      Jian Ma, Lei Zhou, Gregory R. Foltz, Xia Qu, Jun Ying, Hiroki Tokinaga, Carlos R. Mechoso, Jinbao Li, Xingyu Gu
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the New York Academy of Science

      Volume: - Issue: 1 Pages: 21-48

    • DOI

      10.1111/nyas.14335

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Influence of model resolution on bomb cyclones revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Gao J.., S. Minobe, M. J. Roberts, R. Haarsma, D. Putrasahan, C. D Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, B. Vanniere and P. L. Vidale
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Letters

      Volume: 15 Issue: 8 Pages: 084001-084001

    • DOI

      10.1088/1748-9326/ab88fa

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Marked coastal warming off Tokai attributable to Kuroshio large meander2020

    • Author(s)
      Sugimoto Shusaku、Qiu Bo、Kojima Atsushi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Oceanography

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: 141-154

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10872-019-00531-8

    • NAID

      40022183739

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Severe Cold Winter in North America Linked to Bering Sea Ice Loss2020

    • Author(s)
      Iida Mizuki、Sugimoto Shusaku、Suga Toshio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 18 Pages: 8069-8085

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0994.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] On the Reset of the Wind-Forced Decadal Kuroshio Extension Variability in Late 20172020

    • Author(s)
      Qiu Bo、Chen Shuiming、Schneider Niklas、Oka Eitarou、Sugimoto Shusaku
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 24 Pages: 10813-10828

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-20-0237.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Relations between Interannual Variability of Regional-Scale Indonesian Precipitation and Large-Scale Climate Modes during 1960?20072020

    • Author(s)
      Alsepan Givo、Minobe Shoshiro
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 12 Pages: 5271-5291

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0811.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Diurnal Cycles of Precipitation and Lightning in the Tropics Observed by TRMM3G68, GSMaP, LIS, and WWLLN2020

    • Author(s)
      Minobe Shoshiro、Park Jun Hyock、Virts Katrina S.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 10 Pages: 4293-4313

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0389.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Mechanism for the Maintenance of Sharp Tropical Margins2020

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga Hirohiko、Mapes Brian E.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

      Volume: 77 Issue: 4 Pages: 1181-1197

    • DOI

      10.1175/jas-d-19-0154.1

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Factors affecting extreme rainfall events in the South Pacific2020

    • Author(s)
      Pariyar Sunil Kumar、Keenlyside Noel、Sorteberg Asgeir、Spengler Thomas、Chandra Bhatt Bhuwan、Ogawa Fumiaki
    • Journal Title

      Weather and Climate Extremes

      Volume: 29 Pages: 100262-100262

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.wace.2020.100262

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Oceanic forcing of the global warming slowdown in multi‐model simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Xu Xinping、He Shengping、Furevik Tore、Gao Yongqi、Wang Huijun、Li Fei、Ogawa Fumiaki
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Climatology

      Volume: 40 Issue: 14 Pages: 5829-5842

    • DOI

      10.1002/joc.6548

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects2020

    • Author(s)
      Deser C.、Lehner F.、Rodgers K. B.、Ault T.、Delworth T. L.、DiNezio P. N.、Fiore A.、Frankignoul C.、Fyfe J. C.、Horton D. E.、Kay J. E.、Knutti R.、Lovenduski N. S.、Marotzke J.、McKinnon K. A.、Minobe S.、Randerson J.、Screen J. A.、Simpson I. R.、Ting M.
    • Journal Title

      Nature Climate Change

      Volume: 10 Issue: 4 Pages: 277-286

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Mechanisms of Future Changes in Equatorial Upwelling: CMIP5 Intermodel Analysis2020

    • Author(s)
      Terada Mio、Minobe Shoshiro、Deutsch Curtis
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 2 Pages: 497-510

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0128.1

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] On the Emergence of the Atlantic Multidecadal SST Signal: A Key Role of the Mixed Layer Depth Variability Driven by North Atlantic Oscillation2020

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto Ayako、Tatebe Hiroaki、Nonaka Masami
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 33 Issue: 9 Pages: 3511-3531

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-19-0283.1

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Simulating the Midlatitude Atmospheric Circulation: What Might We Gain From High-Resolution Modeling of Air-Sea Interactions?2019

    • Author(s)
      Czaja, A, Frankignoul, C, Minobe, S, Vanniere, B
    • Journal Title

      CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS

      Volume: 5 Issue: 4 Pages: 390-406

    • DOI

      10.1007/s40641-019-00148-5

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Inter-product biases in global precipitation extremes2019

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga Hirohiko、Schroder Marc、Furuzawa Fumie A、Kummerow Christian、Rustemeier Elke、Schneider Udo
    • Journal Title

      Environmental Research Letters

      Volume: 14 Issue: 12 Pages: 125016-125016

    • DOI

      10.1088/1748-9326/ab5da9

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Cause of the Recent Tendency of Tropical Cyclones Approaching Coasts as Revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA Simulations2023

    • Author(s)
      Ogawa, F., S. Minobe, M., J., Roberts, R. Haarsma, D. Putrasahan, C. D. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, and P. L. Vidale
    • Organizer
      Mesoscale and Frontal-Scale Air-Sea Interactions Workshop
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A non-negligible role of Arctic pathways for wintertime Pacific blocking2022

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Martineau, P., Nonaka, M., Yamazaki, A., Nakamura, H., Taguchi, B., and Kwon, Y.-O
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atlantic multidecadal sea surface temperature variability in the current and changing climate2022

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Yamamoto
    • Organizer
      Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 冬季太平洋ブロッキングにおける海洋の役割2022

    • Author(s)
      山本絢子, Martineau, P.,野中正見., 山崎哲, 中村尚, 田口文明, and Kwon, Y.-O.
    • Organizer
      海洋学会秋季大会2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Importance of vertical motion for wintertime Euro-Atlantic blocking fuelled by the ocean2022

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Nonaka, M., Martineau, P., Yamazaki, A., Kwon, Y.-O., Nakamura, H., and Taguchi, B
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Influence of mid-latitude Sea Surface Temperature Fronts on the Atmospheric Water Cycle and Storm Track Activity2022

    • Author(s)
      Ogawa, F., T. Spengler
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 南太平洋亜熱帯域から熱帯域へのspiciness偏差の伝播経路とその成因2022

    • Author(s)
      佐々木 克徳; 岩井 悠馬
    • Organizer
      海洋学会秋季大会2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] International Research Cooperations in Climatic Hotspot2 project2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Tokinaga, Masami Nonaka, and Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      海洋学会秋季大会2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] The influence of the tropical Indian Ocean warming on the Western Pacific teleconnection pattern2022

    • Author(s)
      Masahiro Shiozaki, Hiroki Tokinaga, Masato Mori
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluation of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA model simulations2022

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Tokinaga, Shoshiro Minobe, Youichi Tanimoto, and Malcolm Roberts
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Reexamining the tropical Atlantic influence on ENSO in perfect model prediction experiments2022

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Yu Kosaka, Hiroki Tokinaga, and Shoichiro Kido
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Is equatorial Atlantic variability resurging?2022

    • Author(s)
      Ingo Richter, Hiroki Tokinaga, Yuko Okumura, and Noel Keenlyside
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化による東アジアにおける極端降水の増加に対する大気の川の寄与2022

    • Author(s)
      釜江陽一, 今田由紀子, 川瀬宏明, Wei Mei
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] オホーツク海海氷面積の急変動をもたらす大気循環場の特徴2022

    • Author(s)
      釜江陽一, 植田宏昭, 井上知栄, 三寺史夫
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2022年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Atmospheric circulations associated with rapid sea-ice reductions in the Okhotsk Sea2022

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., H. Ueda, T. Inoue, and H. Mitsudera
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] East Asian atmospheric rivers bring more frequent and intense extreme rainfall under global warming2022

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., Y. Imada, H. Kawase, and W. Mei
    • Organizer
      AOGS 19th Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] East Asian atmospheric rivers bring more frequent and intense extreme rainfall under global warming2022

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., Y. Imada, H. Kawase, and W. Mei
    • Organizer
      Asian Conference on Meteorology 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Understanding the physical processes governing the iris effect: Precipitation efficiency, upper-tropospheric stability, and possible roles of shallow convection2022

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, H. and M. Ito
    • Organizer
      3rd Pan-GASS Meeting Understanding and Modeling Atmospheric Processes
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Observational assessment of radiative-convective feedbacks in the tropics2022

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, H. and M. Ito
    • Organizer
      ISSI Workshop: Challenges in Understanding the Global Water Energy Cycle and its Changes in Response to Greenhouse Gas Emissions
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Process-level assessment of the iris effect over tropical oceans2022

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, H. and M. Ito
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 冬季大規模大気場への黒潮大蛇行の影響2022

    • Author(s)
      杉本周作, 岡英太郎, Bo Qiu
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Does warmer-than-normal SST play a role in the JPCZ event in December 2021?2022

    • Author(s)
      Givo Alsepan, Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] かつて無い2021年夏の北日本熱波とその全球的なリンケージ2022

    • Author(s)
      見延 庄士郎、小川 史明、榎本 剛、美山 透、中野 満寿男、関澤 偲温
    • Organizer
      JpGU2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 南太平洋亜熱帯域から熱帯域へのspiciness偏差の伝播経路とその成因2022

    • Author(s)
      佐々木 克徳; 岩井 悠馬
    • Organizer
      2022年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Cloud-radiation interactions in the real atmosphere: A-Train; EarthCARE; and beyond2022

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga H.
    • Organizer
      EarthCARE Modeling Workshop (Online)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atmospheric rivers bring more frequent and intense extreme rainfall over East Asia under global warming2022

    • Author(s)
      Kamae Y.; Y. Imada; H. Kawase; W. Mei
    • Organizer
      Ocean Sciences Meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Impact of the 2017 Kuroshio Large Meander on the Decadal Kuroshio Extension Variability2021

    • Author(s)
      Bo Qiu; Shuiming Chen; Niklas Schneider; Eitarou Oka; Shusaku Sugimoto
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 最近の持続する黒潮大蛇行が亜熱帯モード水に与える影響。パート1:分布域全体における形成と移流2021

    • Author(s)
      岡英太郎; 西川はつみ; 杉本周作; Bo Qiu; Niklas Schneider
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 最近の持続する黒潮大蛇行が亜熱帯モード水に与える影響。パート2:四国沖再循環における形成と時間発展2021

    • Author(s)
      西川はつみ; 杉本周作; 岡英太郎
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 黒潮大蛇行に起因した関東地方の夏季気温上昇2021

    • Author(s)
      杉本周作; Bo Qiu; Niklas Schneider
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] La Nina現象時の冬季大気大循環場:1年目と2年目の比較2021

    • Author(s)
      西平楽; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 熱帯大西洋海面水温偏差の赤道非対称性の10年規模変動と中緯度大気循環との関係2021

    • Author(s)
      古川善信; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 熱帯北西太平洋における夏季対流活動の長期変動と大気大循環への影響2021

    • Author(s)
      瀬良将太; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 気象庁東経137度定線における黒潮流量の時間変動2021

    • Author(s)
      川上雄真; 中野俊也; 小嶋惇; 村上潔; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Local atmospheric response to the Kuroshio large meander path in summer and its remote influence on the climat2021

    • Author(s)
      Shusaku Sugimoto; Bo Qiu; Niklas Schneider
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Interplay of Intrinsic versus Forced Decadal Kuroshio Extension Variability: Observations and Predictability2021

    • Author(s)
      Bo Qiu; Shuiming Chen; Niklas Schneider; Eitarou Oka; Shusaku Sugimoto
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Subtropical Mode Water in a recent persisting Kuroshio large meander period2021

    • Author(s)
      Hatsumi Nishikawa; Eitarou Oka; Shusaku Sugimoto; Bo Qiu; Niklas Schneider
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 最近の持続する黒潮大蛇行が亜熱帯モード水に与える影響2021

    • Author(s)
      岡英太郎; 西川はつみ; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 黒潮大蛇行が遠州灘沿岸域の海象・気象に与える影響 ~新青丸KS-21-9次研究航海速報~2021

    • Author(s)
      西川はつみ; 岡英太郎; 杉本周作; 川合義美; 小橋史明
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 熱帯大西洋海面水温偏差の赤道非対称性の準10年規模変動と大気大循環場との関係2021

    • Author(s)
      古川善信; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] La Nina現象時の冬季大気大循環場 ~1年目と2年目の比較~2021

    • Author(s)
      西平楽; 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 気候への黒潮の役割について2021

    • Author(s)
      杉本周作
    • Organizer
      2021年度日本海洋学会秋季大会シンポジウム「中緯度大気海洋相互作用研究の現状と展望」
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 大気場への中緯度海洋の役割:気象モデルを用いた研究2021

    • Author(s)
      杉本周作
    • Organizer
      第23回 非静力学モデルに関するワークショップ
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] The edge intensification of ITCZ convection2021

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga H.
    • Organizer
      AOS Colloquium Series; University of Wisconsin Madison (Online)
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] East-Asian atmospheric rivers bring more frequent and intense extreme rainfall under global warming2021

    • Author(s)
      Kamae; Y.; Y. Imada; H. Kawase; W. Mei
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An assessment of the tropical Atlantic influence on El Nino-Southern Oscillation2021

    • Author(s)
      Richter I.; H. Tokinaga; Y. Kosaka; T. Doi; and T. Kataoka
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Is equatorial Atlantic variability resurging?2021

    • Author(s)
      Richte; I.; H. Tokinaga; and Y. M. Okumura
    • Organizer
      11th International Conference on Tropical Marine Environmental Changes
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Reexamining the tropical Atlantic influence on ENSO using perfect model predictability2021

    • Author(s)
      Richter I.; Y. Kosaka; H. Tokinaga; and S. Kido
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The extraordinary Atlantic Nino of 2019/20202021

    • Author(s)
      Richter I.; H. Tokinaga; and Y. M. Okumura
    • Organizer
      PIRATA Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Recent resurgence of equatorial Atlantic variability2021

    • Author(s)
      Richter I.; H. Tokinaga; and Y. M. Okumura
    • Organizer
      3rd APL-FIO Workshop on Southern Hemisphere Ocean and Climate Variability
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Using perfect model prediction experiments to quantify the tropical Atlantic influence on ENSO2021

    • Author(s)
      Richter I.; Y. Kosaka; H. Tokinaga; and T. Kataoka
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Role of surface heat flux in Pacific decadal variability: Observations and CMIP6/HighResMIP climate coupled models2021

    • Author(s)
      Tokinaga H.; S. Minobe; Y. Tanimoto; and M. Roberts
    • Organizer
      International Workshop for Mid-latitude Air-Sea Interaction
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ブロッキング高気圧を伴う熱波の地球温暖化による変化2021

    • Author(s)
      北出拓海; 釜江陽一; 松枝未遠
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 日本付近における二つ玉低気圧と水蒸気輸送の関係2021

    • Author(s)
      永山聡一朗; 釜江陽一; 見延庄士郎
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地球温暖化に伴う冬季の温帯低気圧活動と降雪量の変化2021

    • Author(s)
      成川陽路; 釜江陽一
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 夏季に日本付近を通過する大気の川に対する台風の遠隔影響2021

    • Author(s)
      山田将喜; 釜江陽一
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2021年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] オホーツク海海氷面積の急変動をもたらす大気循環場の特徴2021

    • Author(s)
      釜江陽一
    • Organizer
      大槌シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] La Nina発生時における冬季中緯度大気テレコネクション2021

    • Author(s)
      塩崎公大; 榎本剛; 時長宏樹; 森正人
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2021年秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ENSO発生時における2種類の冬季遠隔影響 -d4PDFを用いた評価-2021

    • Author(s)
      塩崎公大; 榎本剛; 高谷康太郎; 時長宏樹; 森正人
    • Organizer
      京都大学防災研究所異常気象研究会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 太平洋十年規模変動の気候影響2021

    • Author(s)
      時長宏樹
    • Organizer
      第43回 日本気象学会九州支部発表会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] An assessment of statistical significance of overconfidence and underconfidence: application to seasonal forecasting and underconfidence: application to seasonal forecasting.2021

    • Author(s)
      Minobe S.
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A comparison of ocean deoxygenation between CMIP models and an observational dataset in the North Pacific2021

    • Author(s)
      Yumi Abe; Shoshiro Minobe; Takamitsu Ito; and Curtis Deutsch
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Influence of model resolution on bomb cyclones revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA simulations2021

    • Author(s)
      Jiaxiang Gao ; Shoshiro Minobe; Malcolm J. Roberts ; Rein Haarsma ; Dian Putrasahan ; Christopher D. Roberts ; Enrico Scoccimarro ; Laurent Terray ; Benoit Vanniere; and Pier Luigi Vidale
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The response of the ascending air parcels in extratropical cyclones to the Gulf Stream2021

    • Author(s)
      Jinyoung Son; Shoshiro Minobe; R. Justin, Small; Akira, Kuwano-Yoshida
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Relations between Interannual Variability of Regional-Scale Indonesian Precipitation and Large-Scale Climate Modes during 1960-20072021

    • Author(s)
      Givo Alsepan and Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      International workshop for mid-latitude air-sea interaction: advancing predictive understanding of regional variability and change across timescales
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 国際連携をめぐる現状と展望: CLIVAR, WCRP, PICES2021

    • Author(s)
      見延 庄士郎
    • Organizer
      中緯度大気海洋相互作用研究の現状と展望
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Air-sea interactions2021

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe,
    • Organizer
      Multi-annual to decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic-Arctic Sector,
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Influence of Model Resolution on Bomb Cyclones Revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA Simulations2021

    • Author(s)
      Jiaxiang Gao ; Shoshiro Minobe; Malcolm J. Roberts ; Rein Haarsma ; Dian Putrasahan ; Christopher D. Roberts ; Enrico Scoccimarro ; Laurent Terray ; Benoit Vanniere; and Pier Luigi Vidale
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] An experimental protocol to examine the link between the tropical Atlantic and ENSO2021

    • Author(s)
      Richter, I., Y. Kosaka, H. Tokinaga, S. Kido
    • Organizer
      WCRP-CLIVAR Workshop on Climate Interactions among the Tropical Basins
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Rapid warming of sea surface temperature along the Kuroshio and the China coast in the East China Sea during the 20th century2020

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, Y. N., and C. Umeda
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 熱帯大西洋海面水温偏差の赤道非対称性の10年規模変動と中緯度大気循環との関係2020

    • Author(s)
      古川善信,杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 南シナ海夏季対流活動と日本周辺大気場への影響2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬良将太,杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 領域海洋モデルにおける1901年から2010年の北太平洋亜熱帯モード水の水温上昇メカニズムについて2020

    • Author(s)
      中村 智哉,佐々木 克徳
    • Organizer
      2020年度日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 令和2年7月豪雨時の水蒸気輸送に対する遠隔影響2020

    • Author(s)
      釜江陽一, 今田由紀子, 川瀬宏明
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Ocean warming patterns and heavy rainfall over East Asia associated with atmospheric rivers2020

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., and W. Mei
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Decadal variability of the Benguela Nino/Nina2020

    • Author(s)
      Tokinaga, H.
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 南シナ海における夏季対流活動と日本周辺大気場の関係2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬良将太,杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The tropical oceanic forcing on the occurrence of the heavy rain event of July 2020 in East Asia2020

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., Y. Imada, H. Kawase, and W. Mei
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluating the performance of CMIP6 models in the tropical Atlantic: mean state, variability, and remote impacts2020

    • Author(s)
      Richter, I., H. Tokinaga
    • Organizer
      EGU General Assembly 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] An evaluation of the performance of CMIP6 models in the tropical Atlantic: mean state, variability, and remote impacts2020

    • Author(s)
      Richter, I., H. Tokinaga
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Impact of springtime cross-equatorial SST gradient on the Atlantic Nino/Nina2020

    • Author(s)
      Yokoi, T., H. Tokinaga
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the tropical Atlantic influence on ENSO2020

    • Author(s)
      Richter, I., H. Tokinaga, T. Kataoka, Y. Kosaka, T. Doi
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The edge intensification of ITCZ convection2020

    • Author(s)
      Masunaga, H.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 南シナ海における夏季対流活動と日本周辺大気場の関係2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬良将太, 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 南シナ海夏季対流活動と日本周辺大気場への影響2020

    • Author(s)
      瀬良将太, 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 熱帯大西洋海面水温偏差の赤道非対称性の10年規模変動と中緯度大気循環との関係2020

    • Author(s)
      古川善信, 杉本周作
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] new methodology for analyzing under- and over-confidence using multiple metrics from large ensemble simulations and its application to a seasonal forecasting dataset.2020

    • Author(s)
      Minobe S.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Relations between Interannual Variability of Regional-Scale Indonesian Precipitation and Large-Scale Climate Modes during 1960-2002020

    • Author(s)
      Alsepan G., S. Minobe
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Influence of Model Resolution on Bomb Cyclones Revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA Simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Gao J., S. Minobe, M. J. Roberts, R. Haarsma, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, B. Vanniere, P. L. Vidale
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] TRMM3G68, GSMaP, LIS, WWLLNで観測された熱帯における降水量と雷日周期2020

    • Author(s)
      見延 庄士郎、朴 隼赫、Virts Katrina
    • Organizer
      JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Influence of Model Resolution on Bomb Cyclones Revealed by HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA Simulations2020

    • Author(s)
      Minobe S, J. Gao J., M. J. Roberts, R. Haarsma, D. Putrasahan, C. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, B. Vanniere, P. L. Vidale
    • Organizer
      PRIMAVERA 5th General Assembly
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Sea surface temperature perturbations and atmospheric rivers over the western North Pacific2020

    • Author(s)
      Kamae, Y., and W. Mei
    • Organizer
      Ocean Sciences Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Two pathways of subsurface spiciness anomalies in the subtropical South Pacific2020

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, Y. N. and Y. Iwai
    • Organizer
      Ocean Sciences Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Linkages among physical, biogeochemical and biological oceanography: some examples and strategies2020

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      The Transparency Oceanography
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Key role of western boundary currents in wintertime Euro-Atlantic blocking2020

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Nonaka, M., Yamazaki, A., Martineau, P., Kwon, Y. O., Nakamura, H., and Taguchi, B.
    • Organizer
      Ocean Sciences Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Relation Between Interannual Variability of Regional-Scale Indonesian Precipitation and Large-Scale Climate Modes in the Last Half Century2019

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      Symposium of Climate Variation, Prediction and Application 20-Year Anniversary of IOD Research
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Mechanisms of future changes in equatorial upwelling: CMIP5 inter-model analysis2019

    • Author(s)
      Mio Terada, Shoshiro Minobe, Curtis Deutsch
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Future Climate Change
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Marine heatwave of sea surface temperature of the Oyashio region in summer since 20102019

    • Author(s)
      Toru Miyama , Shoshiro Minobe and Hanako Goto
    • Organizer
      PICES-2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Influences of the Kuroshio on surface air temperature in Kanto district, Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Sugimoto, S., B. Qiu, and N. Schneider
    • Organizer
      Ocean Obs'19
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Influence of the interannual-scale Bering Sea ice variation on cold air outbreaks2019

    • Author(s)
      Iida, M., S. Sugimoto, and T. Suga
    • Organizer
      Ocean Obs'19
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 北半球冬季大気場へのベーリング海海氷の影響2019

    • Author(s)
      飯田瑞生,杉本周作,須賀利雄
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2019年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ベーリング海海氷による北半球冬季大気場への影響2019

    • Author(s)
      飯田瑞生,杉本周作,須賀利雄
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] CMIP5モデルにおけるユーラシア・テレコネクションパターン2019

    • Author(s)
      吉田裕・見延 庄士郎
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 20世紀における東シナ海の海面水温上昇の季節依存性2019

    • Author(s)
      佐々木 克徳,梅田 千智
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 高解像度海洋大循環モデルにおける沿岸水位変動の潜在的予測可能性について2019

    • Author(s)
      中谷内 太一,佐々木 克徳,野中 正見,佐々木 英治
    • Organizer
      日本海洋学会秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Diurnal cycles of precipitation and lightning in the tropics observed by TRMM3G68, LIS and WWLLN2019

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      2019 CFMIP Meeting on Clouds, Precipitation, Circulation, and Climate Sensitivity
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Introduction of CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel2019

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      2019 CFMIP Meeting on Clouds, Precipitation, Circulation, and Climate Sensitivity
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Forced atmospheric modes on interannual and decadal timescales in a large AGCM ensemble dataset2019

    • Author(s)
      Shoshiro Minobe
    • Organizer
      The Large Ensembles Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Sea level variability around Japan in the past and future2019

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, Y. N., R. Washizu, S. Minobe, Z.-L Liu, M. Terada, S. Tamura, T. Yasuda, and Y. Miura
    • Organizer
      “Sea Level Change in AISA” Workshop
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Sea surface temperature trend in the East China Sea during the 20th century simulated by a regional ocean model2019

    • Author(s)
      Sasaki, Y. N, and C. Umeda
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 関東地方夏季気温場への日本南方黒潮流路の影響2019

    • Author(s)
      杉本周作
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Influence of the interannual-scale Bering Sea ice variation on cold air outbreaks2019

    • Author(s)
      Iida, M., S. Sugimoto, and T. Suga
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Transient aggregation of convection: Observed behavior and underlying processes2019

    • Author(s)
      Masuanga, H., C. Hollway, H. Kanamori, S. Bony, T. H. M. Stein
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atlantic multidecadal SST signal modulated by the low-frequency mixed Layer depth variability2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Tatebe, H., and Nonaka, M.
    • Organizer
      JpGU 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Atlantic multidecadal SST signal modulated by the low-frequency mixed Layer depth variability2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Tatebe, H., and Nonaka, M.
    • Organizer
      IUGG 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Role of Kuroshio in Euro-Atlantic atmospheric blocking2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Nonaka, M. Kwon, Y. O., Nakamura, H., Yamazaki, A., Taguchi, B., and Martineau, P.
    • Organizer
      IUGG2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Key role of western boundary currents in wintertime Euro-Atlantic blocking2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamamoto, A., Nonaka, M., Yamazaki, A., Martineau, P., Kwon, Y. O., Nakamura, H., and Taguchi, B.
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Chapter 7 of "Tropical and Extratropical Air-Sea Interactions"2020

    • Author(s)
      Richter, I., H. Tokinaga
    • Publisher
      Elsevier
    • ISBN
      9780128181560
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 赤道大西洋東部で発生した異常に強い昇温現象の原因を明らかに

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 地球温暖化により「大気の川」由来の「経験したことのない大雨」が増える

    • URL

      https://www.tsukuba.ac.jp/journal/biology-environment/20220118141500.html

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] A03-9 中緯度域の気候変動と将来予測の不確実性

    • URL

      https://www.jamstec.go.jp/apl/hotspot2/a03-9.html

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] Hotspot2 A03-9 中緯度域の気候変動と将来予測の不確実性

    • URL

      http://www.jamstec.go.jp/apl/hotspot2/a03-9.html

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2019-07-04   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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