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Assessment of Projected Impacts of Large-scale Anthropogenic Climatic Changes on Natural Ecosystems, Agriculture, and Social Systems of Japan

Research Project

Project/Area Number 01300007
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Co-operative Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 広領域
Research InstitutionOchanomizu University

Principal Investigator

UCHIJIMA Zenbei  Ochanomizu University, Faculty of Science, Professor, 理学部, 教授 (70193886)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OSHIMA Yasuyuki  Waseda University, School of Human Sciences, Professor, 人間科学部, 教授 (40063250)
URABE Tatsuo  Nagoya University, Computation Center, Professor, 大型計算機センター, 教授 (90022706)
吉川 友章  気象研究所, 応用気象研究部, 室長
MARUYAMA Takashi  National Institute of Radiological Sciences, Div. of Physics, Head of Laboratory, 物理部, 室長
SEDINO Hiroshi  National Institute of Agro-Environmental Sciences, Div. of Agrometeorology, Head, 気象管理科, 室長
OHKITA Takeshi  Nagoya National Hospital, Former Director
大北 威  国立名古屋病院, 院長
Project Period (FY) 1989 – 1991
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1991)
Budget Amount *help
¥12,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,100,000)
Fiscal Year 1991: ¥2,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1990: ¥4,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥5,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,200,000)
KeywordsClimatic warming / Plant productivity / Vegetation distribution / Water temperature environment / Yield variability / Heat balance / Atomic detonation / Radioactive fall-out / 植生移動 / チェルノブィリ / エネルギ-収支 / 作物気候モデル / 気候シナリオ / 温室効果 / CO_2気候暖化 / 純一次生産力 / 植生帯分布 / 土壌有機物 / 気候モデル / 放射能拡散 / 大気拡散モデル
Research Abstract

Research effort was concentrated on the elucidation of projected impacts of anthropogenic climatic warming due to increasing CO_2 on natural vegetation and agriculture of Japan. Effects of the detonation of atomic bombs (Hiroshima and Nagasaki) and accident of the Chernobyl's atomic pile were also studied using global and local models of atmospheric diffusion. The results can be summarized as follows :
1. Thermal environment of ponded shallow water was studied to make clear possible effects of climatic warming of heat balance and temperature of paddy fields. It was expected that climatic warming should cause a temperature rise of about 3-4゚C over the Japan. Evaporation from water surface should increase by 4-6 percent per ゚C with the rise of water temperature.
2. Crop-weather models were used to investigate effects of increased CO_2 level and projected climatic changes on crop yield (rice, maize, and wheat). Rice yield is expected to decrease due to heat stress in a warmed climate. The introduction of advanced agriculture practices is needed to mitigate such bad effects of warmed climate. Although the yield of maize and wheat crops would be lowered by decrease in rain fall during the growing period, such bad effects can be compensated by application of irrigation water.
3. The migration of climatically suitable area with projected climatic warming was studied for several tree species. It was found that the suitable area for silver fir and Japanese oak may decrease by 50-60 percent compared with that at present, and that the area of laurel forest zone was not very sensitive to climatic warming.
4. Atmospheric diffusion models were used to estimate the area of radioactive contamination due to the detonation of atomic bombs and the accident of the Chernobyl's atomic pile. The results were in good agreement with the spatial distribution of radioactivity measured after the detonation of atomic bombs.

Report

(4 results)
  • 1991 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1990 Annual Research Report
  • 1989 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (31 results)

All Other

All Publications (31 results)

  • [Publications] Seino Hiroshi and Uchijima Zenbei: "World distribution of net primany productivity of natural vegetation" 農業気象. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ota Shunji,Uchijima Zenbei,Seino Hiroshi,Oshima Yasuyuki: "Probable effects of CO_2-induced climate warming on thermal environment of ponded shallow-water" Climatic Change. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Inoue Kimio and Uchijima Zenbei: "Probable change in a maize canopy climate due to increasing CO_2" Proceedings of Symposium. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ota Shunji,Uchijima Zenbei,Oshima Yasuyuki: "Probable effects of C0_2-induced climatic change on natural vegetation in the monsoon East Asia" Proceedings of Symposium. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Uchijima Zenbei: "Meteorological disasters and agriculture" Farming Japan. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Seino Hiroshi: "Probable effects of CO_2-induced climatic change on crop yield in Japan" Climatic Change. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛(分担): "地球環境と流動学(地球環境変化と植物)" 朝倉書店, 300 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛(訳): "気候変化と食糧生産" 農林統計協会, 159 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] SEINO, H., and Z. UCHIJIMA: "World distribution of net primary productivity of natural vegetation" Journal of Agricultural Meteorology. 48-1. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] OTA, S., Z. UCHIJIMA, H. SEINO, and Y. OHSHIMA: "Probable effects of CO_2-induced climatic warming on thermal environment of ponded shallow-water" Climatic Change. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] INOUE, K., and Z. UCHIJIMA: "Probable change in a maize canopy climate due to increasing CO_2" Proceedings of International Symposium on Disturbed Climate, Vegetation, and Foods. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] OTA, S., Z. UCHIJIMA, and Y. OHSHIMA: "Probable effects of CO_2-induced climatic change on natural vegetation in the monsoon East Asia" Proceedings of International Symposium of Disturbed Climate, Vegetation, and Foods. (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] UCHIJIMA, Z.: "Meteorological disasters and agriculture" Farming Japan. 26-1. 41-48 (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] SEINO, H.: "Probable effects of CO_2-induced climatic change on crop yield in Japan" Climatic Change. 1992.

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] UCHIJIMA, Z.: Godo Shuppan. Degradation of Global Environment, 222 (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] UCHIJIMA, Z.: Asakura Shoten. Change in Global Environment and Plant, (1992)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] UCHIJIMA, Z.: Norintokei-Kyoukai. Climatic Change and Food Production, 159 (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1991 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Uchijima Zenbei: "Meteorological disasters and agriculture" Farming Japan. (1992)

    • Related Report
      1991 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛(分担): "地球環境と流体力学(地球環境変化と植物)" 朝倉書店, 300 (1992)

    • Related Report
      1991 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛(訳): "気候変化と食糧生産" 農林統計協会, 159 (1991)

    • Related Report
      1991 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Uchijima Zenbei: "Recent Studies of Agroclimatic Resources of Japan in Relation to Climatic Changes" Agrophysical Monograph. 1(1). 1-22 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛: "植物生産と水" 水文・水資源学会誌. 3(3). 7-13 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Uchijima Zenbei Seino Hiroshi: "Probable Effects of CO_2ーClimatic Warming on Vegetation Distribution in the Japan" Symposium Proceedings.

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Uchijima Zenbei: "Life and Water" Symposium Proceedings.

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛: "ゆらぐ地球環境" 合同出版, 230 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋 善兵衛(編): "地球環境の危機" 岩波書店, 280 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 吉川友章: "煙とガスと放射能を追う(I,II)" 天気. 36. 485-488,561-564 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 吉川友章: "煙とガスと放射能を追う(III)" 天気. 36. 621-623 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 清野豁: "CO_2濃度上昇による気候暖化の土壌有機物分解への影響" 農業気象. 46. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋善兵衛: "CO_2気候暖化の我国の植物気候と植生帯分布への影響" 環境科学. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 内嶋善兵衛(訳・著): "地球大気の歴史-過去・現在・未来を探る" 朝倉書店, 198 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1989-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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