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Economic Analysis of Fertility Rate Fluctuation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 01530003
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for General Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 一般理論
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

NISHIMURA Kazuo  Kyoto University, Professor, 経済研究所, 教授 (60145654)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) IMAI Haruo  Associate Professor, Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University, 経済研究所, 助教授 (10144396)
ARIGA Kenn  Senior Economics Institute of Fiscal and Monetary Policy Ministry of Finance, 大臣官房調査企画課, 専門調査官 (60159506)
Project Period (FY) 1989 – 1990
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1990)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000)
Fiscal Year 1990: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000)
KeywordsFertility Rate / Easterlin Hypothesis / Gary Becker / イ-スタリン仮説 / ベッカ-
Research Abstract

Traditional approaches to growth theory have modeled the process of growth as arising from decisions to invest in physical capital and from technological progress. A recent model by Barro and Becker (1989) has incorporated fertility decisions, or decisions about the number of children to have, into a growth theoretic context. The welfare of children (through their per capita consumption) is incorporated into their parents utility. Since consumption must be sacrificed to educate children, the investment decisions become more complex in such a setting. The model can further be enriched by allowing parents to invest in the human capital of their children in order to raise their productivity. We propose to study the implications of introducing technologial progress and human capital into the model of endogenous fertility.
One of the implication of technical progress is that steady states are no longer in levels ; they represent growths path of per capita variables like output, consumption on capital. We then show that the dynamic behavior of physical capital will be monotonic or oscillatory, depending on the elasticity of a certain "altruism" function which may also be viewed as the elasticity of an inverse demand curve for children. This elasticity, which is equal to unity in the Barro and Becker model, also plays a major role in determining the existence of multiple steady states. From an empirical perspective multiple steady states may be useful to explain persistent differentials between growth rates of some poor and rich countries.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1990 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1989 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All Other

All Publications (20 results)

  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Endogenous Fluctuations in the Barro-Becker Thoery of Fertility"" Demographic Change and Economic Development. 29-41 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Optimal Growth Theory and Dynamical Systems"" The Study of Dynamical Systems. 225-232 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Stochastic Equilibrium Oscillations"" International Economic Review. Vol. 30. 85-102 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Endogenous Fertility and Growth"" KIER Discussion Paper. No. 289. (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Junsen Zhang and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Sustainable Plans of Social Security"" KIER Discussion Paper. No. 295. (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Junsen Zhang and Kazuo Nishimura: ""Pay-As-You-Go Public Pensions with Endogenous Fertility"" KIER Discussion Paper. No. 296. (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Junsen Zhang and Kazuo Nishimura: ""The Old-age Security Hypothesis Revisited"" KIER Discussion paper. No. 312. (1991)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1990 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib and Kazuo Nishimura: "Endogenous Fertility and Growth" KIER Discussion Paper No.289. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura and Junsen Zhang: "Sustainable Plans of Social Security" KIER Discussion Paper No.295. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura and Junsen Zhang: "PayーAsーYouーGo Public Pensions with Endogenous Fertility" KIER Discussion Paper No.296. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura and Makoto Yano: "Interlinkage in the Endogenous Real Business Cycles of International Economies" KIER Discussion Paper No.298. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura and Makoto Yano: "Endogenous Real Business Cycles and International Specialization" KIER Discussion Paper No.310. (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura and Junsen Zhang: "The Oldーage Security Hypothesis Revisited" KIER Discussion Paper No.312. (1991)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村 和雄: "ミクロ経済学" 東洋経済新報社, 405 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村 和雄: "入門経済学ゼミナ-ル" 実務教育出版, 441 (1990)

    • Related Report
      1990 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib: "Endogenous in the Barro-Becker Theory of Fertility" Demographic Change and Economic Development. 1. 29-41 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kazuo Nishimura: "Optimal Growth Theory and Dynamical Systems" The Study of Dynamical Systems. 1. 225-232 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村和雄: "経済変動" 応用ミクロ経済学. 1. 265-301 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Jess Benhabib: "Stochastic Equilibirum Oscilations" International Economic Review. 30. 85-102 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 西村和雄: "最適成長理論と力学系" 数理解析研究所講究録-力学系の研究-. 696. 234-245 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1989-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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