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An improvement of weak stationary test of time series and non-linear causal analysis.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 08640271
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionShiga University

Principal Investigator

NAKANO Yuji  Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (60024981)

Project Period (FY) 1996 – 1998
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,100,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 1996: ¥500,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000)
Keywordsstationary / KM_2 O-Langevin equation / causality / time series / Test(S) / 局所因果性 / 検定(S) / 局所因果解析 / 因果解析
Research Abstract

A weakly stationary process, whose time parameter space is a finite interval, is called a local and weakly stationary process. Okabe and Nakano constructed Test(S) which states a criterion that multi-dimensional data are a realization of a local and weakly stationary process. In this study, we propose a revised test of Test(S), say R-Test(S) . R-Test(S) has a better efficient than Test(S) when non-linear data are tested. We apply R-Test(S) to well-known data, sunspot numbers and Lynx in Canada from 1921 to 1934. We worked up R-Test(S) into the paper "On a revised test of Test(S) in time series" .
We defined two kinds of causality. One is linear local causality and other is non-linear local causality. We introduce a causal value between time series. Furthermore, we propose a test which tests the linear local causality between given time series. As an application, The causal relation between sunspot numbers and Lynx in Canada are analyzed. We worked up R-Test(S) into the paper. "On a causal function between time series" .

Report

(4 results)
  • 1998 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • 1996 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All Other

All Publications (8 results)

  • [Publications] Yuji NAKANO: "On a Causal Analysis of Time Series" Book of Abstracts “First European Conference on Highly Structured Stochastic Systems". 1. 116-118 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中野裕治: "経済学と情報" 社会と情報. 1. 36-46 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中野裕治: "時系列の局所因果解 : 特定の変量の影響を除いた場合" 津田一郎編“複雑系の構成論および計算論のための実験数学". 51-52 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yuji NAKANO: "On a Causal Analysis of Time Series" Book of Abstructs First European Conference on Highly Structured Stochastic Systems. 1. 116-118 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yuji NAKANO: "Economics and Information" Society and Information. 1. 36-46 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yuji NAKANO: "Local causal analysis in time series, eliminating the influence of a specific variable" Tsuda I.(ed) , "Construction theory of complex systems and experimental mathematics for computing"Report of Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research. 51-52 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1998 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yuji Nakano: "On a Causal Analysis of Time Series" First European Conference on Highly Structured Stochastic Systems. 116-118 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中野裕治: "経済学と情報" 社会と情報. 1巻. 36-46 (1996)

    • Related Report
      1996 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1996-04-01   Modified: 2025-11-20  

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