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Development of Dynamic Models Based on Stated Preference Panel Data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 09650588
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionHiroshima University

Principal Investigator

SUGIE Yoriyasu  Hiroshima Univ., Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Professor, 大学院・国際協力研究科, 教授 (70034410)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) OKAMURA Toshiyuki  Hiroshima Univ., Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Research associate, 大学院・国際協力研究科, 助手 (90314781)
FUJIWARA Akimasa  Hiroshima Univ., Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation, Associate Professor, 大学院・国際協力研究科, 助教授 (50181409)
張 峻屹  広島大学, 工学部, 助手 (20284169)
Project Period (FY) 1997 – 1999
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1999)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1999: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥2,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000)
KeywordsStated reference / Panel data / Dynamic models / Time series model / Travel demand management / ダイナミック / 交通手段選択 / 新交通システム / 事役評価 / パネル / 事後評価
Research Abstract

The objective of this study is to develop dynamic models based on stated preference (SP) panel data. After three years study, the following research results are obtained.
1. Development of SP dynamic models
The seven period panel data including SP data in 1987, 88, 90, 93 and 94 before the opening of the new light railway in Hiroshima, and RP data in 1994 and 97 are used in this analysis. It was clarified that the prediction accuracy and problems of SP models.
2. Time Series Analysis of Influence of TDM Measures
The changes in participants and non-participants travel behaviors after introducing time spreading TDM measures, such as flexible time system and staggered working hours. It was found that there exist the adjusting and stable processes of travel behavior. The delay of drivers' responses against TDM measures appeared in traffic congestion.

Report

(4 results)
  • 1999 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1998 Annual Research Report
  • 1997 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All Other

All Publications (18 results)

  • [Publications] 周藤、杉恵、藤原: "フレックスタイム制度下における通勤行動の時間的変化"土木計画学研究・論文集. 15. 655-662 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] sugie,Zhang and Fujiwara: "Dynamic Discrete Choice Models Considering Unobserved Heterogeneity with Mass Point Approach"J.of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. 3・5. 245-260 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Fujiwara and Sugie: "Prediction accuracy of dynamic SP models"World Transport Research. 3. 25-38 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 藤原、杉惠、神田: "Paired Combinatorial Logitモデルの時刻選択行動分析への適用"交通工学研究発表会 論文集. 19. 117-120 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 杉惠、藤原、周藤、久村: "世帯構造からみたフレックスタイム制度下の出社時刻選択"交通工学研究発表会 論文集. 19. 121-124 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 塚井、藤原、杉惠、周藤: "フレックスタイム制度下における通勤時刻選択行動の分析"土木計画学研究・論文集. 16. 941-947 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] K. Sutoh: "Temporal Changes in Commuting Behavior Under Providing Flexible Time System"Infrastructure Planning Review. No. 15. 655-662 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Y. Sugie: "Dynamic Discrete Choice Models Considering Unobserved Heterogeneity with Mass Point Approach"Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies. Vol. 13, No. 5. 245-260 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A. Fujiwara: "Prediction accuracy of dynamic SP models"World Transport Research. Vol. 3. 25-38 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] A. Fujiwara: "Application of Paired Combinatorial Logit Models to Time Choice Behavior Analysis"Proceedings of Annual Meeting for Traffic Engineering. No. 19. 117-120 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Y. Sugie: "Commuting Time Choice Under Flexible Time System from a Viewpoint of Household Structure"Proceedings of Annual Meeting for Traffic Engineering. No. 19. 121-124 (1999)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M. Tsukai: "Analysis of Commuter's Time Choice Behavior Under Flexible Time System"Infrastructure Planning Review. No. 16. 941-947 (1998)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1999 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Fujiwara and Sugie: "Prediction accuracy of dynamic SP models"World Transport Research. 3. 25-38 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 藤原,杉惠,神田: "Paired Combinatorial Logit モデルの時刻選択行動分析への適用"交通工学研究発表会 論文集. 19. 117-120 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 杉惠,藤原,周籐,久村: "世帯構成からみたフレックスタイム制度下の出社時刻選択"交通工学研究発表会 論文集. 19. 121-124 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 塚井,藤原,杉惠,周籐: "フレックスタイム制度下における通勤時刻選択行動の分析"土木計画学研究・論文集. 16. 941-947 (1999)

    • Related Report
      1999 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 杉恵,頼寧: "嗜好とSPデータの回答バイアスを分離した交通機関選択モデル" 土木計画学研究論文集. 15号. 609-617 (1998)

    • Related Report
      1998 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 杉恵 頼寧: "選好意識パネルデータを用いた交通機関選択モデルの予測精度" 土木学会論文集. 576号. 11-22 (1997)

    • Related Report
      1997 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1997-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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