Uncertainty analysis for Predicting Environmental Fate and Exposure of Chemicals
| Project/Area Number |
09650600
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Civil and environmental engineering
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| Research Institution | HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY |
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Principal Investigator |
TOKAI Akihiro Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Assoc.Pro., 大学院・工学研究科, 助教授 (90207522)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
NAKANISHI Junko Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Yokohama National Univ., Prof, 環境科学研究センター, 教授 (10010836)
MASUNAGA Institute of Environmental Science and Technology, Yokohama National Univ., Prof, 環境科学研究センター, 教授 (50282950)
ISHII Kazuei Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Res.Assoc., 大学院・工学研究科, 助手 (70292050)
FURUICHI Tohru Grad.School of Eng., Hokkaido Univ., Prof., 大学院・工学研究科, 教授 (90127134)
田中 嘉成 横浜国立大学, 環境科学研究センター, 客員助教授
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| Project Period (FY) |
1997 – 1998
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 1998)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Fiscal Year 1998: ¥800,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000)
Fiscal Year 1997: ¥600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000)
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| Keywords | ENVIRONMENTAL FATE / RISK / UNCERTAINTY / 不確実性 |
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| Research Abstract |
Through this study, we have obtained following results.
(l)Based on the method of multivariate analysis on the ambient environmental concentration of chemicals, we clarified the dominant variables that governs the level of the concentration in the water and sediment. Using this results, we showed the possibility for estimating ambient environmental concentration in terms of production volume and physicochemical properties of chemicals.
(2) We have developed watershed modeling tool with the purpose of the reduction of the uncertainty coming from the modeling process of phenomena. Employing the theory of Bayes', we clarified the priority parameters that related to the prediction of fate and exposure of chemicals.
(3)Using watershed modeling tool, the benefit of the reduction of the uncertainty associated with fate and exposure of chemicals were estimated at the real watershed environment.
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Report
(3 results)
Research Products
(10 results)
