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Semiparametric Econometrics

Research Project

Project/Area Number 13630026
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

KUNITOMO Naoto  University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (10153313)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YAMAMOTO Taku  Hitotsubashi University, Graduate School of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (50104716)
TAKAHASHI Hajime  Hitotsubashi University, Graduate School of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (70154838)
NAWATA Kazumitsu  University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Engineering, Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (00218067)
YAJIMA Yoshihiro  University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (70134814)
OHMORI Yasuhiro  University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, Associate Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (60251188)
Project Period (FY) 2001 – 2002
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2002)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2001: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
KeywordsSemiparametric Econometrics / Generalized Method of Moments / Empirical Likelihood Method / Small Sample Properties / Asymptotic Expansions / ノンパラメトリック法 / 計量経済モデル / 漸新展開 / 計量経済分析 / 計量ファイナンス / セミパラメトリック分析 / ノンパラメトリック分析 / 質的変量分析 / 生存時間解析
Research Abstract

The main purpose of this project was to re-examine the existing statistical methods often used in in semiparametric econometric analysis and statistical analysis.
First we have investigated the major semiparametric statistical methods for analyzing econometric analyses and financial econometric analyses. In particular we have investigated the empirical likelihood (EL) approach to econometric problems which was initially advocated by A.Owen. We have compared the statistical properties of the maximum empirical likelihood (MEL) method and the generalized method of moments (GMM). The latter method has been well-known in econometric analyses and it has been the most popular semiparametric method in the past two decades within the field of econometrics. We have found that there are important situations in applications where the MEL method dominates the GMM method. In order to investigate the small sample properties of these estimation methods, we have developed the asymptotic expansion method … More . Because we have fount some important results in theory as well as in applications we are still in the process of investigation.
Second, we have investigated the semiparametric statistical methods in the statistical time series analysis and survival analysis (statistical reliability theory). In particular we have investigated the modeling of hazard functions and their applications to the problem of constructing economic indicators.
Third, there have been many new results we have obtained under the research efforts of this project on the semiparametric statistical analyses. The details of the results under our research project have been reported in domestic as well as international academic meetings and have been (or will be) reported in academic papers listed in this report.
In conclusion, we have accomplished the most important objectives of this project. Six members participated in this project officially have written many papers and also stimulated a large number of researchers in the related fields and some statisticians in the academic international perspectives We thank The Ministry of Education, Science, Sports and Culture and Japan Society for the Promotion of Science for giving the generous support to our research project. Less

Report

(3 results)
  • 2002 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2001 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (27 results)

All 2003 2002 Other

All Journal Article (12 results) Publications (15 results)

  • [Journal Article] On Validity of the Asymptotic Expansion Approach in Contingent Claims Analysis2003

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., A.Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Applied Probability (Forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Finite Sample Distributions of the Empirical likelihood Estimator and the GMM Estimator2003

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., Y.Matsushita
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE-F-200,Faculty of Economics,University of Tokyo

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation for unequally spaced time series of counts with serially correlated random effects2003

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Statistics and Probability Letters (Forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Discrete Duration Model Having Autoregressive Random Effects with Application to Japanese Diffusion Index2003

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Statistical Society (Forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation for unequally spaced time series of counts with serially correlated random effects2003

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Forthcoming in Statistics and Probability Letters

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Discrete Duration Model Having Autoregressive Random Effects with Application to Japanese Diffusion Index2003

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Forthcoming in Journal of Japan Statistical Society

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Validity of the Asymptotic Expansion Approach in Contingent Claims Analysis2003

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., A.Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Forthcoming in Annals of Applied Probability

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On Finite Sample Distributions of the Empirical likelihood Estimator and the GMM Estimator2003

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., Y.Matsushita
    • Journal Title

      Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo CIRJE-F-200

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Asymmetrical volatility for Asset Prices : The Simultaneous Switching ARIMA Approach2002

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., S.Sato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Statistical Society 32-2

      Pages: 119-140

    • NAID

      110003144443

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Improving Small Sample Properties of the Empirical Likelifood Estimation2002

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N.
    • Journal Title

      CIRJE-F-184,Faculty of Economics,University of Tokyo

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of Asymmetrical Volatility for Asset Prices : The Simultaneous Switching ARIMA Approach2002

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N., S.Sato
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Statistical Society 32-2

      Pages: 119-140

    • NAID

      110003144443

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Improving Small Sample Properties of the Empirical Likelifood Estimation2002

    • Author(s)
      Kunitomo, N.
    • Journal Title

      Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo CIRJE-F-184

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2002 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] J.Hidalgo, Y.Yajima: "Semiparametric estimation of the long-range parameter"To appear in Annlas of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics. (in press). (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Omori, Y.: "Estimation for unequally spaced time series of counts with serially correlated random effects"forthcoming in Statistics and Probability Letters. (in press). (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Omori, Y.: "Discrete Duration Model Having Autoregressive Random Effects with Application to Japanese Diffusion Index"forthcoming in Journal of Japan Statistical Society. (in press). (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kunitomo, N., A Takahashi: "The Asymptotic Expansion Approach to the Valuation of Interest Rate Contingent Claims"Mathematical Finance. Vol.11, No.1. 117-151 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 国友直人: "季節調整法X-12-ARIMA(2000)の利用:法人企業統計の事例"経済学論集. Vol.67 No.3. 2-29 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kunitomo, N., S.Sato: "A Generalized SSAR Model and Predictive Distribution with an Application to VaR"Discussion Paper No. CIRJE-F-122, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. F-122. (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Kunitomo, N., Y.J.Kim: "Effects of Stochastic Interest Rates and Volatility on Contigent Claims"Discussion Paper No. CIRJE-F-129, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. F-129. (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Taku Yamamoto, Eiji Kurozumi: "Finite Sample Properties of the Test for Long-Run Granger Non-Causality in Cointegrated System"Proceedings of International Congress on Modelling and Simulation 2001. 1243-1248 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hajime TAKAHASHI (with Morimoto): "On pricing exponential square root barrier knockout European options"to apper Asian Financial Market.

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Hajime TAKAHASHI: "Two Factor Forward Risk Adjusted Measure and the Pricing of Derivatives"JAFEE 2001年 冬季大会で発表.

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] J.Hidalgo, Yoshihiro YAJIMA: "Prediction and signal extraction of strongly dependent processes in the frequency domain"Discussion Paper EM/01/418, LSE To apper in Econometric Theory. (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 矢島美寛: "経済時系列における長期記憶の視点"応用数理. Vol.11, No.4. 15-28 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] P.M.Robinson, Yoshihiro YAJIMA: "Determination of cointegrating rank in fractional systems"Journal of Econometrics. Vol.106. 217-241 (2002)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 大森裕浩: "マルコフ連鎖モンテカルロ法の最近の展開"日本統計学会誌. 第31巻第3号. 305-344 (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] Watanabe, T., Omori, Y.: "Multi-move sampler for estimating non-Gaussian times series models : Comments on Shephard and Pitt (1997)"Research Paper Series, Faculty of Economics, Tokyo Metropolitan University. No.25. (2001)

    • Related Report
      2001 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2001-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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