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Theoretical and empirical analysis of the trade structure based on the international input-output table.

Research Project

Project/Area Number 14530032
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionKonan University

Principal Investigator

TOKUTSU Ichiro  Konan University, EBA Institute, Professor, EBA高等教育研究所, 教授 (80140119)

Project Period (FY) 2002 – 2003
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2003)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2003: ¥1,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000)
Fiscal Year 2002: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Keywordsinput output table / free trade area / general equilibrium model / Asian economy / 域内貿易 / 中間財貿易 / 関税率 / 国際運賃 / 国際研究者交流 / アメリカ / EU経済統合 / アメリカ:オランダ
Research Abstract

We developed a systematic and exhaustive model that explains the intra-industry trade structure in Asia-Pacific economic region based on the international input-output table. The Jacobian matrix of the excess supply function of 20 product markets in 10 countries including the 10 labor markets was estimated. The Jacobian matrix of 199 industries within the region turns out to be a dominant diagonal with positive diagonals, indicating that the international trade market equilibrium is stable, but when the labor markets are taken into account, the Jacobian matrix is slightly different from the dominant diagonal. The simulation analysis which assumes that labor endowment increases by one unit in each country shows that (1)the wager rate of the own country decreases without exception, but the rise in the wage rate is dominant in other countries, (2)the product prices of the own country decreases in general, but for the other countries the direction of the price change shows slight variation in its direction, (3)the level of production both of the own country and other countries increases except for the case where the production level of the U.S.A. slightly decreases when the labor endowment in Indonesia increases, (4)due to the import substitution induced by the relative price change, the export of the own country always increases, while its import decreases, and (5)the effect on the other countries' export and import shows slight irregularity depending both on the place where the increase of the labor endowment occurs and the industry structure of the corresponding country. The simulation presented in this research is very primitive, but it will be extended to more practical one that can deal with the effect of policy making such as the free-trade agreement within Asia-Pacific economic region.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2003 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2002 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (6 results)

All Other

All Publications (6 results)

  • [Publications] Ichiro Tokutsu: "Quadrilateral Market Dependence"Journal of Policy Modeling. 24. 119-150 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 得津一郎: "アジア域内貿易の構造:可変投入係数モデルによる産業連関分析"産業連関:イノベーション&IOテクニーク. 11. 4-17 (2003)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ichiro Tokutsu: "Quadrilateral market dependence"Journal of Policy Modeling. Vol.24, No.2. 119-150 (2002)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Ichiro Tokutsu: "A simple description of the Asian trade structure"Input-Output Analysis : Innovation & I-O Technique(in Japanese). Vol.11, No.1. 4-16

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2003 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 得津一郎: "アジア域内貿易の構造:可変投入係数モデルによる産業連関分析"産業連関:イノベーション&IOテクニーク. 11巻1号. 4-17 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2003 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 得津一郎: "アジア域内貿易の構造:可変投入係数モデルによる産業連関分析"産業連関:イノベーション&IOテクニーク. 11巻1号. 4-17 (2003)

    • Related Report
      2002 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2002-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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