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Empirical Studies of Political Reform and Political Order in the Middle East

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15H03308
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionRyukoku University

Principal Investigator

HAMANAKA Shingo  龍谷大学, 法学部, 教授 (40344783)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 高岡 豊  東京外国語大学, その他部局等, 非常勤講師 (10638711)
山尾 大  九州大学, 比較社会文化研究院, 准教授 (80598706)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,780,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥3,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥780,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥5,330,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,230,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Keywords世論調査実験 / 政治秩序 / 旗下集結効果 / 自然実験 / 世論調査 / シリア難民 / 宗派主義 / 支持態度 / 政治行動 / 中東政治 / 政党支持 / イラク / クルド / 政党支持態度 / シリア / 難民 / 政治学 / レバノン / 世論 / 国際紛争 / 外交政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

The study explored what kind of political order which the people seek to maintain under the situation that the political change supposed to be "democratization" but caused enormous conflicts in the Middle East. The people who had experienced the Arab Spring is not always satisfied with the governments that aim to solve social unrest and economic problems by policy. Therefore, in the research plan, we focused on the two themes of (1) empirical analysis of political regime, party support, and (2) analysis of factors that demand change in political order. We could identify the association between political support and the factors of seeking political change among the people.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

戦争の開戦時に急騰する政府支持が戦争の継続によって下落していく際、メディアのアナウンス内容に強く影響されることや、隣国での内戦が難民の流入という形で伝わると民衆が政治秩序の引き締めを求めることなど、周囲の社会環境に対する政治的態度の同調効果が中東諸国のような紛争地帯においても確認された。本研究の学術的意義としては、紛争地帯の社会において政治秩序を回復しようとするレジリエンスは世論に裏打ちされているというエビデンスが示されたことにあるだろう。社会的意義としてはCMEPS-J.netに掲示した世論調査の単純集計により、イスラエルやシリア、イラクに関する政治社会の諸相を公表できたことにある。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (52 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 8 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 5 results) Book (7 results) Remarks (5 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Yasar University(トルコ)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Beit Bear College(イスラエル)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Baghdad University(Iraq)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Israel Democracy Institute(Israel)

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Sensitivity to Casualties in the Battlefield: The Case of Israel2018

    • Author(s)
      Shingo Hamanaka
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Comparative Politics

      Volume: 3(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 46-60

    • DOI

      10.1177/2057891117725209

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 石油は呪いかお恵みか? : レンティア国家の数理・計量分析2018

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Journal Title

      龍谷法学

      Volume: 51 Pages: 93-122

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 合理的選択としての中東政変 : 権威主義体制はなぜ崩壊したのか2018

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Journal Title

      龍谷法学

      Volume: 51 Pages: 867-986

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] エルサレム問題とイスラーム過激派の知的退行2018

    • Author(s)
      髙岡豊
    • Journal Title

      中東研究

      Volume: 532 Pages: 51-66

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] From regional politics to street demonstrations: Changes in the Iraqi Communist Party’s political strategies in the post-war era2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamao Dai
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Contemporary Iraqi Studies

      Volume: 12 Issue: 2 Pages: 147-165

    • DOI

      10.1386/ijcis.12.2.147_1

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 新しい難民支援アプローチに立ちはだかる不都合な事実2018

    • Author(s)
      浜中 新吾
    • Journal Title

      龍谷法学

      Volume: 50(3) Pages: 451-467

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] アラブ政変後のイスラーム主義と民主政の政治文化2018

    • Author(s)
      浜中 新吾
    • Journal Title

      龍谷法学

      Volume: 50(4) Pages: 255-287

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ISなきイラクをめぐる競合―選挙戦略とクルディスターン地域政府(KRG)の住民投票2018

    • Author(s)
      山尾 大
    • Journal Title

      中東協力センターニュース

      Volume: 2018(1) Pages: 8-28

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 引き裂かれる国家-ISはイラクに何をもたらしたのか2017

    • Author(s)
      山尾 大
    • Journal Title

      世界

      Volume: 896 Pages: 159-167

    • NAID

      40021177599

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Demographic change and its social and political implications in the Middle East2017

    • Author(s)
      HAMANAKA, Shingo
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal of Comparative Politics

      Volume: 2(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 70-86

    • DOI

      10.1177/2057891116636490

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Foreign Affairs, the National Interest, and Secular-Religious Identities in Israel2016

    • Author(s)
      HAMANAKA, Shingo
    • Journal Title

      Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research

      Volume: 3(4) Issue: 4 Pages: 176-197

    • DOI

      10.15206/ajpor.2016.3.4.176

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Military Service as a Process of Political Socialization : The Case of Universal Conscription in Israel2016

    • Author(s)
      HAMANAKA, Shingo
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Japan Association for Middle East Studies

      Volume: 32(1) Pages: 71-87

    • NAID

      130007383348

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 紛争地帯での国内政治と国際政治の連関 ―自然実験によるレバノン市民の態度変容へのアプローチ―2016

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾、髙岡豊、溝渕正季
    • Journal Title

      レヴァイアサン

      Volume: 58 Pages: 110-131

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 阻止条項をめぐるエスノポリティックス2016

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Journal Title

      龍谷法学

      Volume: 49(2) Pages: 159-182

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of the Resource Mobilization Mechanism of the Islamic State2016

    • Author(s)
      TAKAOKA, Yutaka
    • Journal Title

      Perceptions

      Volume: 21(1) Pages: 11-26

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 介入の縮小という隘路――オバマ政権のイラク政策と広がる宗派対立2016

    • Author(s)
      山尾大
    • Journal Title

      中東研究

      Volume: 527 Pages: 14-27

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] エジプト革命におけるソーシャル・メディアの役割2015

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Journal Title

      年報政治学

      Volume: 2015-II Pages: 189-211

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 正統性をめぐるパズル:モロッコにおける君主制と議会政治2015

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾・白谷望
    • Journal Title

      比較政治研究

      Volume: 1 Pages: 1-19

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 「イスラーム国」とシステムとしての外国人戦闘員潜入2015

    • Author(s)
      髙岡豊
    • Journal Title

      中東研究

      Volume: 522 Pages: 18-31

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 「イスラーム国」の拡大と引き裂かれるイラク2015

    • Author(s)
      山尾大
    • Journal Title

      海外事情

      Volume: 63(9) Pages: 135-155

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 世論調査による中東地域研究の回顧と展望2018

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Organizer
      日本中東学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 紛争下のシリアについての調査と課題2018

    • Author(s)
      髙岡豊
    • Organizer
      日本中東学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地域研究と政治学を架橋する:イラクを事例に2018

    • Author(s)
      山尾大
    • Organizer
      日本中東学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Inconvenient Facts Hindering a New Approach to Refugee Assistance Program2018

    • Author(s)
      Shingo Hamanaka
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Experience and Consciousness of Migration among Arab Citizen - Focusing on Syrians2018

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Takaoka
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Reconfiguration of State Image in Fighting State Enemy in Iraq2018

    • Author(s)
      Dai Yamao
    • Organizer
      International Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Role of Social Media in the 2011 Egyptian Revolution2018

    • Author(s)
      Shingo Hamanaka
    • Organizer
      Southern Political Science Association
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Character of the Political Socialization among Syrian Refugees in Turkey2018

    • Author(s)
      Shingo Hamanaka
    • Organizer
      Seminar in Bagazici University, Istanbul, Turkey.
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Poll survey on Syrians in Turkey: Findings and Implications2018

    • Author(s)
      Yutaka Takaoka
    • Organizer
      Seminar in Bagazici University, Istanbul, Turkey.
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] イスラエルの旗下集結効果2017

    • Author(s)
      浜中 新吾
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A Comparative Study on Reconstruction of National History: Iraqi and Japanese Cases2017

    • Author(s)
      Dai Yamao
    • Organizer
      lecture in Mustansiriya University, Baghdad, Iraq.
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 分断社会の多元的な政軍関係――戦後イラクを事例に2016

    • Author(s)
      山尾大
    • Organizer
      日本国際政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Sensitivity to Casualties in the Battlefield: The Case of Israel2016

    • Author(s)
      HAMANAKA, Shingo
    • Organizer
      International Association of Political Science XXIV World Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Poznan World Congress Center, Poland
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 阻止条項をめぐるエスノポリティックス2016

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾
    • Organizer
      日本選挙学会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本大学法学部
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Demographic Change and Its Social and Political Implications in the Middle East2015

    • Author(s)
      HAMANAKA, Shingo
    • Organizer
      The Conference on Demography, Migration and Development “Facing Demographic Decline in Asia”
    • Place of Presentation
      Forest Hongo
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-09
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 正統性をめぐるパズル2015

    • Author(s)
      浜中新吾・白谷望
    • Organizer
      日本比較政治学会
    • Place of Presentation
      上智大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 「アラブの春」以後のイスラーム主義運動2019

    • Author(s)
      髙岡 豊、溝渕 正季
    • Total Pages
      336
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623082391
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 大統領制化の比較政治学2019

    • Author(s)
      岩崎 正洋
    • Total Pages
      280
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623082148
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] セキュリティ・ガヴァナンス論の脱西欧化と再構築2018

    • Author(s)
      足立 研幾
    • Total Pages
      312
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • ISBN
      9784623079537
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グローバル・ガバナンス学Ⅱ 主体・地域・新領域2018

    • Author(s)
      グローバル・ガバナンス学会、渡邊 啓貴、福田 耕治、首藤 もと子、蓮生 郁代、和田 洋典、大森 佐和、山尾 大、宮脇 昇、坂井 一成、牧野 久美子、土屋 大洋、宮坂 直史、山本 武彦
    • Total Pages
      282
    • Publisher
      法律文化社
    • ISBN
      9784589038814
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 中東・イスラーム世界の歴史・宗教・政治2018

    • Author(s)
      髙岡 豊、白谷 望、溝渕 正季
    • Total Pages
      240
    • Publisher
      明石書店
    • ISBN
      9784750346311
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 中東・イスラーム研究概説2017

    • Author(s)
      私市正年・浜中新吾・横田貴之
    • Total Pages
      390
    • Publisher
      明石書店
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 石油の呪い2017

    • Author(s)
      マイケル・ロス(松尾昌樹・浜中新吾 訳)
    • Total Pages
      343
    • Publisher
      吉田書店
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] HAMANAKA Laboratory (Middle East Politics)

    • URL

      http://www.law.ryukoku.ac.jp/~oshiro/index.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 現代中東政治研究ネットワーク(CMESP-J.net)

    • URL

      http://cmeps-j.net/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 山尾大(やまおだい)研究室

    • URL

      http://scs.kyushu-u.ac.jp/dai-yamao/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 公益財団法人中東調査会 研究員紹介 髙岡豊

    • URL

      https://www.meij.or.jp/aboutus/researcher/takaoka.html

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 現代中東政治研究ネットワーク

    • URL

      http://cmeps-j.net/

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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