Comparing non-voting political participation between Japan and the US: A causal inference using the Internet survey with a random sample

• Project/Area Number: 15H03317
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Politics
• Research Institution: Doshisha University
• Principal Investigator: Iida Takeshi 同志社大学, 法学部, 教授 (50468873)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): 西澤 由隆 同志社大学, 法学部, 教授 (40218152) ; 松林 哲也 大阪大学, 国際公共政策研究科, 准教授 (40721949) ; 三村 憲弘 武蔵野大学, 法学部, 准教授 (40453980)
• Project Period (FY): 2015-04-01 – 2020-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
• Budget Amount: ¥16,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,810,000); Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2018: ¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000); Fiscal Year 2017: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000); Fiscal Year 2015: ¥2,860,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥660,000)
• Keywords: インターネット調査 / 投票外参加 / 調査方法論 / 政治参加 / 確率標本 / 地図抽出 / リスク態度

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Focusing on the perceptions of the interests at stake and of a possibility for them to be realized, this study has revealed a part of the mechanism under which people engage in non-voting political participation in comparison to conventional voting participation. It has also conducted and accumulated knowledge on Internet surveys using a random sample of respondents recruited through an area sampling technique in comparison to conventional Internet surveys with a quota sample of registered respondents.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

第一に、本研究の理論的枠組みは今後デモなどの旧来の投票外参加にとどまらず、SNSにおける抗議運動など新たな種類の投票外参加のメカニズムについてもを応用することが可能である。第二に、本研究期間中にマスコミ各社も確率標本を用いたインターネット調査手法の確立に向けた取り組みを始めたが未だ実用化には至っておらず、これらの実務家コミュニティで共有された本研究の成果は今後のこの分野の発展に寄与することが期待される。

Research Products

• [Journal Article] 地図抽出による確率標本に対するインターネット調査：回答率の決定要因と調査モード間の比較 (2019)
  • Author(s): 飯田健・池田謙一・西澤由隆・松林哲也
  • Journal Title: 政策と調査 Volume: 17 Pages: 17-20
  • Open Access
• [Journal Article] Citizens' Constitutional Knowledge and American Representative Democracy (2019)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Journal Title: Japanese Journal of American Studies Volume: 30 Pages: 53-73
• [Journal Article] トランプ支持者再考：通説と実証研究との乖離 (2019)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Journal Title: 国際問題 Volume: 681 Pages: 6-17
• [Journal Article] ヘイトスピーチ規制への賛否はどう決まるのか (2019)
  • Author(s): 河野勝・西澤由隆
  • Journal Title: 中央公論 Volume: 2019年4月号 Pages: 166-180
• [Journal Article] 格差、治安、再分配支持：国家間のマルチレベル分析 (2018)
  • Author(s): 飯田 健
  • Journal Title: 日本比較政治学会年報 Volume: 20 Pages: 29-55
• [Journal Article] Media Coverage and the Association between Japanese Perceptions of South Korea and North Korea (2018)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Journal Title: Japanese Political Science Review Volume: 4 Pages: 1-25
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] 政党の争点立場認知と投票後悔：2016年参院選における護憲派による改憲勢力への投票 (2018)
  • Author(s): 飯田 健
  • Journal Title: 年報政治学 Volume: 2018-II Pages: 60-81
  • NAID: 130008135936
• [Journal Article] 『失われた20年』と政治格差：『福祉か減税か』に関するパズルをめぐって (2018)
  • Author(s): 西澤由隆
  • Journal Title: 同志社法学 Volume: 396 Pages: 59-91
  • Open Access
• [Journal Article] Consumption Tax Increase and Government Trust: Assessing Citizen Responses to the 2014 Consumption Tax Increase in Japan (2017)
  • Author(s): Jong Hee Park, Junghwan Lee, and Takeshi Iida
  • Journal Title: Korean Political Science Review Volume: 51 Issue: 3 Pages: 27-52
  • DOI: 10.18854/kpsr.2017.51.3.002
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] 熟議と熟慮：市民のニーズを探る新たな方法の模索 (2017)
  • Author(s): 田中愛治・齋藤純一・西澤由隆・田部井滉平
  • Journal Title: レヴァイアサン Volume: 61 Pages: 9-31
• [Journal Article] 期日前投票制度と投票率 (2017)
  • Author(s): 松林哲也
  • Journal Title: 選挙研究 Volume: 33(2) Pages: 58-72
  • NAID: 130007804673
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 熟議を条件付けるイデオロギー対立：反論提示実験による検証 (2017)
  • Author(s): 遠藤晶久・三村憲弘・山﨑新
  • Journal Title: レヴァイアサン Volume: 61 Pages: 115-136
• [Journal Article] 自民党大阪市会議員の大阪維新の会への鞍替えの分析：中選挙区制下の再選欲求と潜在的政策選好 (2016)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Journal Title: レヴァイアサン Volume: 59 Pages: 80-105
• [Journal Article] アメリカ政治学における数理モデルの衰退と実験の隆盛：因果効果の概念に着目して (2016)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Journal Title: 公共選択 Volume: 67 Pages: 46-64
• [Journal Article] Legislative Term Limits and Government Spending: Theory and Evidence from the United States (2016)
  • Author(s): Yasushi Asako, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Michiko Ueda
  • Journal Title: The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy Volume: 16 Issue: 3 Pages: 1501-1538
  • DOI: 10.1515/bejeap-2015-0216
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Eres Amigo o Enemigo? Contextual Determinants of Latinos’ Perceived Competition with African-Americans (2016)
  • Author(s): Tony E. Carey Jr., Valerie Martinez-Ebers, Tetsuya Matsubayashi, and Phillip Paolino
  • Journal Title: Urban Affairs Review Volume: 52 Issue: 2 Pages: 155-181
  • DOI: 10.1177/1078087415574347
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] 投票環境と投票率 (2016)
  • Author(s): 松林哲也
  • Journal Title: 選挙研究 Volume: 32 Pages: 47-60
  • NAID: 130007755075
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Surging Progressives in the Conservative Mood: The Conditional Effects of Income and Urbanism on Vote Choice in the 2014 Japanese Lower House Election (2016)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Journal Title: Asian Journal of Comparative Politics Volume: 1(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 6-24
  • DOI: 10.1177/2057891115620700
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] 有権者のリスク態度と政権基盤の強化：2013年参院選における分割投票 (2015)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Journal Title: 選挙研究 Volume: 31(1) Pages: 71-83
  • NAID: 130006528634
• [Journal Article] Social Protest and Policy Attitudes: The Case of the 2006 Immigrant Rallies (2015)
  • Author(s): Regina Branton, Tony E. Carey Jr., Valerie Martinez-Ebers, and Tetsuya Matsubayashi
  • Journal Title: American Journal of Political Science Volume: 59(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 390-402
  • DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12159
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] 世論調査の回答率と投票率の推定誤差 (2015)
  • Author(s): 松林哲也
  • Journal Title: レヴァイアサン Volume: 57 Pages: 96-117
  • NAID: 40020639674
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 他者への支援を動機づける同情と憐れみ：サーベイ実験による道徳的直観の検証 (2015)
  • Author(s): 三村憲弘
  • Journal Title: 年報政治学 Volume: 2015(1) Pages: 61-89
  • NAID: 130007395713
• [Presentation] Does a Patron State’s Hardline Posture Reassure the Public in an Allied State?: Evidence from a Pre-designed Natural Experiment (2019)
  • Author(s): Masaki Hata, Takeshi Iida, Yasuhiro Izumikawa, and Tongfi Kim
  • Organizer: Australian Society for Quantitative Political Science
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 地図抽出による確率標本に対するネット調査：誰が調査に協力するのか (2019)
  • Author(s): 飯田健・池田謙一・西澤由隆・松林哲也
  • Organizer: 第9回世論・選挙調査研究大会
• [Presentation] Buying Votes across Borders?: A Survey Experiment on Mexican Immigrants in the US. (2019)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida, Jaehyun Song, Jesus Tovar, and Yuriko Takahashi
  • Organizer: American Political Science Association
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Reference to Great Presidents and Support for Populist Claims in the U.S. (2019)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: The Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] The Alliance Dilemma in the Public Mind: A Survey Experiment in Japan (2018)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: The World Congress of the International Political Science Association
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 京都市における共産党の支持基盤 (2018)
  • Author(s): 飯田 健
  • Organizer: 第3回東アジア日本研究者協議会国際学術大会
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 社会構造の変化と有権者の投票選択 (2018)
  • Author(s): 松林哲也
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会研究大会
• [Presentation] 「模擬選挙」実験で検証する投票制度のメカニズム：大学と行政との連携プロジェクトを通じて (2018)
  • Author(s): 三村憲弘・深谷健
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会研究大会
• [Presentation] The Alliance Dilemma in the Public Mind: A Survey Experiment in Japan (2018)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Asian Electoral Studies Conference
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] The Alliance Dilemma in the Public Mind: A Survey Experiment in Japan (2018)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Southern Political Association
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Income Inequality and Income Bias in Voter Turnout (2018)
  • Author(s): Tetsuya Matsubayashi and Shiro Sakaiya
  • Organizer: American Political Science Association
• [Presentation] Awareness of Party Issue Differences and Regret on Vote: Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Japan (2017)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Southern Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: New Orleans, LA, USA
  • Year and Date: 2017-01-12
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] 2016年参院選における護憲派による改憲勢力への投票 (2017)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: 日本選挙学会
• [Presentation] 所得格差は再分配への支持を高めるか：国家間のマルチレベル分析 (2017)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: 日本比較政治学会
• [Presentation] アメリカン・クリードとしてのポピュリズム (2017)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
• [Presentation] フィールド実験で検証する高校生の投票参加: 大学と行政との連携プロジェクトを通じて (2017)
  • Author(s): 三村憲弘・深谷健
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
• [Presentation] 実験手法を用いた大学と行政との選挙連携プロジェクト (2017)
  • Author(s): 深谷健・三村憲弘
  • Organizer: 日本選挙学会
• [Presentation] イデオロギーの社会的アイデンティティ: 新たな測定の提案 (2017)
  • Author(s): 遠藤晶久・三村憲弘・山﨑新
  • Organizer: 日本選挙学会
• [Presentation] 政党の争点立場認知と投票後悔：2016年参院選における「改憲勢力3分の2」 (2016)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
  • Place of Presentation: 立命館大学大阪いばらきキャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2016-10-01
• [Presentation] 世論調査による政治的格差の時系列的分析 (2016)
  • Author(s): 西澤由隆
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
  • Place of Presentation: 立命館大学大阪いばらきキャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2016-10-01
• [Presentation] Voter turnout, election outcomes, and policy (2016)
  • Author(s): 松林哲也
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
  • Place of Presentation: 立命館大学大阪いばらきキャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2016-10-01
• [Presentation] 熟議の政治的メカニズム: 党派性・知識・イデオロギー (2016)
  • Author(s): 三村憲弘・遠藤晶久・山﨑新
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
  • Place of Presentation: 立命館大学大阪いばらきキャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2016-10-01
• [Presentation] How Do Political Knowledge and Partisanship Mediate the Effect of Political Discussion on Opinion Change?: An Experimental Study (2016)
  • Author(s): Masahisa Endo, Arata Yamazaki, and Norihiro Mimura
  • Organizer: International Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: Poznan, Poland
  • Year and Date: 2016-07-23
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Surging Progressives in the Conservative Mood: The Conditional Effects of Income and Urbanism on Vote Choice in the 2014 Japanese Lower House Election (2016)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Southern Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: San Juan, Puerto Rico
  • Year and Date: 2016-01-09
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Political Mechanisms of Deliberations with Ideology and Party Identification?: An Experimental Study (2016)
  • Author(s): Masahisa Endo, Norihiro Mimura, and Arata Yamazaki
  • Organizer: Southern Political Science Association
  • Place of Presentation: San Juan, Puerto Rico
  • Year and Date: 2016-01-08
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Awareness of Party Issue Differences and Regret on Vote: Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Japan. (2016)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Asian Electoral Studies Conference
  • Place of Presentation: National Chengchi University, Taiwan
  • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
• [Presentation] Surging Progressives in the Conservative Mood: The Conditional Effects of Income and Urbanism on Vote Choice in the 2014 Japanese Lower House Election (2015)
  • Author(s): Takeshi Iida
  • Organizer: Asian Electoral Studies Conference
  • Place of Presentation: 慶應義塾大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-10-24
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Surging Progressives in the Conservative Mood: The Conditional Effects of Income and Urbanism on Vote Choice in the 2014 Japanese Lower House Election (2015)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: 日本政治学会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-10-11
• [Presentation] 2008年大統領選挙における「ペロー」への投票 (2015)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Organizer: アメリカ学会
  • Place of Presentation: 国際基督教大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-06-07
• [Book] 有権者のリスク態度と投票行動 (2016)
  • Author(s): 飯田健
  • Total Pages: 185
  • Publisher: 木鐸社
• [Book] Electoral Survey Methodology: Insight from Japan on Using Computer Assisted Personal Interviews (2016)
  • Author(s): Masaru Kohno and Yoshitaka Nishizawa
  • Total Pages: 134
  • Publisher: Routledge
• [Book] 「日韓比較を通じた選挙制度の政治的影響の検証：経路依存・代表性・政治意識」康元澤・浅羽祐樹・高選圭編著『日韓政治制度比較』 (2015)
  • Author(s): 趙眞晩・飯田健
  • Total Pages: 186
  • Publisher: 慶應義塾大学出版会
• [Book] 政治行動論：有権者は政治を変えられるのか (2015)
  • Author(s): 飯田健・松林哲也・大村華子
  • Total Pages: 198
  • Publisher: 有斐閣