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Establishment and verification of maximum power control method for small wind power generator using wind speed / wind direction prediction model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15K00048
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokushima

Principal Investigator

Yasuno Takashi  徳島大学, 大学院社会産業理工学研究部(理工学域), 教授 (50263869)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 北島 孝弘  徳島大学, 技術支援部常三島技術部門, 技術支援職員 (90724104)
Project Period (FY) 2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords風速・風向予測 / 風力発電 / 最大出力制御 / 機械学習 / 深層学習 / ニューラルネットワーク / 統計的予測・制御 / ソフトコンピューティング
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, for the purpose of improving efficiency in maximum power control of small wind power generator, we proposed a control method using wind speed prediction value and examined its usefulness. In order to obtain good control performance, it is necessary to improve prediction accuracy of wind speed / wind direction, we investigated about various wind speed / wind direction prediction models (complex-valued neural network, support vector machine, 1 dimensional convolution neural network) based on statistical method. In addition, a simulation model of a maximum power control system using a chopper circuit was constructed and high efficiency improvement based on the wind speed prediction value was examined. However, it is necessary to further improve the wind speed prediction accuracy because the dependency of the wind speed prediction value is high.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (10 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Wind Speed Fluctuation Using Deep Belief Network with Ensemble Learning Method2017

    • Author(s)
      Shogo Yoshida, Hiroshi Suzuki, Takahiro Kitajima, Takashi Yasuno
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Signal Processing

      Volume: 21 Issue: 4 Pages: 183-186

    • DOI

      10.2299/jsp.21.183

    • NAID

      130005815310

    • ISSN
      1342-6230, 1880-1013
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Wind Speed Prediction Model Using LSTM and 1D-CNN2018

    • Author(s)
      Rui Fukuoka, Hiroshi Suzuki, Takahiro Kitajima, Akinobu Kuwahara, Takashi Yasuno
    • Organizer
      2018 RISP International Workshop on Nonlinear Circuits, Communications and Signal Processing
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Prediction of Wind Speed Fluctuation Using Deep Belief Network with Ensemble Learning Method2017

    • Author(s)
      Shogo Yoshida, Hiroshi Suzuki, Takahiro Kitajima, Takashi Yasuno
    • Organizer
      2017 RISP International Workshop on Nonlinear Circuits, Communications and Signal Processing
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyatt Regency Guam (Guam, USA)
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Sign Prediction of Wind Speed Change by Support Vector Machine2017

    • Author(s)
      Takahiro Kitajima, Shogo Yoshida, Hiroshi Suzuki, Takashi Yasuno
    • Organizer
      2017 RISP International Workshop on Nonlinear Circuits, Communications and Signal Processing
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyatt Regency Guam (Guam, USA)
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Deep Belief Networkを用いた風速増減予測システムのクラスタリングによる学習データ構築に関する一考察2017

    • Author(s)
      吉田匠吾,鈴木浩司,北島孝弘,安野卓
    • Organizer
      平成29年度電気関係学会四国支部連合大会講演論文集
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Correction Method of Wind Speed Prediction System using Predicted Wind Speed Fluctuation2016

    • Author(s)
      Shogo Yoshida, Hiroshi Suzuki, Takahiro Kitajima, Anuar Mohamed Kassim, and Takashi Yasuno
    • Organizer
      SICE ANNUAL CONFERENCE 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Tsukuba International Congress Center (茨城県・つくば市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Wind Speed Prediction System Using Multiple Time-Delayed Neural Networks2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Suzuki,Takashi Yasuno, Youhei Miyabe, Takahiro Kitajima
    • Organizer
      2016 RISP International Workshop on Nonlinear Circuits, Communications and Signal Processing
    • Place of Presentation
      Honolulu, Hawaii (the USA)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 中間層出力を継承する複数の階層型ニューラルネットワークを用いた風速の増減予測2016

    • Author(s)
      吉田匠吾,鈴木浩司,北島孝弘,安野卓
    • Organizer
      平成28年度電気関係学会四国支部連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学 常三島キャンパス(徳島県・徳島市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 複数の階層型ニューラルネットワークを用いた簡易風速予測における最適な入力情報の検討2015

    • Author(s)
      宮部洋平,北島孝弘,鈴木浩司,安野卓
    • Organizer
      2015年度計測自動制御学会四国支部学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      高知工科大学 香美キャンパス (高知県・香美市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 階層型ニューラルネットワークを複数用いた風速予測における最適な学習手法に関する一考察2015

    • Author(s)
      宮部洋平,北島孝弘,安野卓
    • Organizer
      平成27年度電気関係学会四国支部連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      高知工科大学 香美キャンパス (高知県・香美市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2015-04-16   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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