Establishment of prediction models of important diseases considering space and global environmental factors

Research Project

Project/Area Number	15K19238
Research Category	Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
Allocation Type	Multi-year Fund
Research Field	Epidemiology and preventive medicine
Research Institution	Foundation for Biomedical Research and Innovation
Principal Investigator	Nishimura Tsutomu 公益財団法人先端医療振興財団, その他部局等, 研究員 (10447980)
Project Period (FY)	2015-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status	Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help	¥4,030,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥930,000) Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000) Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000) Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords	Biometeorology / 自殺 / 環境要因 / 地磁気 / 気象 / 宇宙 / 疾患天気予報 / 宇宙天気予報 / 予防医学 / 先制医療 / 環境医学 / 臨床疫学
Outline of Final Research Achievements	Daily data for the past 40 years, by prefectures and by diseases were obtained from Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. We got daily environmental factors such as space and weather for the past 40 years. Using the data from 1979 to 2013, we examined the relationship between the number of daily deaths due to each disease and the environmental factors related to the space and weather. There were correlations between many environmental factors and the number of deaths due to many diseases. Research leader confirmed the reproducibility of the results of Japan on the correlation between geomagnetic disturbance and the number of suicides in the joint research with the China medicine university in Taiwan. We also examined the relationship with environmental factors for other diseases, and established prediction models for deaths of important diseases.
Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements	様々な宇宙環境要因が様々な疾患の増悪に関与する仮説が得られた。今後、因果関係を含めた検証が必要である。