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Data assimilation of advanced precipitation radar to meso-scale numerical simulation and its application for rainfall and flood prediction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16360246
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 水工水理学
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

NAKAKITA Eiichi  Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Professor (70183506)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) TANAKA Kenji  KYOTO Univ., Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Associate Professor (30283625)
TSUBOKI Kazuhisa  NAGOYA Univ., Hydrospheric-Atmospheric Research Center (HyARc), Associate Professor (90222140)
OISHI Satoru  YAMANASHI Univ., Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Medicine and Engineering, Associate Professor (30252521)
NAKAGAWA Katsuhiro  National Institute of Information and Communications Technology, Applied Electromagnetic Research Center, Researcher (80359009)
SUZUKI Yohiharu  UTSUNOMIYA Univ., Faculty of Engineering, Assistant (80344901)
Project Period (FY) 2004 – 2006
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2006)
Budget Amount *help
¥15,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥15,200,000)
Fiscal Year 2006: ¥2,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥3,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥9,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,600,000)
Keywordspolarimetric radar / doppler radar / meso scale meteorological model / cloud resolving numerical simulation / typhoon / earth simulator / rainfall prediction / rain drop size distribution / 二偏波レーダー / 次世代型レーダー / メソ数値予報 / 雲解像モデル / 短時間降雨予測 / CReSS / COBRA / データ同化 / 4次元変分
Research Abstract

Many kinds of precipitation processes including convective rain and stratiform rain was observed by COBRA, 400MHz WPR and ground based rainfall observation devices in 2004 (baiu season, typhoon season) and in 2006 (baiu season, typhoon season, fall and winter season). The collected data have been used for investigation and development of cloud microphysical processes including analysis of rain drops size distribution (DSD), vertical profile of DSD, evaluation of polarimetric parameter of COBRA, and development of algorithms for DSD above melting layer by 400MHz WPR. Effectiveness of polarimetric parameters of multi parameter Doppler radar “COBRA" including horizontal radar echo (ZH), vertical radar echo (ZV), differential reflectivity (ZDR) and specific differential phase shift (KDP) has been investigated. Then effectiveness of linear depolarisation ratio (LDR) was shown by comparison of observed parameters and parameters estimated parametrically non-from DSD that was obtained by disdr … More ometer observation. Moreover, a rainfall rate estimation method has been built and evaluated by considering the polarimetric parameters.
Extended Karman filter, ensemble Karman filter and four dimensional variation method have been applied to original hydrostatic numerical simulation model in order to develop assimilation methods for polarimetric parameters to cloud resolving numerical simulation. Then, it is found that ensemble Karman filter was the best way to assimilation.
Meso scale processes inside typhoons were new point of view to investigate the growth and movement of typhoon. Therefore, analysis of COBRA data and numerical simulation were conducted. Then, eye wall corruption by impact of convective cell to eye wall organization was found by the analysis of COBRA data. Wind field simulated by CReSS was also analyzed for corruption of eye wall organization. Especially vorticity and divergence of horizontal wind was focused.
These results were reported and will be used in the second stage that is grant-in-aid for scientific research (A) from 2007 to 2009. Less

Report

(4 results)
  • 2006 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2005 Annual Research Report
  • 2004 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (38 results)

All 2007 2006 2005 2004

All Journal Article (38 results)

  • [Journal Article] 最新型Cバンド偏波レーダを用いた降雨量推定精度の検証2007

    • Author(s)
      中北英一, 竹畑栄伸, 中川勝広
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第51号

      Pages: 325-330

    • NAID

      130003842464

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 地形性降雨を導入したレーダー及びGPV情報を用いた台風性降雨予測手法の開発2007

    • Author(s)
      中北英一, 足立 充, 北井 剛
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第51号

      Pages: 337-342

    • NAID

      130003842466

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report 2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 400MHz帯ウィンドプロファイラおよびCOBRAを用いた融解層上層の粒径分布推定手法の開発2007

    • Author(s)
      北村 康司, 中川 勝広, 関澤 信也, 花土 弘, 高橋 暢宏, 井口俊夫
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第51号

      Pages: 349-354

    • NAID

      130003842468

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 4DDA of radar echo and Doppler velocity by an atmospheric model with a conceptual precipitation Model2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita, E., Y. Sato, K. Takenouchi
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering Vol. 51

      Pages: 103-108

    • NAID

      130003842355

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Validation of Rainfall Intensity Estimated Using the Latest C-Band Polarimetric Rader2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita E., H. Takehata, K. Nakagawa
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol. 51

      Pages: 325-330

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Development of Method of Predicteting Typhoon-related Rainfall with Rader and GPV Information Introducing Orographic rainfall2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita E., M. Adachi, T. Kitai
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol. 51

      Pages: 337-342

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Development of a Method to Estimate of Drop Size Distribution Above the Melting Layer by Using 400MHz-Band Wind Profiler and COBRA2007

    • Author(s)
      KITAMURA Y., K. Nakagawa, S. SEKIZAWA, H. HANADO, N. TAKAHASHI, T. IGUCHI
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol. 51

      Pages: 349-354

    • NAID

      130003842468

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 4DDA of radar echo and Doppler velocity by an atmospheric model with a conceptual precipitation Model2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita E., Y. Sato, K. Takenouchi
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol. 51

      Pages: 103-108

    • NAID

      130003842355

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 4DDA of radar echo and Doppler velocity by an atmospheric model with a conceptual precipitation Model2007

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita, E., Y.Sato, K.Takenouchi
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering Vol. 51

      Pages: 103-108

    • NAID

      130003842355

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 400MHz帯ウィンドプロファイラおよびCOBRAを用いた融解層上層の粒径分布推定手法の開発2007

    • Author(s)
      北村 康司, 中川 勝広, 関澤 信也, 花土 弘, 高橋 暢宏, 井口 俊夫
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第51号

      Pages: 349-354

    • NAID

      130003842468

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Four dimensional data Assimilation of radar echo and Doppler velocity by an atmospheric model with a conceptual precipitation model2006

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita, E. Y. Sato K. Takenouchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the 6th Japan-Taiwan Joint Seminar on Natural Hazard Mitigation CD=ROM

      Pages: 10-10

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Development of a C-band polarimetric and pulse compression radar in Okinawa, Japan2006

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa K., H. Hanado, N. Takahashi, S. Satoh, K. Fukutani, T. Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      paper presented at the 2006 IGARSS

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Rainfall observation by using COBRA and 443MHz Wind profiler, 20062006

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa K., Y. Kitamura, Y. Shusse
    • Journal Title

      QPE/QPF Workshop

      Pages: 109-116

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Rainfall Estimation from C-Band Polarimetric Radar in Okinawa, Japan : Comparison with 2D-Video Disdrometer and 400 MHz Wind Profiler2006

    • Author(s)
      V. N. Brinig, M, Thurai, K. Nakagawa, G. J. Huang, T. Kobayashi. A. Adachi, H. Hanado, S. Sekizawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 84, No. 4

      Pages: 705-724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Reservoir's Lifetime Based on the Erosion and Sedimentation on Sengguruh and Sutami Reservoirs Indonesia2006

    • Author(s)
      Dian Sisinggih, K. Sunada, S. Oishi
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering Vol. 49

      Pages: 1063-1068

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Four dimensional data Assimilation of radar echo and Doppler velocity by an atmospheric model with a conceptualprecipitation model2006

    • Author(s)
      Nakakita E., Y. Sato, K. Takenouchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the 6th Japan-Taiwan Joint Seminar on Natural Hazard Mitigation (CD-ROM)

      Pages: 10-10

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Development of a Oband polarimetric and pulse compression radar in Okinawa, Japan2006

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa K., H. Hanado, N. Takahashi, S. Satoh, K. Fukutani, T. Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      paper presented at the 2006 IGARSS

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Rainfall Estimation from C-Band Polarimetric Radar in Okinawa, Japan : Comparison with 2D-Video Disdrometer and 400 MHz Wind Profiler2006

    • Author(s)
      Brinig V. N., M. Thurai, K. Nakagawa, G. J. Huang, T. Kobayashi. A. Adachi, H. Hanado, S. Sekizawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 84, No. 4

      Pages: 705-724

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 実運用降雨予測システムの高度化に向けた新たな可降水量推定手法の開発2006

    • Author(s)
      橋本徳昭, 高田望, 大石哲
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第50号

      Pages: 289-294

    • NAID

      130003842293

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Rainfall Estimation from C-Band Polarimetric Radar in Okinawa, Japan : Comparison with 2D-Video Disdrometer and 400 MHz Wind Profiler2006

    • Author(s)
      V.N.Brinig, M.Thurai, K.Nakagawa, G.J.Huang, T.Kobayashi, A.Adachi, H.Hanado, S.Sekizawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan Vol. 84, No. 4

      Pages: 705-724

    • Related Report
      2006 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 最新型二編波ドップラーレーダーを用いた降水量推定精度の向上2006

    • Author(s)
      中北英一, 竹畑栄伸, 中川勝広
    • Journal Title

      京都大学防災研究所年報 第49号(印刷中)

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 夏季の山地域における対流性流水土壌水分量の違いが与える影響2006

    • Author(s)
      相馬一義, 田中賢治, 中北英一, 池淵周一
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 50巻(CD-ROM)

      Pages: 6-6

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 400MHz帯ウインドプロファイラを用いた融解層より上層における粒径分布の推定手法の開発2006

    • Author(s)
      北村康司, 中川勝広, 関澤信也, 花土弘, 高橋暢宏, 井口俊夫
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 50巻(CD-ROM)

      Pages: 6-6

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Effects of spatial scales of topography upon precipitation-topography relationship in mountainous regions2005

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Y., S. Miyata, E. Nakakita, S, Ikebuchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of International Conference on Monitoring, Prediction and Mitigation of Water-Related Disasters (MPMD-2005)

      Pages: 215-220

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Field campaign of observing precipitation in the 2004 rainy season of Okinawa, Japan2005

    • Author(s)
      Nakagawa K, Y. Kitamura, K. Iwanami, H. Hanado, K. Okamoto
    • Journal Title

      IGRASS/IEEE

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Three-dimensional characteristics of polarimetric radar variables and their precipitation-type dependence2005

    • Author(s)
      Shusse Y., K. Nakagawa, N. Takahashi, K. Iwanami, S. Satoh, T. Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc 32nd Conf on Radar Meteor, AMS, Albuquerque, NM

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Vertical profile of raindrop size distribution by using 400MHz wind profiler in stratiform rainfall2005

    • Author(s)
      Kitamura Y. K. Nakagawa, S. Sekizawa, H. Hanado, N. Takahashi, T. Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc 32nd Conf on Radar Meteor, AMS, Albuquerque, NM

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Reservoir's Lifetime Based on the Erosion and Sedimentation on Sengguruh and Sutami Reservoirs Indonesia2005

    • Author(s)
      Dian Sisinggih, K. Sunada, S. Oishi
    • Journal Title

      Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol. 49

      Pages: 1063-1068

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Effects of spatial scales of topography upon precipitation-topography relationship in mountainous regions2005

    • Author(s)
      Suzuki Y, S. Miyata, E. Nakakita, S, Ikebuchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of International Conference on Monitoring, Prediction and Mitigation of Water-Related Disasters(MPMD-2005)

      Pages: 215-220

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Three-dimensiona characteristics of polarimetric radar variables and their precipitation-type dependence2005

    • Author(s)
      Shusse Y, K. Nakagawa, N. Takahashi, K. Iwanami, S. Satoh, T. Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      Proc 32nd Conf on Radar Meteor, AMS, Albuquerque, NM

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2006 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] 雲解像モデルを用いた台風の高解像度シミュレーション-2004年の台風18号・23号について2005

    • Author(s)
      坪木和久
    • Journal Title

      月刊海洋 42

      Pages: 186-193

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] A numerical study on the effects of Taiwan topography on a convective line during the Mei-yu season.2005

    • Author(s)
      Wang, C.C., G.T.J.Chen, T.C.Chen, K.Tsuboki
    • Journal Title

      Monthly Weather Review 133

      Pages: 3217-3242

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 沖縄偏波降雨レーダ(COBRA)を用いた降雨の鉛直構造特性に関する研究2005

    • Author(s)
      中川 勝広, 北村 康司, 花土 弘, 高橋 暢宏, 井口 俊夫
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 Vol.49

      Pages: 277-282

    • NAID

      130003842128

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Reservoir's Lifetime Based on the Erosion and Sedimentation on Sengguruh and Sutami Reservoirs2005

    • Author(s)
      Dian Sisinggih, Kengo Sunada, Satoru Oishi
    • Journal Title

      Indonesia Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE Vol.49

      Pages: 1063-1068

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 降雨-地形関係の時間・空間変動特性を考慮した山岳域における降雨分布特性の解析2005

    • Author(s)
      鈴木善晴, 鎌田雅憲, 宮田昇平, 中北英一, 長谷部正彦, 池淵周一
    • Journal Title

      土木学会水工学論文集 第49巻

      Pages: 265-270

    • NAID

      130003842126

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Drop Size Dstribution in Okinawa, Japan, from 2D-Video Distrometer and C-band Polarimetric Radar2004

    • Author(s)
      V.N.Bringi, K.Nakagawa, M.Thurai, H.Hanado, T.Iguchi
    • Journal Title

      European Conference on Radar in Meteorology and Hydrology (ERAD)

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The multi-scale structure and development mechanism of mesoscale cyclones2004

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhisa Tsuboki, Tomio Asai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan 82巻,1号

      Pages: 597-621

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 平面二次元地表流モデルと飽和不飽和地中流モデルの結合2004

    • Author(s)
      藤原一樹, 市川 温, 椎葉充晴
    • Journal Title

      土木学会第59回年次学術講演会

      Pages: 73-74

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2004-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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