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STATISTICAL INFERENCE FOR STOCHASTIC PROCESSES

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16500173
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

YOSHIDA Nakahiro  University of Tokyo, GRADUATE SCHOOL OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES, PROFESSOR (90210707)

Project Period (FY) 2004 – 2005
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2005)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000)
Fiscal Year 2005: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Fiscal Year 2004: ¥1,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000)
Keywordsjump / stochastic differential equation / statistical random field / large deviation inequality / Bayes estimation / change point problem / 尤度比 / 漸近展開 / 非同期共分散推定 / 保険数理 / マリアバン解析 / ミキシング / CUSUM検定 / 非同期観測 / 確率場
Research Abstract

1. An M-estimator with jump/non-jump discrimination filter was further investigated and the asymptotic behavior of the estimator was derived.
2. The change point problem for a continuously observed diffusion process was studied and the asymptotic properties were found. The estimator was constructed by an initial estimator that possesses a nice property, to avoid the degeneracy problem of the information.
3. A new large deviation inequality was introduced and the asymptotic properties of the M-estimator and the Bayesian type estimators were investigated. The result was applied to estimation for a diffusion process and several new results were obtained. A uniform estimate for the statistical random field was provided. The statistical random field in question essentially becomes a random field over a non-bounded parameter space, and an large deviation estimate plays an essential role to realize the program by connecting a global estimate and the loeal asymptotic quadratic structure.
4. The error bound of the Euler-Maruyama approximation for the stochastic differential equation with jumps was studied.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2005 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 2004 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2006 2005 2004 Other

All Journal Article (15 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (13 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansion and information criteria2006

    • Author(s)
      Uchida, M., Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      SUT J. Math. 42

      Pages: 31-58

    • NAID

      120006398038

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Test for parameter change in diffusion processes by cusum statistics based on one-step estimators2006

    • Author(s)
      Lee, S., Nishiyama, Y., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 58

      Pages: 211-222

    • NAID

      40007343848

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansion and information criteria2006

    • Author(s)
      Uchida, M., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      SUT J.Math. 42

      Pages: 31-58

    • NAID

      120006398038

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansicm for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard's stochastic vulatility model2005

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications 115

      Pages: 1167-1186

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On covariance estimation of nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes2005

    • Author(s)
      Hayashi, T., Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      Bernoulli 11

      Pages: 359-379

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansion for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard's stochastic volatility model2005

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications 115

      Pages: 1167-1186

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] On covariance estimation of nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes2005

    • Author(s)
      Hayashi, T., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Bernoulli 11

      Pages: 359-379

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Journal Article] Monte Carlo simulation with asymptotic method2005

    • Author(s)
      A.Takahashi, N.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      J.Japan Statist.Soc. 35

      Pages: 171-203

    • NAID

      110003495322

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansion for Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard's stochastic volatility model2005

    • Author(s)
      H.Masuda, N.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications 115

      Pages: 1167-1186

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] On covariance estimation of nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes2005

    • Author(s)
      T.Hayashi, N.Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Bernoulli 11

      Pages: 359-379

    • Related Report
      2005 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Partial mixing and conditional Edgeworth expansion2004

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      Probab. Theory Related Fields 129

      Pages: 559-624

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An application of the double Edgeworth expansion to a filtering problem2004

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H., Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Statistics & Probability Letters 70

      Pages: 37-48

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic expansion formulas for functionals of epsilon-Markoy processes with a mixing property2004

    • Author(s)
      Sakamoto, Y., Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 56

      Pages: 545-597

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Expansions of the coverage probabilities of prediction region based on a shrinkage estimator2004

    • Author(s)
      Sakamoto, Y., Takada, Y., Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      Statistics 38

      Pages: 381-390

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] An asymptotic expansion scheme for optimal investment problems. Statist. Infer. Stochast. Process2004

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi, A., Yoshida, N
    • Journal Title

      Statist, Infer. Stochast. Process 7

      Pages: 153-188

    • Related Report
      2004 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequalities and quasi-likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equations2006

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Risk Measures & Risk Management for High-Frequency Data
    • Place of Presentation
      EURANDOM, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
    • Year and Date
      2006-03-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Quasi-likelihood analysis and asymptotic expansion over Wiener-Poisson space2006

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Theory and Practice of Statistical Inference for Stochastic Differential Equations II
    • Place of Presentation
      Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2006-02-20
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequalities and inference for stochastic differential equations by sampled data2006

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      International Conference "Time Series Analysis and Its Related Topics"
    • Place of Presentation
      Waseda University
    • Year and Date
      2006-01-24
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Bayes estimators for stochastic differential equations2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Theory and Practice of Statistical Inference for Stochastic Differential Equations I
    • Place of Presentation
      Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2005-12-15
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Mighty convergence of statistical random fields and applications to stochastic differential equations2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Asymptotic methods in Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2005-12-07
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic methods in statistics and their application to finance2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Groupe de travail methods stochastiques et finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Mathematiques Appliquees Universite de Marne la Vallee
    • Year and Date
      2005-03-25
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion and its applications to finance2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      The Second Bachelier Colloquium
    • Place of Presentation
      Metabief, France
    • Year and Date
      2005-01-10
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequality for a statistical random field and its applications2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Statistique Asymptotique des Processus Stochastiques V
    • Place of Presentation
      Universite' du Maine, Le Mans
    • Year and Date
      2005-01-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequality for a statistical random field and its applications2005

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Statistique Asymptotique des Processus Stochastiques V
    • Place of Presentation
      Universite'du Maine, Le Mans
    • Year and Date
      2005-01-06
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequality for a statistical random field and its applications2004

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Asysmptotic Expansion
    • Place of Presentation
      Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences,The University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2004-11-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Polynomial type large deviation inequality for a statistical random field and its applications2004

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      Asysmptotic Expansion
    • Place of Presentation
      Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2004-11-16
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Estimation for a stochastic differential equation with jumps : Inference for Partiallv Observed processes, sampling and asymptotic expansions2004

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH WORKSHOP 2004
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Copenhagen
    • Year and Date
      2004-06-07
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Presentation] Estimation for a stochastic differential equation with jumps : Inference for Partially Observed processes, sampling and asymptotic expansions2004

    • Author(s)
      Yoshida, N.
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH WORKSHOP 2004
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Copenhagen
    • Year and Date
      2004-06-07
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Remarks] 「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より

    • Related Report
      2005 Final Research Report Summary

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Published: 2004-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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