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Theoretical and empirical analyses of economic performance and the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy under capital market imperfections

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H02026
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Shibata Akihisa  京都大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (00216003)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 浅野 貴央  岡山大学, 社会文化科学研究科, 教授 (40423157)
中嶋 智之  東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科(経済学部), 教授 (50362405)
國枝 卓真  関西学院大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (60511516)
高橋 修平  京都大学, 経済研究所, 准教授 (60645406)
岡田 啓介  関西大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (70633064)
梶井 厚志  関西学院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (80282325)
平口 良司  明治大学, 政治経済学部, 専任教授 (90520859)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2020-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
Budget Amount *help
¥32,760,000 (Direct Cost: ¥25,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥7,560,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥7,930,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,830,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥10,010,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,310,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥9,750,000 (Direct Cost: ¥7,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,250,000)
Keywords金融市場の不完全性 / 不確実性 / 経済制度 / 金融・財政政策 / 景気循環 / 経済成長 / ナイト的不確実性 / 景気循環と経済成長 / 金融政策 / 財政政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

There are intrinsic information asymmetries in in financial markets, which disturb the functioning of the markets. In this project, we took into account such capital market imperfections and analyzed many macroeconomic issues. First, we showed that the existence of capital market imperfections can be a source of bubbles and a destabilizing factor in the economy. We also provided analyses of effective macroeconomic policies under these circumstances. We also introduced shocks that do not allow us to know the probability distribution in advance (Knightian uncertainty), and analyzed how the existence of uncertainty affects the dynamic behavior of various agents. We focused on the role of institutions such as education and investigated macroeconomic implications of institutions.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

為替レート等の資産価格の急変動は、経済活動に大きな影響を及ぼす。我々は、金融市場の不完全性が、経済に不安定性・非効率性をもたらす要因になり得ることを様々な形で明らかにした。また、経済の非効率性・不安定性を取り除くために有効な政策についても多くの示唆を得た。歴史上前例のない急速な高齢化の進展や突然のパンデミックの発生など、事前には確率分布を知ることのできないようなショックを我々は立て続けに経験している。ナイト的不確実性とはこのような状況を描写するものである。ナイト的不確実性を明示的に導入することにより、標準的なモデルでは説明できない国際分散投資の現状等について合理的な説明を与えることに成功した。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (36 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (22 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 22 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 1 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Time-varying wage risk, incomplete markets, and business cycles2020

    • Author(s)
      Shuhei Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Review of Economic Dynamics

      Volume: - Pages: 195-213

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.red.2019.11.001

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Refinements and Higher Order Beliefs: A Unified Survey2020

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Kajii, Stephen Morris
    • Journal Title

      The Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 71 Issue: 1 Pages: 7-34

    • DOI

      10.1007/s42973-019-00006-x

    • NAID

      210000168339

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Does Financial Development Amplify Sunspot Fluctuations?2020

    • Author(s)
      Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura
    • Journal Title

      Pure and Applied Functional Analysis

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Note on the Uniqueness of Steady-State Equilibrium under State-Dependent Wage Setting2020

    • Author(s)
      Shuhei Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Macroeconomic Dynamics

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Portfolio Allocation Problems between Risky and Ambiguous Assets2019

    • Author(s)
      Asano, Takao and Yusuke Osaki
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Operations Research

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 1 Pages: 63-79

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10479-019-03206-1

    • NAID

      120006845805

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Endogenous Business Cycles in a Perpetual Youth Model with Financial Market Imperfections2019

    • Author(s)
      Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Economic Theory

      Volume: 15 Issue: 3 Pages: 231-248

    • DOI

      10.1111/ijet.12233

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Effectiveness of Consumption Taxes and Transfers as Insurance Against Idiosyncratic Risk2019

    • Author(s)
      Nakajima Tomoyuki, Takahashi Shuhei
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 2-3 Pages: 505-530

    • DOI

      10.1111/jmcb.12597

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Current account dynamics under information rigidity and imperfect capital mobility2019

    • Author(s)
      Akihisa Shibata; Mototsugu Shintani; Takayuki Tsuruga
    • Journal Title

      Journal of International Money and Finance

      Volume: 92 Pages: 153-176

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.12.001

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Optimal Initial Capital Induced by the Optimized Certainty Equivalent2019

    • Author(s)
      Takuji Arai, Takao Asano, and Katsumasa Nishide
    • Journal Title

      Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

      Volume: 85 Pages: 115-125

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.01.006

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Chaotic Dynamics of a Piecewise Linear Model of Credit Cycles2019

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano and Masanori Yokoo
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 80 Pages: 9-21

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmateco.2018.11.001

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Consequentialism and dynamic consistency in updating ambiguous beliefs2018

    • Author(s)
      Asano Takao, Kojima Hiroyuki
    • Journal Title

      Economic Theory

      Volume: 68 Issue: 1 Pages: 223

    • DOI

      10.1007/s00199-018-1121-0

    • URL

      https://pure.teikyo.jp/en/publications/f938626c-d603-4102-abd2-2b2e147fbfc5

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report 2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Specializations, Financial Constraints, and Income Distribution2018

    • Author(s)
      Takuma Kunieda, Kazuo Nishimura, and Akihisa Shibata
    • Journal Title

      International Review of Economics & Finance

      Volume: - Pages: 3-14

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.iref.2018.03.012

    • NAID

      120006576466

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Two-Sector Growth Model with Credit Market Imperfections and Production Externalities2018

    • Author(s)
      Kunieda Takuma, Nishimura Kazuo
    • Journal Title

      Advances in Mathematical Economics

      Volume: 22 Pages: 117-137

    • NAID

      120006873040

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Finance and Economic Growth in a Dynamic Game2018

    • Author(s)
      Kunieda Takuma、Nishimura Kazuo
    • Journal Title

      Dynamic Games and Applications

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 3 Pages: 588-600

    • DOI

      10.1007/s13235-018-0249-7

    • NAID

      120006576465

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Health and political regimes: Evidence from quantile regression2018

    • Author(s)
      Okada Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Economic Systems

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 2 Pages: 1-26

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.06.003

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Why prices don't respond sooner to a prospective sovereign debt crisis2018

    • Author(s)
      R. Anton Braun and Tomoyuki Nakajima
    • Journal Title

      Review of Economic Dynamics

      Volume: 29 Pages: 235-255

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.red.2018.01.005

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Favorite-Longshot Bias in Parimutuel Betting: an Evolutionary Explanation2017

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Kajii and Takahiro Watanabe
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization

      Volume: 149 Pages: 56-69

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jebo.2017.05.001

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The optimum quantity of debt for Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Tomoyuki Nakajima and Shuhei Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 46 Pages: 17-26

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2017.08.002

    • NAID

      210000187350

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How Does Democratization Affect the Composition of Government Expenditure?2017

    • Author(s)
      Kotera, Go and Keisuke Okada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization

      Volume: 137 Pages: 145-159

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jebo.2017.03.004

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Corruption and Natural Resource Rents: Evidence from Quantile Regressions2017

    • Author(s)
      Okada, Keisuke and Sovannroeun Samreth
    • Journal Title

      Applied Economics Letters

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 20 Pages: 1490-1493

    • DOI

      10.1080/13504851.2017.1287849

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Asset Bubbles, Economic Growth, and a Self-fulfilling Financial Crisis2016

    • Author(s)
      Takuma Kunieda and Akihisa Shibata
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Monetary Economics

      Volume: 82 Pages: 70-84

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.07.001

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Consumption Externalities and Indeterminacy in a Continuous-Time Two-Sector Growth Model2016

    • Author(s)
      Takuma Kunieda and Kazuo Nishimura
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Dynamical Systems and Differential Equations

      Volume: 6 Issue: 4 Pages: 385-369

    • DOI

      10.1504/ijdsde.2016.081821

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Decentralizability of efficient allocations with heterogeneous forecasts2019

    • Author(s)
      Atsushi Kajii
    • Organizer
      Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Oil Bonanza and the Composition of Government Expenditure2019

    • Author(s)
      岡田啓介
    • Organizer
      琉球大学コンファレンス:マクロ経済動学の理論・実証分析
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A theory of non-performing loans and debt restructuring2018

    • Author(s)
      Nakajima, Tomoyuki
    • Organizer
      18th Annual SAET Conference
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does State-Dependent Wage Setting Generate Multiple Equilibria?2018

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi, Shuhei
    • Organizer
      European Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does State-Dependent Wage Setting Generate Multiple Equilibria?2018

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi, Shuhei
    • Organizer
      Australasian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does State-Dependent Wage Setting Generate Multiple Equilibria?2018

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi, Shuhei
    • Organizer
      China Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The Optimum Quantity of Debt for Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi Shuhei
    • Organizer
      2017 Asian Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Skill Premium2017

    • Author(s)
      Takahashi Shuhei
    • Organizer
      International
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Conditional Comonotonicity, Consequentialism, and Dynamic Consistency in Updating Ambiguous Beliefs2016

    • Author(s)
      Takao Asano
    • Organizer
      China Meeting of Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Effectiveness of Consumption Taxes and Transfers as Insurance2016

    • Author(s)
      Shuhei Takahashi
    • Organizer
      Midwest Macro Meetings Spring 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The Effectiveness of Consumption Taxes and Transfers as Insurance2016

    • Author(s)
      Shuhei Takahashi
    • Organizer
      2016 Taipei International Conference on Growth, Trade and Dynamics
    • Place of Presentation
      Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Tawian
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] On a solution path to the optimal growth model2016

    • Author(s)
      Ryoji Hiraguchi
    • Organizer
      The 22nd International Conference on Difference Equations and Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      I-site Namba, Osaka Prefecture University, Osaka
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Temptation and Self-control in a Monetary Economy2016

    • Author(s)
      平口良司
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学東山キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 基盤研究(A)「不完全な金融市場下での経済パフォーマンスと金融財政政策に関する理論・実証分析」

    • URL

      http://www.shibata.kier.kyoto-u.ac.jp/mext2016.html

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2021-02-19  

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