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Statistical Study for Understanding and Prediction of Solar Explosive and Eruptive Phenomena

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16H07478
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Astronomy
Research InstitutionJapan Aerospace EXploration Agency

Principal Investigator

Bamba Yumi  国立研究開発法人宇宙航空研究開発機構, 宇宙科学研究所, 宇宙航空プロジェクト研究員 (30779541)

Research Collaborator KUSANO Kanya  名古屋大学, 宇宙地球環境研究所, 教授 (70183796)
INOUE Satoshi  名古屋大学, 宇宙地球環境研究所, 特任助教 (50432216)
IMADA Shinsuke  名古屋大学, 宇宙地球環境研究所, 助教 (40547965)
SHIOTA Daikou  情報通信研究機構, 電磁波研究所, 研究員 (90462192)
Lee Kyoung-Sun  国立天文台, 太陽観測科学プロジェクト, 研究員
Leka K. D.  Northwest Research Associates, Senior Research Scientist
Brooks David H.  George Mason大学, 駐在職員
Project Period (FY) 2016-08-26 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords太陽フレア / フレアトリガ / 太陽黒点 / フレア予測 / 宇宙天気 / ひので衛星 / SDO衛星 / IRIS衛星 / コロナ質量放出 / 判別分析 / 太陽物理学 / 天文 / 自然現象観測・予測
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We aim to decide parameters for prediction of solar explosive and eruptive events based on understanding of physical processes. We performed observational verification of theoretical models and statistical data analysis for solar flares observed by the Hinode and SDO satellites. We quantitatively confirmed the physical processes and occurrence conditions of solar flare. Moreover, we proposed new candidates of parameters that would be useful for flare prediction, and discussed universality of our flare trigger model and its parameters.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 10 results,  Invited: 3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Northwest Research Associates(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Northwest Research Associates(米国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Evaluation of Applicability of a Flare Trigger Model Based on a Comparison of Geometric Structures2018

    • Author(s)
      Bamba Yumi、Kusano Kanya
    • Journal Title

      The Astrophysical Journal

      Volume: 856 Issue: 1 Pages: 43-43

    • DOI

      10.3847/1538-4357/aaacd1

    • NAID

      120006486774

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Study on Precursor Activity of the X1.6 Flare in the Great AR 12192 with SDO, IRIS, and Hinode2017

    • Author(s)
      Bamba Yumi、Lee Kyoung-Sun、Imada Shinsuke、Kusano Kanya
    • Journal Title

      The Astrophysical Journal

      Volume: 840 Issue: 2 Pages: 116-116

    • DOI

      10.3847/1538-4357/aa6dfe

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Triggering Process of the X1.0 Flare in the Great Active Region NOAA 121922017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bamba, S. Inoue, K. Kusano, and D. Shiota
    • Journal Title

      The Astrophysical Journal

      Volume: 838 Issue: 2 Pages: 134-150

    • DOI

      10.3847/1538-4357/aa6682

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] IRIS, Hinode, SDO, and RHESSI Observations of a White Light Flare Produced Directly by Nonthermal Electrons2017

    • Author(s)
      Kyoung-Sun Lee, Shinsuke Imada, Kyoko Watanabe, Yumi Bamba, David H. Brooks
    • Journal Title

      The Astrophysical Journal

      Volume: 836 Issue: 2 Pages: 150-150

    • DOI

      10.3847/1538-4357/aa5b8b

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] 分光観測で迫るフレアトリガメカニズム2018

    • Author(s)
      伴場由美、今田晋亮、草野完也
    • Organizer
      太陽研連シンポジウム
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] ダブルアーク不安定性の臨界条件に基づく太陽フレア予測の試みについて2018

    • Author(s)
      草野完也、Johan Muhamad、石黒直行、伊集朝哉、井上諭、伴場由美
    • Organizer
      PSTEP・ISEE研究集会「太陽地球圏環境予測のためのモデル研究の展望」
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 2017年9月6日に発生したXクラスフレアのトリガに関する観測データ解析2018

    • Author(s)
      伴場由美、今田晋亮
    • Organizer
      PSTEP・ISEE研究集会「太陽地球圏環境予測のためのモデル研究の展望」
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Statistical Test of a Flare Trigger Model using Discriminant Analysis2017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bambam K. D. Leka, G. Barnes, E. Wagner
    • Organizer
      PSTEP-2
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto/Japan
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 太陽フレア活動と磁場の捻じれとの相関に関する統計解析2017

    • Author(s)
      旭友希、草野完也、伴場由美、塩田大幸、柴山拓也
    • Organizer
      日本天文学会春季年会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡/日本
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-15
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] The statistical analysis of correlation between solar flares and photospheric magnetic field2017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Asahi, K. Kusano, Y. Bamba, D. Shiota, and T. Shibayama
    • Organizer
      Japan Geophysical Union Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Triggering Scenario of Geo-effective Solar Eruption on 15 March 20152017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bamba, S. Inoue, K. Hayashi
    • Organizer
      Daiwa-Adrian Workshop
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Multi-wavelength Spectroscopic Observation of a White Light Flare Produced Directly by Non-thermal Electrons2017

    • Author(s)
      K. S. Lee, S. Imada, K. Watanabe, Y. Bamba, D. H. Brooks
    • Organizer
      American Astronomical Society Solar Physics Division Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Triggering Scenario of Geo-effective Solar Eruption on 15 March 20152017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bamba, S. Inoue, K. Hayashi
    • Organizer
      American Astronomical Society Solar Physics Division Meeting
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 太陽フレア活動と磁場のねじれとの相関に関する統計解析2017

    • Author(s)
      旭友希、草野完也、伴場由美、塩田大幸、柴山拓也
    • Organizer
      日本天文学会秋季年会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] St Patrick's Stormの原因となったフィラメント噴出のトリガに関する研究2017

    • Author(s)
      伴場由美、井上諭、林啓志
    • Organizer
      地球電磁気・地球惑星圏学会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Study on Precursor Activity of the X1.6 Flare in AR 121922017

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bamba, K. S. Lee, S. Imada, K. Kusano
    • Organizer
      Hinode-11/IRIS-8
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Onset Mechanism of Solar Eruptions2016

    • Author(s)
      K. Kusano, Y. Bamba, S. Inoue, N. Ishigro, J. Muhamad, T. Shibayama, D. Shiota, S. Imada, T. Miyoshi, Y. Asahi, Y. Mizuno, H. Yonaha
    • Organizer
      APPC-AIP
    • Place of Presentation
      Brisbane/Australia
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-04
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Quantitative Estimation of the Energy Flux in a White Light Flare Kernel Observed by Hinode, IRIS, SDO, and RHESSI2016

    • Author(s)
      K. S. Lee, S. Imada, K. Watanabe, Y. Bamba
    • Organizer
      日本天文学会秋季年会
    • Place of Presentation
      愛媛/日本
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Onser Process of an X2.2-Class Solar Flare on 2011 February 152016

    • Author(s)
      S. Inoue, Y. Bamba
    • Organizer
      Hinode-10
    • Place of Presentation
      Aichi/Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Onset Mechanism of Solar Eruptions2016

    • Author(s)
      K. Kusano, Y. Bamba, S. Inoue, N. Ishigro, J. Muhamad, T. Shibayama, D. Shiota, S. Imada, T. Miyoshi, Y. Asahi, Y. Mizuno, H. Yonaha
    • Organizer
      Hinode-10
    • Place of Presentation
      Aichi/Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Current Status and Future Issues of the Observational Study for Solar Flare Trigger Process2016

    • Author(s)
      Y. Bamba, K. Kusano
    • Organizer
      Hinode-10
    • Place of Presentation
      Aichi/Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-05
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Remarks] SDO/HMI Science Nuggets

    • URL

      http://hmi.stanford.edu/hminuggets/?p=2436

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-09-02   Modified: 2022-05-23  

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