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Is government spending under zero interest rates useful? -Theoretical analysis using DSGE model and empirical analysis on Japan and the US

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K03707
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionKomazawa University

Principal Investigator

EGUCHI MASATAKA  駒澤大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (40600507)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 岡野 衛士  名古屋市立大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (20406713)
稲垣 一之  名古屋市立大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 准教授 (70508233)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords政府債務 / 財政政策 / 財政破綻 / 最適財政政策 / 最適金融政策 / ソブリンデフォルト / 物価水準の財政理論 / 国債のデフォルト / 経済政策 / 財政学 / 政策シミュレーション / ゼロ金利
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We changed our analysis from the effects of fiscal policy under zero interest rates to the optimal fiscal and monetary policy in the economy with sovereign default risk. This is because the topic of government debt such as Fiscal Theory of Price Level (FTPL) and Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) became hot issues during the research period, we thought it is necessary to take into account the sustainability of government debt for an analysis of fiscal policy. The research have been presented 17 times at international conferences, 1 paper has already been published in international academic journals, 2 paper has been submitted (revise and resubmit), and 2 papers will be submitted.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

近年、日本のみならず世界中の国々で政府債務の累積が問題視されており、その帰結についての議論に注目が集まっている。本研究では、最先端のDSGEモデルに政府債務のデフォルトリスクを導入し、増税するのか、インフレにするのか、それともいっそのことデフォルトをしてしまうかのいずれが最適となるかを分析しており、学術的にも社会的にも重要な意義がある研究であると自負している。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 17 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] New York University(米国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Inflation Stabilization and Default Risk in a Currency Union2018

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Okano and Masashige Hamano
    • Journal Title

      Macroeconomic Dynamics

      Volume: 55 Pages: 1790-1807

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How are Rapidly Aging Countries being Affected as Elderly People Work Longer? A Case of International Capital Flows2018

    • Author(s)
      Kazuyuki Inagaki
    • Journal Title

      名古屋市立大学経済学会ディスカッ ションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: 633 Pages: 1-56

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] UV曲線と賃金版フィリップス曲線の変動要因─DSGEモデルからの視点2017

    • Author(s)
      江口允崇・寺本和弘
    • Journal Title

      日本労働研究雑誌

      Volume: 683 Pages: 23-43

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      Okano Eiji and Inagaki Kazuyuki
    • Journal Title

      名古屋市立大学経済学会ディスカッションペーパーシリーズ

      Volume: 66 Pages: 1-29

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Okano
    • Organizer
      3rd International Conference on Banking and Finance Perspectives
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Eguchi
    • Organizer
      the 2018 Public Economic Theory conference (PET2018)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Okano
    • Organizer
      8th International Conference on Economics (EconWorld2018)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Masataka Eguchi
    • Organizer
      Economic Society of Australia - ACE Conference 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      江口允崇
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2018年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Importance of Awareness of Default Risk on Conducting Monetary and Fiscal Policies2018

    • Author(s)
      Eiji Okano, Masataka Eguchi
    • Organizer
      26th Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES) Conference, University of Finance and Administration
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How are Countries being Affected as Elderly People Work Longer? A Case of International Capital Flows2018

    • Author(s)
      稲垣一之
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会2018年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How are Countries being Affected as Elderly People Work Longer? A Case of International Capital Flows2018

    • Author(s)
      稲垣一之
    • Organizer
      Nagoya Macroeconomics Workshop
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How are Countries being Affected as Elderly People Work Longer? A Case of International Capital Flows2018

    • Author(s)
      稲垣一之
    • Organizer
      成長分配格差の中長期マクロ研究会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2018

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      Eastern Economic Association 44th Annual Meetings
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2018

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      26th Symposium of the Society of Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy in an Economy with Sovereign Risk2018

    • Author(s)
      江口允崇
    • Organizer
      Pan Pacific Conference in Economic Research
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      Royal Economic Society 2017 Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      SEM 2017 - 4th Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      Singapore Economic Review Conference 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      Money Macro and Finance Annual Conference 2017
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from a DSGE Viewpoint2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      XXIX Annual Conference of the Italian Society of Public Economics
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Role Model of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Rules in an Economy with Sovereign Risk: Evidence from Indonesia2017

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士・江口允崇
    • Organizer
      2017 年度日本応用経済学会春季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from the DSGE View2016

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      The 57th Conference of the Italian Economic Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Boccononi University
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from the DSGE View2016

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      Asia-Pacific Conference on Economics and Finance (APEF 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      East Asia Institute of Management
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-27
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from the DSGE View2016

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      45th Australian Conference of Economists (ACE 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Flinders University of South Australia
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-11
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from the DSGE View2016

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      10th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Coimbra
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-01
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Revisiting the Fiscal Theory of Sovereign Risk from the DSGE View2016

    • Author(s)
      岡野衛士
    • Organizer
      The 19th Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES) Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul Technical University
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Technological Progress, Income Distribution, and Unemployment: Theory and Empirics2019

    • Author(s)
      Hideyuki Adachi, Kazuyuki Inagaki, Tamotsu Nakamura, Yasuyuki Osumi
    • Total Pages
      104
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2022-02-21  

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