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Calculation of thinning volume considering cascade use at prefecture level

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16K07772
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Forest science
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

Hiroshima Takuya  東京大学, 大学院農学生命科学研究科(農学部), 講師 (40302591)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 中島 徹  東京大学, 大学院農学生命科学研究科(農学部), 助教 (10598775)
Project Period (FY) 2016-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Keywords間伐 / 都道府県 / 搬出 / 燃料材 / 最適採材 / 都道府県別 / 用途別 / LYCS / 木質バイオマス / 採材
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We developed thinning volume calculation model considering cascade use at prefecture level. We also conducted simulations to predict commercial thinning volumes based on 3 scenarios of "business as usual", "promoting final cutting" and "promoting thinning" to check whether the domestic timber production goal of 32 million m3 in 2020 is achievable or not. As a result, all 3 scenarios are going to achieve the production goal in terms of thinning and imply that there is no problem to proceed current thinning trends (i.e. "business as usual" scenario) to achieve the goal in 2020. In addition, it is found that about 20-30 % of total commercial thinning volume are distributed to fuel woods for energy uses in common prefectures.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

研究成果のアウトリーチとして,用途別(用材・燃料材)間伐材生産量の予測結果や,2020年国産材生産量3,200万m3の達成可能性(シミュレーションの結果,直近の生産目標を達成する上では,現状の間伐傾向で問題ないことが示唆された)を,学会,シンポジウム等を通じて,公表することにより,国,地方自治体,民間事業者といった様々なレベルにおけるバイオマス発電所/ボイラーの設置計画や燃料材の調達見通しに関する施策・事業計画の意志決定に寄与する。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (28 results)

All 2019 2018 2017 2016 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (14 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 6 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] ソウル国立大学(韓国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 国立台湾大学実験林(中国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] マレーシアサバ大学(マレーシア)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 間伐材の安定供給に向けた生産コスト面からの課題2019

    • Author(s)
      幡建樹・中島徹・井上雅文
    • Journal Title

      日本森林学会大会学術講演集

      Volume: 130 Pages: 109-109

    • NAID

      130007645811

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 都道府県別 間伐材生産量の中・長期的予測2019

    • Author(s)
      廣嶋卓也・中島徹
    • Journal Title

      日本森林学会大会学術講演集

      Volume: 130 Pages: 75-75

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Survival analysis of tree population in natural forest2018

    • Author(s)
      HIROSHIMA T
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of "The 8th Symposium of Asian University Forest Consortium"

      Volume: 1 Pages: 69-69

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Local growth variations in Sugi plantations2018

    • Author(s)
      HIROSHIMA T, KARUKOME T, YONEMICHI M, SUZUKI M, TSUKAGOSHI T, FUJIHIRA K
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of "NTU - UTokyo Joint Workshop on Long-term Monitoring and Data Analysis for Ecosystem Services in Asian University Forests"

      Volume: 1 Pages: 49-49

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Calculation of commercial thinning volumes in 47 prefectures in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshima T, Nakajima T, Kanomata H
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Forest Research

      Volume: 23 Issue: 1 Pages: 47-55

    • DOI

      10.1080/13416979.2017.1391367

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Latitudinal variation in radial growth phenology of Cryptomeria japonica D. Don trees in Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Nishizono T, Zushi K, Hiroshima T, Toyama K, Kitahara F, Terada F, Takagi M, Saito S
    • Journal Title

      Forestry

      Volume: 91 Issue: 2 Pages: 206-216

    • DOI

      10.1093/forestry/cpx055

    • NAID

      130007376294

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ヤマビル駆除用リンゴ酸液剤の植物に対する影響2017

    • Author(s)
      久本洋子・當山啓介・広嶋卓也・山田利博・沖野滉一・江上浩
    • Journal Title

      関東森林研究

      Volume: 68-2 Pages: 97-100

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 全国自治体における「森林管理・環境保全直接支払制度」導入前後の間伐傾向の変化2016

    • Author(s)
      広嶋卓也
    • Journal Title

      森林計画学会誌

      Volume: 49 Pages: 83-93

    • NAID

      130007403330

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 森林経営計画制度における更正期の概念と主伐量上限制約2016

    • Author(s)
      當山啓介,広嶋卓也,白石則彦
    • Journal Title

      森林計画学会誌

      Volume: 49 Pages: 75-81

    • NAID

      130007403314

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別 間伐材生産量の中・長期的予測2019

    • Author(s)
      廣嶋卓也・中島徹
    • Organizer
      第130回日本森林学会大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Teak harvesting schedule to set the limits on uneven age classes -Evaluating plantation grown teak of Sri Lanka-2019

    • Author(s)
      WIJENAYAKE R, HIROSHIMA T, YAMAMOTO H
    • Organizer
      FORMATH Okinawa 2019
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 間伐材の安定供給に向けた生産コスト面からの課題2019

    • Author(s)
      幡建樹・中島徹・井上雅文
    • Organizer
      第130回日本森林学会大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Survival analysis of tree population in natural forest2018

    • Author(s)
      HIROSHIMA T
    • Organizer
      The 8th Symposium of Asian University Forest Consortium
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Local growth variations in Sugi plantations2018

    • Author(s)
      HIROSHIMA T, KARUKOME T, YONEMICHI M, SUZUKI M, TSUKAGOSHI T, FUJIHIRA K
    • Organizer
      NTU - UTokyo Joint Workshop on Long-term Monitoring and Data Analysis for Ecosystem Services in Asian University Forests
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別間伐モデルによる利用間伐量のシミュレーション-2020年国産材自給率40%の達成条件-2018

    • Author(s)
      廣嶋卓也・中島徹・鹿又秀聡
    • Organizer
      森林計画学会秋季セミナー2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別伐出可能量に基づく国レベルのバイオマス供給量の評価2018

    • Author(s)
      中島徹・中島譲・広嶋卓也・龍原哲・白石則彦・鹿又秀聡・松本光郎・岡勝・光田靖
    • Organizer
      第129回日本森林学会大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Introduction of the Computerized Yield Table Construction System in Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Takuya Hiroshima, Tohru Nakajima
    • Organizer
      SNU-UTokyo Joint Workshop on Long-term Monitoring and Data Analysis of Forest Resources and Environment
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 多様な時空間スケールに対応可能な森林計画策定支援システムの検討2017

    • Author(s)
      中島徹・中島譲・広嶋卓也・龍原哲・白石則彦・光田靖・鹿又秀聡・北原文章・田中真哉・松本光朗・岡勝
    • Organizer
      木材利用システム研究会
    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 最適採材による用材・燃料材区分を考慮した都道府県別・間伐材生産量予測モデルの開発2017

    • Author(s)
      広嶋卓也,中島徹
    • Organizer
      第128回日本森林学会大会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学(鹿児島県鹿児島市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Introduction of carbon offsetting credit projects in the University of Tokyo Forests2017

    • Author(s)
      Takuya Hiroshima
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Long-term Monitoring and Data Analysis of Forest Resources and Environment
    • Place of Presentation
      Universiti Malaysia Sabah(Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 森林資源の現状把握に基づく保続計画のあり方とそこに存在する課題2017

    • Author(s)
      中島徹,広嶋卓也,龍原哲,白石則彦,鹿又秀聡,松本光朗
    • Organizer
      森林科学セミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都文京区)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Simulating Thinning Volume Utilized at National Level: Conditions to Achieve 40% Self-sufficiency of Timber in 20202016

    • Author(s)
      Takuya Hiroshima, Hidesato Kanomata and Tohru Nakajima
    • Organizer
      Sustainable forest management in a rapidly changing world: Philosophy and technology for forest resource management
    • Place of Presentation
      Mie university(三重県津市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 多様な森林施業に対応した林業経営収支予測システムの構築2016

    • Author(s)
      中島徹,広嶋卓也,龍原哲,白石則彦,鹿又秀聡,松本光朗
    • Organizer
      森林利用学会&森林計画学会合同若手セミナー2016
    • Place of Presentation
      森林総合研究所四国支所(高知県高知市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 森林計画学2019

    • Author(s)
      田中和博・吉田茂二郎・白石則彦・松村直人 編(第7章分担執筆 廣嶋卓也)
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 森林学の百科事典2019

    • Author(s)
      日本森林学会 編(第8章分担執筆 廣嶋卓也)
    • Publisher
      丸善出版
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2016-04-21   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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