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Occurrence probability of the gigantic fire whirls observed in the 1923 Kanto Earthquake in contemporary cities

Research Project

Project/Area Number 17H03369
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Town planning/Architectural planning
Research InstitutionNational Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management

Principal Investigator

Himoto Keisuke  国土技術政策総合研究所, 建築研究部, 主任研究官 (90436527)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 林 吉彦  国立研究開発法人建築研究所, 防火研究グループ, グループ長 (70212157)
成瀬 友宏  国土技術政策総合研究所, 建築研究部, 室長 (50237624)
Project Period (FY) 2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥14,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,420,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,990,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥690,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥7,280,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,680,000)
Keywords市街地火災 / 地震火災 / 火災旋風 / 火災 / 関東大震災 / 延焼シミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Fire whirl is a tornado-like vortex of flame associated with urban fires, which would cause extensive human and property damages if occurred. However, to date, the occurrence condition of fire whirls has not been fully investigated. The issues that have been addressed in this study are as follows: 1) development of a statistical model for the post-earthquake ignition probability considering inter-earthquake heterogeneity; 2) development of a similarity model for the temperature field downwind of a fire source in cross-wind for reducing computational cost of fire spread simulation; and 3) wind tunnel experiments for investigating the occurrence conditions of fire whirls. These results can be used to evaluate the occurrence probability of fire whirls in contemporary cities by integrating them into the fire spread simulation.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

火災旋風の発生は,地震時等に発生が予想される市街地火災の被害を飛躍的に拡大させる可能性がある.このため,発生のメカニズムについて実験的・理論的な分析が加えられることはあったが,実際の市街地でどの程度の危険性が想定されるのか,明らかになっていなかった.本研究では,火災延焼に関する数値シミュレーションの結果を活用することで,実験的な分析の結果を実際の市街地での評価に拡張できるようにした.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • 2017 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (10 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 2017

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results) Presentation (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Temperature Elevation and Trajectory in the Downwind Region of Rectangular Fire Sources in Cross-winds2020

    • Author(s)
      Himoto K, Deguchi Y.
    • Journal Title

      Fire Safety Journal

      Volume: 116 Pages: 103183-103183

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.firesaf.2020.103183

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Post‐Earthquake Ignition Probabilities Considering Inter‐Earthquake Heterogeneity2020

    • Author(s)
      Himoto Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Risk Analysis

      Volume: - Issue: 6 Pages: 1124-1138

    • DOI

      10.1111/risa.13455

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Quantification of cross-wind effect on temperature elevation in the downwind region of fire sources2019

    • Author(s)
      Himoto Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Fire Safety Journal

      Volume: 106 Pages: 114-123

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.firesaf.2019.04.010

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Comparative Analysis of Post-Earthquake Fires in Japan from 1995 to 20172019

    • Author(s)
      Himoto Keisuke
    • Journal Title

      Fire Technology

      Volume: Vol.55, No.3 Issue: 3 Pages: 935-961

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10694-018-00813-5

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 糸魚川市において大規模火災が発生した背景について2017

    • Author(s)
      樋本圭佑
    • Journal Title

      火災

      Volume: 67 Pages: 8-13

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 都市防火対策の系譜と市街地火災時の風の影響2017

    • Author(s)
      竹谷修一・林吉彦・樋本圭佑・岩見達也
    • Journal Title

      日本風工学会誌

      Volume: 42 Pages: 251-260

    • NAID

      130006516977

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 火災旋風の発生条件を分析するためのL字型火源周辺流れ場のPIV計測2020

    • Author(s)
      樋本圭佑・出口嘉一・林吉彦
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 有風下における可燃物間の延焼時間の分析2019

    • Author(s)
      田島慎之助・樋本圭佑・大宮喜文
    • Organizer
      日本建築学会大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 横風の影響を受ける火災プルームの軸上温度上昇2019

    • Author(s)
      樋本圭佑
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 中規模火源を利用した火災旋風の発生条件に関する検討2018

    • Author(s)
      樋本圭佑・林吉彦・成瀬友宏
    • Organizer
      日本火災学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report 2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2017-04-28   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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