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Prediction of landslide dam collapse by combining a riverbed fluctuation model and a slope failure model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H01547
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22040:Hydroengineering-related
Research InstitutionRitsumeikan University

Principal Investigator

SATOFUKA YOSHIFUMI  立命館大学, 理工学部, 教授 (20215875)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 堤 大三  三重大学, 生物資源学研究科, 教授 (40372552)
藤本 将光  立命館大学, 理工学部, 准教授 (60511508)
宮田 秀介  京都大学, 防災研究所, 助教 (80573378)
中谷 加奈  京都大学, 農学研究科, 助教 (80613801)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,900,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥6,110,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,410,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥7,020,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,620,000)
Keywords天然ダム / 河床変動モデル / 斜面崩壊モデル / 進行性崩壊 / 越流決壊 / すべり破壊 / 洪水ハイドログラフ / すべり崩壊 / 決壊予測 / 氷河湖の決壊 / 紀伊半島豪雨災害 / 平成30年7月豪雨 / 河床変動計算 / 氾濫解析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

When a large-scale collapse of a mountain slope occurs due to heavy rain or an earthquake, the collapsed sediment sometimes fills the river channel to form a landslide dam. When a landslide dam collapses, a large-scale flood and debris flow will occur, so it is necessary to accurately predict the scale and estimate the downstream inundation range. In this study, experiments were conducted to clarify the collapse mechanism. targeting the "progressive collapse" that occurs when the infiltration flow inside the natural dam flows out from the lower end of the downstream slope of the dam, and " Instantaneus dam failure" when the natural dam becomes unstable. We also developed a numerical simulation method that can predict the dam failure process and the flood hydrograph due to dam collapse by combining the riverbed fluctuation model and the slope failure model.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

従来、天然ダムが決壊した際の洪水規模の予測は越流決壊によるダムの決壊を対象としてきたため、進行性崩壊やすべり崩壊が発生した場合には洪水規模を的確に予測できない可能性が高かった。本研究により、種々の崩壊プロセスを対象とした洪水発生の予測が可能となり、ダム決壊時の洪水氾濫範囲の予測精度が大幅に向上することが期待できる。

Report

(4 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 7 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Debris Flow Simulations Due to Landslide Dam Outburst and Considering Effective Countermeasures2020

    • Author(s)
      Nakatani, K., Kosugi, K., Satofuka, Y.
    • Journal Title

      ICL Contribution to Landslide Risk Reduction, Understanding and Reducing Landslide Disaster Risk

      Volume: 4 Pages: 235-240

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-030-60706-7_21

    • ISBN
      9783030607050, 9783030607067
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Application of time domain reflectometry to high suspended sediment concentration measurements: laboratory validation and preliminary field observations in a steep mountain stream2020

    • Author(s)
      Miyata, S., Mizugaki, S., Naito, S., Fujita, M.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Hydrology, 585, Article 124747

      Volume: 585 Pages: 1-10

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124747

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 天然ダムのすべり破壊により生じる洪水流の規模に関する研究2020

    • Author(s)
      高山翔揮,星山博紀,藤本将光,里深好文
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 76

    • NAID

      130008122505

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Acquisition of 3D Coordinates of a Landslide Dam Deformation Process by SfM Using Multiple Experimental Videos2020

    • Author(s)
      Takayama, S., Nakauchi, T., Fujimoto, M., Satofuka
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Asia-Japan Research Institute of Ritsumeikan University

      Volume: 2 Issue: 0 Pages: 45-58

    • DOI

      10.34389/asiajapan.2.0_45

    • NAID

      130007935369

    • ISSN
      2435-0184, 2435-0192
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 進行性崩壊による天然ダム決壊過程に関する研究2020

    • Author(s)
      高山翔揮・藤本将光・里深好文
    • Journal Title

      砂防学会誌

      Volume: 72 Pages: 3-14

    • NAID

      130007969059

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 進行性崩壊による天然ダム決壊過程に関する現地実験2019

    • Author(s)
      高山翔揮・星山博紀・宮田秀介・藤本将光・里深好文
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集B1(水工学)

      Volume: 75

    • NAID

      130007940209

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Debris-flow monitoring and warning: Review and examples2019

    • Author(s)
      Hurlimann Marcel、Coviello Velio、Bel Coraline、Guo Xiaojun、Berti Matteo、Graf Christoph、H?bl Johannes、Miyata Shusuke、Smith Joel B.、Yin Hsiao-Yuan
    • Journal Title

      Earth-Science Reviews

      Volume: 199 Pages: 102981-102981

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102981

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] GLOF risks assessment on Tsho Rolpa lake due to moraine melt caused by global warming2021

    • Author(s)
      Kokoro SUZUKI, Daizo TSUTSUMI, Shoki TAKAYAMA and Yoshifumi SATOFUKA
    • Organizer
      Online International Workshop on Multimodal Sediment Disasters, January 2021
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 氷河湖決壊洪水(GLOF)の発生リスク評価法確立のための研究‐現地観測結果を用いた数値解析‐2020

    • Author(s)
      鈴木心,堤大三,里深好文,高山翔揮
    • Organizer
      2020年度砂防学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 平成30年7月豪雨で発生した土砂移動・土砂流出の数値シミュレーション2019

    • Author(s)
      林聖也,中谷加奈,小杉賢一朗,長谷川祐治,里深好文
    • Organizer
      2019年度(公社)砂防学会研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Study on hazard mapping of landslide dam breaking and debris flows with simulations2019

    • Author(s)
      Kana NAKATANI
    • Organizer
      2019 Workshop on Emergency Operation for Landslide Dam, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Debris flow simulations occurring from landslide dam outburst at Mt.Sinabung2018

    • Author(s)
      Nakatani, K., Satofuka, Y., Gonda, Y., Miyamoto, K.
    • Organizer
      21st International Association for Hydro Environment Engineering and Research(IAHR)- Asia Pacific Division (APD) Congress, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 凍結融解によるモレーンダム強度変化を想定した氷河湖決壊危険度の検討2018

    • Author(s)
      鈴木心、堤大三、高山翔揮、里深好文
    • Organizer
      中部森林学会大会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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