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Analyzing Survey Non-Respondents and Developing Sample-Selection Correction Method

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H01561
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22050:Civil engineering plan and transportation engineering-related
Research InstitutionKumamoto University

Principal Investigator

圓山 琢也  熊本大学, くまもと水循環・減災研究教育センター, 准教授 (20361529)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 柿本 竜治  熊本大学, 大学院先端科学研究部(工), 教授 (00253716)
藤見 俊夫  熊本大学, くまもと水循環・減災研究教育センター, 准教授 (40423024)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥8,320,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,920,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywords無回答バイアス / 欠損データ / 代理回答 / 丸め誤差 / サンプルセレクション / 社会調査 / 無回答 / バイアス / 代理回答バイアス / 郵送調査 / 調査回答バイアス / 熊本地震
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

本研究は,災害復興時と平常時の社会調査の未回答者の実態を把握し,未回答にともなう調査結果の多様なバイアスを明らかにすることと,その補正法の開発と実証を目的としている.本年度は以下の成果を挙げた.
(1)2016年熊本地震による益城町の被災者向けの災害公営住宅の希望戸数の推計問題を対象に,回答時期による回答世帯の属性の違いや無回答世帯の実態を明らかにし,どのような世帯に督促や追加調査が有効であるかを示した.また,回答属性の偏りを考慮しない場合の推計結果のバイアス等も明らかにした.この成果は審査付き論文として公表済みである.
(2)交通調査に含まれるバイアスとして,出発時刻などの回答値を丸めて回答されるという丸め回答誤差と,本来の対象者以外が代理で回答することによる代理回答バイアスに着目した分析を進めた.丸め誤差の発生傾向が交通目的・手段別に異なることや,代理回答と推測されるデータには,出発時刻等の丸め誤差が多く含まれるなどの知見を得ている.これらの成果は複数の国際誌公表済みである.
(3)公共交通機関の利便性が高い地域への居住誘導により自動車保有率の変化を促す施策の評価を行う場合,単純に都市環境が異なる地域の自動車保有率を比較した分析では厳密な因果推論が行えない課題がある.これは未観測変数にともなう選択バイアスが一因であり,その補正法の開発は重要である.その課題に対応したサンプルセレクションモデルについて,連続量を扱う既存モデルを,離散変数を扱うモデルに拡張し,実証的な成果を挙げている.この成果は学会で発表済みである.

Research Progress Status

令和2年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

令和2年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Report

(3 results)
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report

Research Products

(31 results)

All 2021 2020 2019 2018

All Journal Article (12 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 12 results,  Open Access: 8 results) Presentation (19 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Inferring proxy response in household travel surveys with unknown completer using a group-based choice model2021

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama Takuya, Hosotani Kenta, Kawano Tomoki
    • Journal Title

      Transportation

      Volume: 48(1) Pages: 283-302

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11116-019-10053-3

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report 2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Modeling the Rounding of Departure Times in Travel Surveys: Comparing the Effect of Trip Purposes and Travel Modes2020

    • Author(s)
      Sato Yoshihiro, Maruyama Takuya
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

      Volume: 2674 Pages: 628-637

    • DOI

      10.1177/0361198120935435

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Validating inferred proxy response using rounding of departure/arrival times in travel surveys2020

    • Author(s)
      Maruyama Takuya,Uehara Kazuki
    • Journal Title

      Asian Transport Studies

      Volume: 6 Pages: 100027-100027

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.eastsj.2020.100027

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Examining difference between paper- and web-based self-reported departure/arrival time using smartphone-based survey2020

    • Author(s)
      Sato Yoshihiro, Maruyama Takuya
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Procedia

      Volume: 48 Pages: 1390-1400

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.trpro.2020.08.170

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Investigating response, data sending, and completion rates of a smartphone-based travel survey conducted in Kabul, Afghanistan2020

    • Author(s)
      Qudratullah, Khalid Ahmad, Sato Yoshihiro, Maruyama Takuya
    • Journal Title

      Transportation Research Procedia

      Volume: 48 Pages: 2963-2974

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.trpro.2020.08.188

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] NONRESPONSE BIAS IN MIXED-MODE SURVEYS FOR DISASTER RECOVERY: THE CASE OF MASHIKI FOLLOWING THE 2016 KUMAMOTO EARTHQUAKE2020

    • Author(s)
      8.佐藤嘉洋,円山琢也
    • Journal Title

      J. JSCE Ser. D3

      Volume: 76(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 128-137

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.76.2_128

    • NAID

      130007844779

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Improvement of Data Sending Rate and Survey Completion Rate of Smartphone-based Travel Surveys in Two Afghanistan Cities2019

    • Author(s)
      Qudratullah and Maruyama, T.
    • Journal Title

      Asian Transport Studies

      Volume: 5(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 750-766

    • DOI

      10.11175/eastsats.5.750

    • NAID

      130007762287

    • ISSN
      2185-5560
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] INVESTIGATING BIAS BY PROXY RESPONSE IN OPEN-ENDED SURVEY DATA2019

    • Author(s)
      上原 一輝, 川野 倫輝, 円山 琢也
    • Journal Title

      J. JSCE Ser. D3

      Volume: 75(5) Issue: 5 Pages: I_143-I_152

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.i_143

      10.2208/jscejipm.75.I_143

    • NAID

      130007775663

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Correcting Non-response Bias in the Demand Estimates for Disaster Public Housing Using Questionnaire Survey2019

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋,円山琢也
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan

      Volume: 54(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 788-794

    • DOI

      10.11361/journalcpij.54.788

    • NAID

      130007742083

    • ISSN
      0916-0647, 2185-0593
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Strategies to increase the response rate of smartphone-based travel surveys in Afghanistan: Exploring the effects of incentives and female survey conductors2019

    • Author(s)
      Qudratullah and Maruyama, T.
    • Journal Title

      Intelligent Transport Systems for Everyone’s Mobility

      Volume: - Pages: 317-336

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-981-13-7434-0_18

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Reasons for Non-response to Smartphone-based Travel Survey in Two Afghanistan Cities2019

    • Author(s)
      Qudratullah and Maruyama, T.
    • Journal Title

      Asian Transport Studies

      Volume: 5(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 523-542

    • DOI

      10.11175/eastsats.5.523

    • NAID

      130007607575

    • ISSN
      2185-5560
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ANALYZING NON-RESPONDENTS AND RESPONSE BEHAVIOR OF MAIL-BASED SURVEY: THE CASE OF TEMPORARY HOUSING IN MASHIKI FOLLOWING THE 2016 KUMAMOTO EARTHQUAKE2018

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Journal Title

      J. JSCE Ser. D3

      Volume: 74(5) Issue: 5 Pages: I_209-I_218

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.i_209

      10.2208/jscejipm.74.I_209

    • NAID

      130007556335

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] データ欠測に着目した居住地・交通行動選択のモデリングとWAICによる評価2021

    • Author(s)
      渡邉 萌, 円山 琢也
    • Organizer
      第63回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ウィップル指数を応用した交通調査データ質評価指標の開発と適用2021

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第63回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通調査における代理回答バイアスと丸め誤差 : 米国PT調査の事例2021

    • Author(s)
      吉川 駿汰, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第63回土木計画学研究発表会(春大会)
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 離散型サンプルセレクションモデルとベイズ推定: 都市環境が自動車保有に及ぼす因果効果の検証2020

    • Author(s)
      渡邉 萌・円山 琢也
    • Organizer
      第62回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通調査における出発時刻丸め回答の選択モデル分析:個人属性と調査手法の影響2020

    • Author(s)
      佐藤 嘉洋・円山 琢也
    • Organizer
      第61回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 離散型サンプルセレクションモデルによる自動車保有と都市環境の因果分析2020

    • Author(s)
      渡邉 萌・円山 琢也
    • Organizer
      第61回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Modeling the Rounding of Departure Times in Travel Surveys: Comparing the Effect of Trip Purposes and Travel Modes2020

    • Author(s)
      Sato, Y. and Maruyama, T.
    • Organizer
      TRB 99th Annual Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 交通調査のトリップ出発時刻の丸め誤差:都市間比較2019

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第60回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通調査の出発時刻の丸め誤差に関するモデル分析2019

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第59回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通調査の出発・到着時刻の丸め誤差と代理回答バイアス2019

    • Author(s)
      上原 一輝, 佐藤 嘉洋, 円山 琢也
    • Organizer
      第59回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] トリップ目的と出発・到着時刻に着目した代理回答バイアスの分析2019

    • Author(s)
      上原一輝,川野倫輝,円山琢也
    • Organizer
      平成30年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 交通調査におけるトリップ出発時刻の丸め誤差発生確率の推定2019

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 上原一輝, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      平成30年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Examining proxy-response bias of household travel survey by group-based participation choice model2018

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Kawano, Kenta Hosotani and Takuya Maruyama
    • Organizer
      23rd International Conference of Hong Kong Society for Transportation Studies
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Group decision modelling approach to analyse response behaviour of household travel survey: Examining proxy-response bias2018

    • Author(s)
      Tomoki Kawano, Kenta Hosotani and Takuya Maruyama
    • Organizer
      7th Symposium of the European Association for Research in Transportation
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Increasing Participants of Smartphone-based Travel Survey in Two Afghanistan Cities: Effects of Reward and Female Survey Conductors2018

    • Author(s)
      Qudratullah Zwak, Yoshihiro Sato and Takuya Maruyama
    • Organizer
      The 16th ITS Asia-Pacific Forum FUKUOKA 2018
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 複数の手法を導入した大規模災害時調査の無回答バイアス:熊本地震益城町での実証分析2018

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第58回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 自由回答データにおける代理回答バイアスの推定2018

    • Author(s)
      上原 一輝, 川野 倫輝, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第58回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 集団意思決定を考慮した世帯単位の交通調査回答行動分析2018

    • Author(s)
      細谷謙太, 川野倫輝, 渡邉萌, 佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第57回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 集団意思決定モデルを用いた益城町仮設住宅居住者の郵送調査回答行動分析2018

    • Author(s)
      佐藤嘉洋, 円山琢也
    • Organizer
      第57回土木計画学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2021-12-27  

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