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International relocation of carbon emission

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H03426
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 64060:Environmental policy and social systems-related
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

森 晶寿  京都大学, 地球環境学堂, 准教授 (30293814)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 堀井 伸浩  九州大学, 経済学研究院, 准教授 (10450503)
服部 崇  京都大学, 経済研究所, 特定准教授 (30837117)
藤川 清史  名古屋大学, アジア共創教育研究機構, 教授 (60190013)
伴 ひかり  神戸学院大学, 経済学部, 教授 (70248102)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2021-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2020)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,990,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥5,720,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,320,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥6,110,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,410,000)
Keywords炭素排出 / 国際移転 / 中国 / アジア / エネルギー転換 / エネルギー構造転換
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

森は,中国の気候変動・エネルギー政策の転換が,中国の石炭火力発電及び再生可能エネルギー企業の行動変容を通じてアジアのエネルギー転換に及ぼした影響を分析した.研究協力者のSombodoとの共同研究から,2006-11年の中国による集中的な石炭火力発電投資が炭素高排出型電力システムへの転換に決定的な影響を及ぼしたことを明らかにした.またJanardhananとの共同研究から,インドの太陽光発電増加における中国の輸出・直接投資の影響を定量的に解明した.さらに金との共同研究から,ベトナムのエネルギー構造転換が中国の投資よりもベトナムの石炭需要の増加とエネルギー政策の不安定性の方が決定的な影響を及ぼしたことを明らかにした.
藤川と伴は各産業のエネルギー代替を認める応用一般均衡モデルであるGTAP-Eを用いた分析の準備を行い,モデルが稼働することを確認した.また研究協力者の王嘉陽と共に中国の再エネ産業連関表を推計し,中国の脱石炭の進展のGDP・雇用量への影響を推定する手法を開発した.さらに研究協力者居乂義とVo Tuyet Leと共に,国際産業連関表を用いて貿易を通じた炭素移転の実態を推計する手法を開発した.
堀井は,中国の再生可能エネルギー政策の固定価格買取制度から地域別RPS制度への移行の結果,買取価格の引き下げによって中小太陽光パネルメーカーの市場退出が生じる一方,国有の大型発電企業の市場参入が生じたことで産業組織が変容したこと,また中国太陽光設備企業は新制度への対応として海外市場への再展開を試みていることを明らかにした.
服部は,共同研究者陳と共同で行った太陽光パネルを事例とした中国の再生可能エネルギー技術の輸出が日本の産業及び政策に与える影響に関する研究内容につき、2019年7月の研究会及び2019年11月の研究会において報告を行った.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

研究プロジェクト全体では,7月の研究会で戦略国際問題研究所のJane Nakano研究員を招聘し,米国での類似研究との整合性と本研究の独自性を確認した.また11月にインドネシアで開催した中間報告会で,代表者・分担者・国内外研究協力者が一堂に会して分析結果を報告し進捗を確認した.
森は,インドネシアの石炭火力中心の電力構造転換への中国影響に関する論文を英文学術雑誌で公表し,研究協力者Sombodoと共に太陽光発電拡大における中国投資の影響に関する現地調査を行った.Janardhananが日本の研究機関に転職してインドでの現地調査が困難となったため,分析対象を電力部門に対する中国企業の投資の言説分析に切り替えた.また金との共同研究も,ベトナムの研究機関との共同研究を断られたことから,当該機関から入手した資料を基に分析を行った.
藤川と伴は連携してGTAP-Eモデルの利用を検討し、対外直接投資のモデル分析に目途をつけた。また研究協力者の王嘉陽との研究である中国の脱石炭政策の雇用への影響,研究協力者居乂義とVo Tuyet Leとの研究である貿易経由の炭素移転の実態の解明も暫定的な結果を得た。これらの研究成果は2020年3月のICES2020で報告予定であったが、COVID-19の影響で中止になった。そこで藤川と伴モデル分析を深化・拡張し,成果を2020年9月の環境経済・政策学会にて報告した。
堀井は、設備メーカーが石炭火力発電と太陽光発電の国内市場環境の悪化への対応と海外展開を調査した。
服部は,共同研究者陳と共同で太陽光パネルを事例に中国の再生可能エネルギー技術の輸出が日本の産業及び政策に与える影響を分析した。COVID-19の影響で2019・2020年度ともヒアリング調査が困難となったため、2019年度繰越分については研究に係る関連文献調査を行い、背景に関する知見を得た。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

COVID-19の影響で,研究報告を予定していた国際学会大会が延期になった.そこで,国内学会及び国外の研究集会等での報告に切り替えて報告原稿を作成し,報告する.そのフィードバックや研究会内部のピアレヴューを通じて原稿を改善し,英文書籍用原稿を完成させて出版する.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • 2018 Annual Research Report

Research Products

(53 results)

All 2020 2019 2018 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (4 results) Journal Article (15 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Peer Reviewed: 5 results,  Open Access: 5 results) Presentation (25 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 14 results,  Invited: 11 results) Book (5 results) Remarks (1 results) Funded Workshop (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Australian National University(オーストラリア)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Jawaharlal Nehru University(インド)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Indonesian Institute of Sciences/University of Indonesia(インドネシア)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] 上海国際商務経済大学(中国)

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Why developing countries go through an unsustainable energy transition pathway? The case of the Philippines from a political economic perspective2020

    • Author(s)
      Saculsan PG, Mori A.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Sustainability Research

      Volume: 2(2) Pages: 1-24

    • DOI

      10.20900/jsr20200012

    • NAID

      120006870306

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Potential and Trend of End-Of-Life Passenger Vehicles Recycling in China2020

    • Author(s)
      Li Yang、Fujikawa Kiyoshi、Wang Junbo、Li Xin、Ju Yiyi、Chen Chenyi
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 12 Pages: 1-13

    • DOI

      10.3390/su12041455

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Scenario input-output analysis on the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems2019

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., Fujikawa K., and Umeda Y.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Structures

      Volume: 8(3) Pages: 1-30

    • DOI

      10.1186/s40008-019-0137-3

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 「『再エネ大国』中国の台頭の背景 ―経済性向上を実現した制度設計」2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Journal Title

      『Nextcom』

      Volume: 38 Pages: 42-51

    • NAID

      40021936684

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Modeling the cost transmission mechanism of the emission trading scheme in China2019

    • Author(s)
      Ju Yiyi、Fujikawa Kiyoshi
    • Journal Title

      Applied Energy

      Volume: 236 Pages: 172-182

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.068

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 急進化する大気汚染対策の光と陰 : 「煤改気」と「煤改電」のもたらす歪み2018

    • Author(s)
      堀井 伸浩
    • Journal Title

      東亜

      Volume: 611 Pages: 30-41

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] What Can the Philippines Learn from Thailand`s ENCON Fund in Overcoming the Barriers to Developing Renewable Energy Resources2018

    • Author(s)
      Saculsan Phoebe Grace J., Mori Akihisa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Clean Energy Technologies

      Volume: 6 Pages: 278-283

    • DOI

      10.18178/jocet.2018.6.4.474

    • NAID

      120006644074

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 中国のエネルギー・大気汚染・気候変動政策2018

    • Author(s)
      森 晶寿
    • Journal Title

      KAIUN

      Volume: 1088 Pages: 46-49

    • NAID

      40021570443

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Revisiting China’s climate policy2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori A., Takehara M.
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 33-51

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-3

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact of the resource boom in the 2000s on Asian-Pacific energy-exporting countries2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori A., Dong L.
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 123-153

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-8

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Climate-energy policy: Domestic policy process, outcome and impacts2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori A.
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 3-19

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-1

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Impact of the China-induced coal boom in Indonesia2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori A.
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 167-197

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-10

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] China’s impacts on global sustainability2018

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa Kiyoshi、Ye Zuoyi、Ban Hikari
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 20-32

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-2

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Economic and carbon impacts of China’s NDC and the Paris Agreement on Asian energy-exporting countries2018

    • Author(s)
      Ban Hikari、Fujikawa Kiyoshi
    • Journal Title

      China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts

      Volume: - Pages: 154-166

    • DOI

      10.4324/9781351037587-9

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Is India’s environmental future under dark clouds?2018

    • Author(s)
      Janardhanan, N. and A. Mori
    • Journal Title

      East Asia Forum

      Volume: November 2018 Pages: 1-3

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Economic and Carbon Impact of Chinaʼs Outward FDI in the World2020

    • Author(s)
      伴ひかり・藤川清史
    • Organizer
      Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies 25th Annual Conference
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic, Environmental and Social Impact by the Choice of Power Sources: An Application of Scenario Input-Output Analysis2019

    • Author(s)
      Wang Jiayang and Fujikawa Kiyoshi,
    • Organizer
      China Input Output Association (Xi’an Jiatong University)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Cultural GDP of Japan2019

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa Kiyoshi
    • Organizer
      2019 International Conference, Taiwan Association of Input-Output Studies (National Taiwan University)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] IO Analysis Model and Supply Constraint by the Great East Japan Earthquake2019

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa Kiyoshi
    • Organizer
      Regional economic analysis using input-output tables (Bank of Korea)
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 「中国煤炭産業“去産能”政策的成果及其評価」2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      中国北京大学国家発展研究院「産能過剰、国企改革与競争中立」国際学術研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 「風力・太陽光発電世界一の中国-その台頭の背景と最近の政策動向-」2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      環太平洋産業連関分析学会第30回全国大会公開講演会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 可再生能源大國的發展歷程-中國太陽能和風電大躍進的背景-2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      台湾国立政治大学社会科学学院「中国産業的発展与政策」国際研討会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 「中國能源模式:國家VS 市場」2019

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      台湾中央研究院人文社会科学研究中心「中國經濟發展模式ⅩⅡ」學術研討會
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Energy transition in Indonesia from the multilevel, political economic, and geoeconomic view2019

    • Author(s)
      Mori, A.
    • Organizer
      Seminar on Energy
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Carbon emission trading scheme and energy transition: The Case of China local pilots2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori., A., Liao X.
    • Organizer
      6th World Congress of Environmental and Resource Economists
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 増値税改革の所得再分配効果2018

    • Author(s)
      藤川清史・叶作義
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会,アジア成長研究所(日本)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Economic and environmental effects of introduction of renewable power sources: An application of Scenario Input-Output Analysis to China and Japan2018

    • Author(s)
      Wang J. and Fujikawa K.
    • Organizer
      Korean Association of Economic System Research (KESRA)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Scenario Input-Output Analysis on the New Hydrogen Supply System and Diffusion of Fuel Cell Vehicles2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., and Fujikawa K
    • Organizer
      Korean Association of Economic System Research (KESRA)
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 燃料電池車導入の環境効果:シナリオ産業連関分析の応用2018

    • Author(s)
      山田光男・藤川清史
    • Organizer
      第12回マクロモデル会議,アジア太平洋研究所,大阪.日本.
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 文化サテライト勘定の計測方法と政策的含意2018

    • Author(s)
      藤川清史
    • Organizer
      文化経済学会サマーセミナー,エクシブ蓼科.日本
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Scenario input-output analysis on diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems2018

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa, K.
    • Organizer
      The Sixth Beijing-Humboldt Forum, University of International Business and Economics, China
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Scenario input-output analysis on the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., Fujikawa K., and Umeda Y.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Integrated and Innovative Solutions for Circular Economy, Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Green servicizing2018

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa K
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Integrated and Innovative Solutions for Circular Economy, Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Scenario input-output analysis on the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., Fujikawa K., and Umeda Y.,
    • Organizer
      The 16th International Convention of East Asia Economic Association(EAEA), Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 環太平洋産業連関分析学会の30年2018

    • Author(s)
      藤川清史
    • Organizer
      環太平洋産業連関分析学会,愛知学院大学,日本
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] International division of labor in terms of value added incidence2018

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa, K.
    • Organizer
      Global value chain and trade cooperation in Asia Pacific region, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics (SUIBE), Shanghai, China
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Income Distribution effect of VAT Reform2018

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa, K. and Ye Z.
    • Organizer
      2019 Taiwan Association of Input Output Studies, , Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Scenario input-output analysis on the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., Fujikawa K., and Umeda Y.
    • Organizer
      The 2nd Symposium of Applied Social System Institute of Asia, Nagoya University, Japan
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Scenario input-output analysis on the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles and alternative hydrogen supply systems using MRIOT2018

    • Author(s)
      Yamada M., Fujikawa K., and Umeda Y.
    • Organizer
      The 5th international Academic Conference on Social Sciences, Sydney, Australia
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 中国石炭産業における過剰生産能力解消(「去産能」)政策の成果とその評価2018

    • Author(s)
      堀井伸浩
    • Organizer
      中国経済経営学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] グローバル化と地域経済の計量モデリング2020

    • Author(s)
      山田 光男、増田 淳矢
    • Total Pages
      30
    • Publisher
      勁草書房
    • ISBN
      9784326549771
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Energy, Environmental and Economic Sustainability in East Asia2019

    • Author(s)
      Lee Soocheol, Pollitt Hector and Fujikawa Kiyoshi (eds.)
    • Total Pages
      304
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781351013475
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] “Sustainable use of water resources in East Asia” (in Lee Soocheol, Pollitt Hector and Fujikawa Kiyoshi (eds.) Energy, Environmental and Economic Sustainability in East Asia, Chapter 12, 245-259, London, Routledge)2019

    • Author(s)
      Fujikawa Kiyoshi, Pollitt Hector and Ye Zuoyi
    • Total Pages
      15
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781351013475
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] China’s Climate-Energy Policy: Domestic and International Impacts2018

    • Author(s)
      Mori, A., Fujikawa, K., Horii, N., Ban, H., Takehara, M., Thiesmeyer, L., Ye, Z., Dong, L.
    • Total Pages
      232
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781138489424
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 中国・新興国ネクサス:新たな世界経済循環2018

    • Author(s)
      末廣昭,田島俊雄,丸川知雄,堀井伸浩他
    • Total Pages
      357
    • Publisher
      東京大学出版会
    • ISBN
      9784130461269
    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2018/11/20/is-indias-environmental-future-under-dark-clouds/

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Seminar on Energy at Indonesian Institute of Sciences2019

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Energy Talk, School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University2019

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report
  • [Funded Workshop] Energy seminar at ENERPO Research Center, European University at Saint Petersburg2018

    • Related Report
      2018 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2021-12-27  

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