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Econometric analysis for long-term care dlaims data: Toward scientific long-term care provision

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18K12804
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 07050:Public economics and labor economics-related
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

Sugawara Shinya  東京理科大学, 経営学部ビジネスエコノミクス学科, 准教授 (30711379)

Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2021)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2018: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords介護保険 / レセプトデータ / 高齢化 / 医療経済 / 介護レセプト / 医療経済学 / 高齢者介護 / 計量経済
Outline of Final Research Achievements

After more than 15 years of operations, Japanese Long-Term Care Insurance has functionally developed. However, there is little empirical analysis on its status and effects, due to lack of data. In the year 2015, the government started to provide the long-term care claims data, which is one of the biggest datasets on long-term care in the world, for researchers. In this study, I adopted recent data scientific methodology on the dataset and provide scientific long-term care based on empirical evidences.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本課題における介護レセプトデータに対応する高次元回帰分析手法の開発と実際のデータ解析から、どの介護サービスの組み合わせが効果的に健康状態を維持・改善するかを明らかにした。具体的には、多数のサービスの組合せを適切に次元圧縮する手法によって、ある程度利用されているサービス組合せは、16,000以上あるうちでも200種類ほどに過ぎず、これらに着目すれば現実的なケアプランの分析が可能であることが示唆された。さらに、介護保険における医療系サービス、特にリハビリテーションに健康改善効果があることが示唆された。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2021 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • 2018 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (16 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (5 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Invited: 7 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Bordeaux(フランス)

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 高次元性を考慮した介護サービスの効果検証2022

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Journal Title

      住宅土地経済

      Volume: 123 Pages: 27-35

    • NAID

      40022785230

    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Health status and repeated multiple treatments in long-term care: A panel structural VAR analysis2020

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara and Tsunehiro Ishihara
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Discussion Paper

      Volume: 3589992

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] What composes desirable formal at-home elder care? An analysis for multiple service combinations2020

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: - Issue: 2 Pages: 373-402

    • DOI

      10.1007/s42973-019-00031-w

    • NAID

      210000170849

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] わが国における高齢者介護制度の課題と展望2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Journal Title

      季刊個人金融

      Volume: 14 Pages: 122-130

    • NAID

      40021994760

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] What comprises effective formal elder care at home? Estimating effects for combinations of multiple services2019

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara
    • Journal Title

      SSRN Working Paper

      Volume: 3138435

    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Japanese long-term care: from economic perspective2022

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara
    • Organizer
      Symposium: Forms and dynamics of Local welfare. Policies for people with loss of autonomy through the prism of international comparisons
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] What composes desirable formal at-home elder care? An analysis for multiple service combinations2021

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      住宅経済研究会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Health status and repeated multiple treatments in long-term care: A panel structural VAR analysis2021

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      科研費シンポジウム 「多様な分野のデータに対する統計科学・機械学習的アプローチ」
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] A panel VAR analysis for dynamics of health and expenditures for multiple long-term care services2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      TKUファイナンス研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] A panel VAR analysis for dynamics of health and expenditures for multiple long-term care services2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      関西計量経済学研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] What composes desirable formal at-home elder care? An analysis for multiple service combinations2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      JARIP研究会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] What comprises effective formal elder care at home? Estimating effects for combinations of multiple services2019

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara
    • Organizer
      European Health Economic Association
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 高齢者介護の経済実証分析2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      応用経済学会
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 介護サービスの経済実証分析2019

    • Author(s)
      菅原慎矢
    • Organizer
      日本保険・年金リスク学会JARIPフォーラム
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Pay-for-Performance and Selective Referral in Long-Term Care2019

    • Author(s)
      Shinya Sugawara
    • Organizer
      Tri-Country Health Economic Symposium
    • Related Report
      2018 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited

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Published: 2018-04-23   Modified: 2023-01-30  

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