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UPM theory to display spatial resolution according to the variation of evaluation values

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19H02224
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 22020:Structure engineering and earthquake engineering-related
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

Goto Hiroyuki  京都大学, 防災研究所, 教授 (70452323)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) CHAKRABORTY ANIRBAN  法政大学, デザイン工学部, 助手 (30907803)
林 能成  関西大学, 社会安全学部, 教授 (90362300)
飯山 かほり  鹿島建設株式会社(技術研究所), 土木構造グループ, 上席研究員 (90711870)
規矩 大義  関東学院大学, 理工学部, 教授 (70251759)
Project Period (FY) 2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
Budget Amount *help
¥16,380,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,780,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Keywords不確実性 / ハザードマップ / 空間解像度 / 地盤情報 / 地盤震動 / 不確定性 / 地盤振動
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究は評価値のばらつきに応じた空間解像度で描くマップ(Uncertainty Projected Mapping:UPM)理論の確立とその発展を目指すものである.現在,国や自治体を中心に自然災害に関するハザードマップの公開が進められているが,その目的に反してマップが過剰な安心情報となる場合がある.この問題を解決する上でUPM理論が適用できる可能性が高い.UPMによる表示は実際に過剰な安心情報となることを防げるのか?実際のハザードマップを作るにあたって地盤モデルや評価式の誤差は結果にどの程度影響を及ぼすのか?といったUPM理論にの適用に向けた課題を洗い出し,UPM理論の確立と発展を目指す.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study aims to establish and develop the theory of Uncertainty Projected Mapping (UPM), which is a mapping method that draws a map with spatial resolution according to the variation in assessed values. Currently, hazard maps of natural disasters are being published mainly by the national and local governments, but sometimes the maps provide excessive reassurance information contrary to their objectives. Can UPM theory be applied to solve this problem? To what extent do errors in the ground model and evaluation formulas affect the results of actual hazard maps? We have identified issues for the application of the UPM theory, and have aimed to establish and develop the UPM theory.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

現在,国や自治体を中心に自然災害に関するハザードマップの公開が進められている.しかし,ハザードレベルが相対的に低く表示される箇所で過剰な安心情報となってしまう場合がある.本課題は,マップの不確実性や信頼性をマップの解像度で表示するという考えの下,空間統計学の新しい考え方を用いることによって,新しいハザードマップの適切な表示方法について検討したものである.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2022 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2021 Annual Research Report
  • 2020 Annual Research Report
  • 2019 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (46 results)

All 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (20 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 15 results,  Open Access: 6 results) Presentation (24 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] GNS Science(ニュージーランド)

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] GNS Science(ニュージーランド)

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] VISUALIZING SPATIAL PROBABILITY FIELDS REFLECTING SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN NEIGHBORING VALUES2022

    • Author(s)
      GOTO Hiroyuki、CHAKRABORTY Anirban
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE))

      Volume: 78 Issue: 4 Pages: I_79-I_86

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.78.4_I_79

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] STRAIN LOCALIZATION DUE TO SLOSHING BEHAVIOR OF LIQUEFIED SOIL GROUND2022

    • Author(s)
      ITO Yuya、KURIMA Jun、GOTO Hiroyuki、SAWADA Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE))

      Volume: 78 Issue: 4 Pages: I_57-I_69

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.78.4_I_57

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Origin of Large, Long‐Period Near‐Fault Ground Velocities During Surface‐Breaking Strike‐Slip Earthquakes2022

    • Author(s)
      Kaneko Yoshihiro、Goto Hiroyuki
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letters

      Volume: 49 Issue: 10

    • DOI

      10.1029/2022gl098029

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Initiation process of tension cracks in soil embankment on liquefied sandy ground investigated from centrifuge model test2022

    • Author(s)
      Harada Yomi、Goto Hiroyuki、Sawada Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: 161 Pages: 107444-107444

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.soildyn.2022.107444

    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] A STUDY ON THE BUILDING DAMAGE DISTRIBUTION IN TAKATSUKI AND IBARAKI CITY DURING THE 2018 NORTHERN OSAKA EARTHQUAKE CONSIDERING GEOGRAPHIC FACTORS2021

    • Author(s)
      浅野晃太,後藤浩之,奥村与志弘,澤田純男
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE))

      Volume: 77 Issue: 4 Pages: I_638-I_648

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.77.4_I_638

    • NAID

      130008067157

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Records of Extreme Ground Accelerations during the 2011 Christchurch Earthquake Sequence Contaminated by a Nonlinear, Soil?Structure Interaction2021

    • Author(s)
      Goto Hiroyuki、Kaneko Yoshihiro、Naguit Muriel、Young John
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

      Volume: 111 Issue: 2 Pages: 704-722

    • DOI

      10.1785/0120200337

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 2018年大阪府北部の地震における高槻市・茨木市の建物被害分布と要因に関する地理学的考察2021

    • Author(s)
      浅野晃太,後藤浩之,奥村与志弘,澤田純男
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集A1(構造・地震工学)

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Visualizing data saturation process in mapping site amplification of earthquake ground motions2020

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Natural Disaster Science

      Volume: 40 Pages: 14-25

    • NAID

      130007882010

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Deep Learning Model for Spatial Interpolation of Real-Time Seismic Intensity2020

    • Author(s)
      Otake Ryota、Kurima Jun、Goto Hiroyuki、Sawada Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Seismological Research Letters

      Volume: 91 Issue: 6 Pages: 3433-3443

    • DOI

      10.1785/0220200006

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] XFEM SIMULATION OF RUPTURE DIRECTION ON BRANCHING FAULT2020

    • Author(s)
      YAMASHITA Daiki、GOTO Hiroyuki、SAWADA Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A2 (Applied Mechanics (AM))

      Volume: 76 Issue: 2 Pages: I_217-I_224

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejam.76.2_I_217

    • NAID

      130007980153

    • ISSN
      2185-4661
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Deep learning model to predict real-time seismic intensity2020

    • Author(s)
      Ryota Otake, Jun Kurima, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Uncertainty projected mapping with application to regional seismic hazard analysis2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Goto, Anirban Chakraborty
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Visualizing data saturation in geospatial mapping with application to earthquake engineering2020

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Site amplification revealed by aftershock and microtremor array observation around the source area of the 2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi earthquake2020

    • Author(s)
      Masayuki Yoshimi, Kaori Iiyama, Hitoshi Morikawa, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Extremely large asymmetric vertical accelerations (AsVA) during recent earthquakes2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Goto, Yoshi Kaneko, John Young, Muriel Naguit
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the 17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering

      Volume: ー

    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Visualizing data saturation process in mapping site amplification of earthquake ground motions2020

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Disaster Science and Management

      Volume: -

    • NAID

      130007882010

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 液状化地盤上の盛土における引張クラック発生メカニズムについての一考察2020

    • Author(s)
      原田陽弓,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集A1(構造・地震工学)

      Volume: -

    • NAID

      130007897854

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Delayed Subevents During the M W 6.2 First Shock of the 2016 Kumamoto, Japan, Earthquake2019

    • Author(s)
      Goto Hiroyuki、Toyomasu Aki、Sawada Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth

      Volume: 124 Issue: 12 Pages: 13112-13123

    • DOI

      10.1029/2019jb018583

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] SYSTEMATIC UNDERSTANDING OF THE GROUND MOTION AMPLIFICATION ON THREE-DIMENSIONAL BASIN STRUCTURE2019

    • Author(s)
      TANAKA Yuki、GOTO Hiroyuki、SAWADA Sumio
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. A1 (Structural Engineering & Earthquake Engineering (SE/EE))

      Volume: 75 Issue: 4 Pages: I_416-I_425

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejseee.75.I_416

    • NAID

      130007710862

    • ISSN
      2185-4653
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Extreme Accelerations During Earthquakes Caused by Elastic Flapping Effect2019

    • Author(s)
      Goto Hiroyuki、Kaneko Yoshihiro、Young John、Avery Hamish、Damiano Len
    • Journal Title

      Scientific Reports

      Volume: 9 Issue: 1

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41598-018-37716-y

    • NAID

      120006715539

    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Updating Proxy-based Site Amplification Map in Osaka, Japan with Soil Borehole Data: A Bayesian Updating Scheme based on Uncertainty Projected Mapping2022

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall meeting 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 常時微動アレイ観測に基づく表層地盤速度モデルを用いた2018年大阪府北部の地震における工学的基盤上の地震動の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      後藤彰太,浅野晃太,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Updating proxy-based site amplification map in Osaka, Japan with soil borehole data: A Bayesian updating scheme based on Uncertainty Projected Mapping2022

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2022年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 2022年3月16日福島県沖の地震の余震観測に基づく福島県相馬市付近の地盤震動特性の評価2022

    • Author(s)
      江口拓生,後藤浩之,栗間淳,Anirban Chakraborty
    • Organizer
      第42回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 常時微動アレイ観測に基づく表層地盤速度モデルを用いた2018年大阪府北部の地震における工学的基盤上の地震動の推定2022

    • Author(s)
      後藤彰太,浅野晃太,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Organizer
      令和4年度土木学会全国大会年次学術講演会
    • Related Report
      2022 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Uniform Uncertainty Mapping Application to Seismology and Earthquake Engineering Problems2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Goto, Anirban Chakraborty
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty projected mapping with application to regional seismic hazard analysis2021

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Goto, Anirban Chakraborty
    • Organizer
      17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Visualizing data saturation in geospatial mapping with application to earthquake engineering,2021

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Organizer
      17th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 隣接値の有意差を反映した空間確率場の表示法2021

    • Author(s)
      後藤浩之,Anirban Chakraborty
    • Organizer
      第41回地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 遠心模型実験による地震時の盛土開口クラックの発生メカニズムに関する考察2021

    • Author(s)
      原田陽弓,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Organizer
      令和3年度土木学会全国大会
    • Related Report
      2021 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Updating Conventional Hazard Map Resolutions to Include Local Site Information Using Uncertainty Projected Mapping2021

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty,Hiroyuki Goto,Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      令和2年度 京都大学防災研究所 研究発表講演会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 値の有意差が均一に表現される地震ハザードマップ2021

    • Author(s)
      後藤浩之,Anirban Chakraborty
    • Organizer
      令和2年度 京都大学防災研究所 研究発表講演会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Uncertainty Projected Mapping with Application to Updating Conventional Earthquake Hazard Map Resolutions2021

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      EERI Annual Meeting 2021
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 深層学習を利用したリアルタイム震度の空間補間と即時予測2020

    • Author(s)
      大武亮太,栗間淳,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2020年度秋季大会
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] XFEM simulation of rupture direction on branching faults2020

    • Author(s)
      Daiki Yamashita, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] The origin of a strong, near-fault velocity pulse during a surface-breaking earthquake,2020

    • Author(s)
      Yoshihiro Kaneko, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Large Asymmetric Vertical Accelerations in Recent Earthquakes Caused by Elastic Flapping Effect2020

    • Author(s)
      Hiroyuki Goto, Yoshihiro Kaneko, Muriel Naguit, John Young
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2020
    • Related Report
      2020 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 堆積盆地における振動モードの同定に関する基礎的研究2019

    • Author(s)
      鈴木祐輔,飯山かほり,盛川仁,坂井公俊,荒木豪
    • Organizer
      土木学会地震工学研究発表会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Estimation of phase velocity using an array with arbitrary shape2019

    • Author(s)
      H. Zhang, K. Iiyama, and H. Morikawa
    • Organizer
      Seismological Society of Japan Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A study on the modal properties of sediment on base rock2019

    • Author(s)
      M.B.Dodt, Y. Suzuki, K. Iiyama, and H. Morikawa
    • Organizer
      Seismological Society of Japan Fall Meeting
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Visualizing data saturation in modeling spatially varying ground motions2019

    • Author(s)
      Anirban Chakraborty, Hiroyuki Goto
    • Organizer
      AGU Fall Meeting 2019
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Deep learning model to predict time series of real-time ground motions2019

    • Author(s)
      Ryota Otake, Jun Kurima, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      the 32nd KKHTCNN Symposium on Civil Engineering
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Systematic understanding of the ground motion amplification on three-dimensional basin structure2019

    • Author(s)
      Yuki Tanaka, Hiroyuki Goto, Sumio Sawada
    • Organizer
      the 32nd KKHTCNN Symposium on Civil Engineering
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 地盤震動理論に基づいたパラメータ群による地震動増幅特性の高精度評価法2019

    • Author(s)
      林穂高,後藤浩之,澤田純男
    • Organizer
      令和元年度土木学会全国大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2019-04-18   Modified: 2024-01-30  

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