Assessing the Impact of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions on Poverty
Project/Area Number |
19H02273
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
Section | 一般 |
Review Section |
Basic Section 22060:Environmental systems for civil engineering-related
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Research Institution | Kyoto University |
Principal Investigator |
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Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
大城 賢 京都大学, 工学研究科, 助教 (00601569)
長谷川 知子 立命館大学, 理工学部, 准教授 (60615524)
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Project Period (FY) |
2019-04-01 – 2023-03-31
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Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2022)
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Budget Amount *help |
¥17,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,990,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,720,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,320,000)
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Keywords | 貧困 / 気候緩和策 / 炭素税 / 統合評価モデル / CGE / AIDADS / 経済モデル / 気候変動対策 / 応用一般均衡モデル / 気候変動緩和策 |
Outline of Research at the Start |
世界各国今後温室効果ガス(GHG)排出量の大幅な削減が求められる。本研究は2℃目標へ向かう低炭素社会と貧困の関係を定量的に明らかにすることを目的とする。それを実現するために、個別家計を対象にした調査データであるミクロデータから所得階層ごとの家計行動、具体的には家計所得、財・サービス別の家計消費を記述するモデルの開発を行い、所得階層別の低炭素政策の影響を解明し、低所得層向け政策を提案する。
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Outline of Final Research Achievements |
GHG emission reduction measures can have a significant impact on low-income and poor populations. Therefore, this study quantifies the relationship between a low-carbon society and poverty as we move toward the 2°C target. In this assignment, we show changes in the population and consumption and income of the poorest people who live on less than $1.90 a day. To achieve this, we developed a model that describes household behavior by income group, specifically household income and household consumption by goods and services, and elucidated the impact of low-carbon policies by income group, and proposed policies for low-income groups. Specifically, we examined the use of carbon tax revenue as a poverty measure, and showed that the potential for carbon tax revenue is large compared to the poverty gap.
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Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements |
本研究は脱炭素化という喫緊の環境問題の課題と途上国の貧困・開発という社会的な課題がどのように相互作用をもちうるのか、またその間でトレードオフがあれば、それに対してどのように対応するべきかという政策的な含意を得たもので、社会的な意義は非常に高い。また、学術的にも複数の社会経済属性を考慮した家計モデルを全世界180か国に渡って開発したという点で大きな意義があり、今後このモデルを拡張することで、貧困だけでなく、格差、エネルギー貧困、食料飢餓等をより現実性を持ってシミュレーションできるようになることが予想される。
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Report
(5 results)
Research Products
(45 results)
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[Journal Article] A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions2021
Author(s)
Fujimori Shinichiro、Krey Volker、van Vuuren Detlef、Oshiro Ken、Sugiyama Masahiro、Chunark Puttipong、Limmeechokchai Bundit、Mittal Shivika、Nishiura Osamu、Park Chan、Rajbhandari Salony、Silva Herran Diego、Tu Tran Thanh、Zhao Shiya、Ochi Yuki、Shukla Priyardarshi R.、Masui Toshihiko et al.
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Journal Title
Nature Climate Change
Volume: 11
Issue: 6
Pages: 472-480
DOI
NAID
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
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[Journal Article] Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE Models: Assessment of Status and Remaining Challenges2020
Author(s)
Taran Fahan, Gabriel Bachner, Robert Bearch, Jean Chateau, Shinichiro Fujimori, Madanmohan Ghosh, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Eliza Lanzi, Sergey Paltsev, Toon Vandyck, Bruno Cunha, Rafael Garaffa, Kaarl Steininger
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Journal Title
CESifo Working Papers
Volume: 8072
Pages: 1-41
Related Report
Int'l Joint Research
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[Journal Article] Taking some heat off the NDCs? The limited potential of additional short-lived climate forcers’ mitigation2019
Author(s)
Mathijs Harmsen, Oliver Fricko, Jerome Hilaire, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Laurent Drouet, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kimon Keramidas, Zbigniew Klimont, Gunnar Luderer, Lara Aleluia Reis, Keywan Riahi, Fumimori Sano, Steven J. Smith
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Journal Title
Climatic Change
Volume: -
Issue: 3
Pages: 1443-1461
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
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[Journal Article] The role of methane in future climate strategies: mitigation potentials and climate impacts2019
Author(s)
Mathijs Harmsen, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky, Jean Chateau, Olivier Durand-Lasserve, Laurent Drouet, Oliver Fricko, Shinichiro Fujimori, David E.H.J.Gernaat, Tatsuya Hanaoka, Jerome Hilaire, Kimon Keramidas, Gunnar Luderer, Maria Cecilia P. Moura, Fuminori Sano, Steven J Smith, Kenichi Wada
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Journal Title
Climatic Change
Volume: -
Issue: 3
Pages: 1409-1425
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
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[Journal Article] Capturing key energy and emission trends in CGE models: Assessment of status and remaining challenges2019
Author(s)
Taran Fahan, Gabriel Bachner, Shinichiro Fujimori, Madanmohan Ghosh, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Elisa Lanzi, Sergey Paltsev, Toon Vandyck, Robert Beach, Bruno Cunha, Rafael Garaffa, Karl Steininger
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Journal Title
Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette
Volume: -
Related Report
Int'l Joint Research
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