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Social optimal design on the subsidy scheme utilizing advanced IoT technology to protect the elderly from an influenza pandemic

Research Project

Project/Area Number 19KK0262
Research Category

Fund for the Promotion of Joint International Research (Fostering Joint International Research (B))

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Medium-sized Section 62:Applied informatics and related fields
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

Tanimoto Jun  九州大学, 総合理工学研究院, 教授 (60227238)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 一ノ瀬 元喜  静岡大学, 工学部, 准教授 (70550276)
伊東 啓  長崎大学, 熱帯医学研究所, 准教授 (80780692)
Project Period (FY) 2019-10-07 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥18,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥14,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥5,980,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,380,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥6,890,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,590,000)
Fiscal Year 2019: ¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Keywords数理疫学 / マルチエージェントシミュレーション / Vaccination Game / Intervention Game / 進化ゲーム理論 / 社会最適 / 新興感染症 / スーパーコンピュータ / 感染症 / ゲーム理論 / vaccination game / 複雑ネットワーク科学 / 進化ゲーム / 進化生物学 / パンデミック / ワクチン接種ジレンマ / IoT / 社会情報システム / インフルエンザ
Outline of Research at the Start

予算制約から全ての高齢者に対して無制限の福祉を提供することは不可能だとしても,重症化による更なる高額医療費を未然に防ぎ,大感染を効率的に抑止出来るのなら,先制的予防接種の完全無料化も現実的選択肢の一つとなり得るかもしれない.その場合,どのような対象に,どのような公的補助スキームを導入することで,どれだけインフルエンザ流行の規模を低抑化出来,どうすれば社会のリスクとコストを最小化出来るのかを定量的に論じることは重要な視点となる.本研究では,そのコンセプトの実践・社会実装をIoTデバイスを利用した情報技術を採り入れることにより具体的に提案する.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

To minimize the holistic social cost, composed of not only disease cost but also costs of various interventions such as vaccination, quarantine, lockdown, and other various non-pharmaceutical measures, the theoretical framework, named ‘Intervention Game’ (IG), the revised concept of Vaccination Game, is established. IG dovetails an epidemiological ODE model such as SIR, SEIR and SEIRS that is suitable for a macroscopic prediction for a disease spreading with the so-called Behavior model where the social dynamics of an individual’s decision-making of whether to commit a vaccination or not. Furthermore, the framework of IG is built up as ‘Huge MAS (multi-agent simulation)’ system to draw a more realistic numerical prediction accounting for various complex situations such as complex real human networks on which a disease spreads and virtual networks influencing an individual’s decision-making through information spread.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

数理生物学をバックグラウンドにする世界最先端COE研究者と数理疫学,公衆衛生学,情報科学を専門にする本邦側若手アカデミックの協働が,社会物理学者(研究代表者)がmediator役と務めることで可能となった.プロジェクト成果としての論文発表は,プロジェクト期間中ながら既に30編を超える高い生産性を示した.感染症伝搬は,人間社会の複雑ネットワークを通じて生起する現象としての側面を有するが,本プロジェクトにより,原因側で元を絶つ,罹患する生体側で防御する対策と並んで,経路となる社会システムを適切に制御することで,感染を封じ込め,パンデミックを未然に防ぐ対策を構築できる可能性があることが示された.

Report

(6 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • 2019 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (30 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 17 results,  Peer Reviewed: 21 results,  Open Access: 8 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] Max-Planck-Institute(ドイツ)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Max-lanck研究所/進化生物学研究所(ドイツ)

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ng injunctive social norms with evolutionary games2024

    • Author(s)
      Arefin, Md Rajib, Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Mathematics and Computation

      Volume: 466 Pages: 128463-128463

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.amc.2023.128463

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Small bots, big impact: solving the conundrum of cooperation in optional Prisoner's Dilemma game through simple strategies2023

    • Author(s)
      Sharma, G., Guo, H., Shen, C., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Royal Society Interface

      Volume: 20 Issue: 204 Pages: 20230301-20230301

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsif.2023.0301

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Social dilemma analysis on vaccination game accounting for the effect of immunity waning2023

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura Itsuki、Arefin Md. Rajib、Tatsukawa Yuichi、Utsumi Shinobu、Hossain Md. Anowar、Tanimoto Jun
    • Journal Title

      Chaos, Solitons & Fractals

      Volume: 171 Pages: 113426-113426

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113426

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] How committed individuals shape social dynamics: A survey on coordination games and social dilemma games2023

    • Author(s)
      Shen, C., Guo, H., Hu, S., Shi, L, Wang, Z., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      EPL

      Volume: 144 Issue: 1 Pages: 11002-11002

    • DOI

      10.1209/0295-5075/acfb34

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Game-Theoretic Modeling Approach to Comprehend the Advantage of Dynamic Health Interventions in Limiting the Transmission of Multi-Strain Epidemics2022

    • Author(s)
      Alam, M., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics

      Volume: 10 (12) Issue: 12 Pages: 3700-3748

    • DOI

      10.4236/jamp.2022.1012248

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Coupled spreading between information and epidemics on multiplex networks with simplicial complexes2022

    • Author(s)
      Fan, J., Zhao, D., Xia, C., Tanimoto, J.;
    • Journal Title

      Chaos

      Volume: 32 Issue: 11 Pages: 17341-17341

    • DOI

      10.1063/5.0125873

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Evolutionary Game Analysis For Sustainable Environment Under Two Power Generation Systems2022

    • Author(s)
      Habib, Md. Ahsan, Kabir, K. M. A., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      EVERGREEN

      Volume: 09 (02) Pages: 323-341

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Investigating the trade-off between self-quarantine and forced quarantine provisions to control an epidemic: An evolutionary approach2022

    • Author(s)
      Khan, Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid, Arefin, Md. R., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Mathematics and Computation

      Volume: 432 Pages: 127365-127365

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.amc.2022.127365

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Stochasticity of disease spreading derived from the microscopic simulation approach for various physical contact networks2022

    • Author(s)
      Tatsukawa, Y., Arefin, Md. R., Utsumi, S., Kuga, K.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Mathematics and Computation

      Volume: 431 Pages: 127328-127328

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.amc.2022.127328

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of individual strategies for artificial and natural immunity with imperfectness and durability of protection2021

    • Author(s)
      Kabir, K. M. A, Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Biology

      Volume: 509 Pages: 110531-110531

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110531

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A co-evolutionary model combined mixed-strategy and network adaptation by severing disassortative neighbors promotes cooperation in prisoner’s dilemma games2021

    • Author(s)
      Miyaji, K., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Chaos, Solitons & Fractals

      Volume: 143 Pages: 110603-110603

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110603

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Abrupt epidemic outbreak could be well tackled by multiple pre-emptive provisions-A game approach considering structured and unstructured populations2021

    • Author(s)
      Alam, M., Ida, Y., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Chaos, Solitons & Fractals

      Volume: 143 Pages: 110584-110584

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110584

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Proposal of an apposite strategy-updating rule for the vaccination game where hubs refer to hubs and lower-degree agents refer to lower-degree agents2021

    • Author(s)
      Tanaka, M., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Biosystems

      Volume: 209 Pages: 104532-104532

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.biosystems.2021.104532

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Impact of the baseline payoff on evolutionary outcomes2021

    • Author(s)
      Arefin, M. R., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 104 Issue: 4 Pages: 044314-044314

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.104.044314

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Dynamic utility: the sixth reciprocity mechanism for the evolution of cooperation2020

    • Author(s)
      Ito, H., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Royal Society Open Science

      Volume: 7 Issue: 8 Pages: 200891-200891

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsos.200891

    • NAID

      120006988508

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Hypothetical assessment of efficiency, willingness-to-accept and willingness-to-pay for dengue vaccine and treatment: a contingent valuation survey in Bangladesh2020

    • Author(s)
      Kabir, K. M., Hagishima, A.; Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics

      Volume: 2020 Issue: 3 Pages: 773-784

    • DOI

      10.1080/21645515.2020.1796424

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Evolution of cooperation in social dilemmas under the coexistence of aspiration and imitation mechanisms2020

    • Author(s)
      Arefin, M. R.., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review E

      Volume: 102 Issue: 3

    • DOI

      10.1103/physreve.102.032120

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The Existence of fence-sitters relaxes the spatial prisoner’s dilemma and enhances network reciprocity2020

    • Author(s)
      Miyaji, K., Tanimoto, J
    • Journal Title

      Applied Mathematics and Computation

      Volume: 390 Pages: 125624-125624

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.amc.2020.125624

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Evolutionary game theory modelling to represent the behavioural dynamics of economic shutdowns and shield immunity in the COVID-19 pandemic2020

    • Author(s)
      Kabir, K. M. A, Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Royal Society Open Science

      Volume: 7 Issue: 9

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsos.201095

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Based on mathematical epidemiology and evolutionary game theory, which is more effective: quarantine or isolation policy?2020

    • Author(s)
      Alam, M., Kabir, K. M. A., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment

      Volume: - Issue: 3 Pages: 033502-033502

    • DOI

      10.1088/1742-5468/ab75ea

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Modelling and analysing the coexistence of dual dilemmas in the proactive vaccination game and retroactive treatment game in epidemic viral dynamics2019

    • Author(s)
      Kabir, K. M. A., Tanimoto, J.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the Royal Society A

      Volume: 475 Issue: 2232 Pages: 20190484-20190484

    • DOI

      10.1098/rspa.2019.0484

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 裏切りに対する鋭敏性によって生じるレヴィ飛行が協力進化に与える影響2020

    • Author(s)
      一ノ瀬元喜, 千葉衿香, 佐山弘樹
    • Organizer
      ゲーム理論ワークショップ2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Sensitivity and Lévy flights in spatial cooperation2020

    • Author(s)
      Genki Ichinose and Hiroki Sayama
    • Organizer
      NetSci-X 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Basic Reproduction Number of Sexually Transmitted Infections with Mother-to-Child Infection2020

    • Author(s)
      Morita S. Ito H. Yamamoto T.
    • Organizer
      NetSci-X 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Why had periodical cicadas acquired periodicity and prime-numbered life cycles?2020

    • Author(s)
      Ito H.
    • Organizer
      3rd International Workshop on Mathematical Biology 2020
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 数理モデルから考察する性感染症の存続性2020

    • Author(s)
      伊東啓、山本太郎、守田智
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第67回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 観測エラー付き繰り返し囚人のジレンマゲームにおけるゼロ行列式戦略2019

    • Author(s)
      間宮安曇, 一ノ瀬元喜
    • Organizer
      2019年度日本数理生物学会年会
    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] GAES and UAE Laboratory

    • URL

      http://ktlabo.cm.kyushu-u.ac.jp/

    • Related Report
      2019 Research-status Report

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Published: 2019-10-10   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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