Mapping seasonal demography and mobility for malaria elimination
| Project/Area Number |
20K10447
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Review Section |
Basic Section 58020:Hygiene and public health-related: including laboratory approach
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| Research Institution | The University of Tokyo |
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Principal Investigator |
新井 亜弓 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 特任助教 (10788574)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
金杉 洋 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 協力研究員 (00526907)
ウィタヤンクーン アピチョン 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 客員研究員 (90726407)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
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| Project Status |
Granted (Fiscal Year 2022)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥130,000 (Direct Cost: ¥100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥30,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
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| Keywords | mobile phone data / human mobility / developing country / representativeness / population statistics / malaria / mobility indicator / public health |
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| Outline of Research at the Start |
This study will first address how sociodemographic factors vary with movement, and map demographic variables important to malaria transmission and risk throughout Mozambique during each month of the year.
This study will combine seasonal demography and movement predictions with monthly malaria risk maps to predict populations at-risk of malaria exposure in high transmission months.
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
As we planned we conducted the analysis to characterize the attributes of highly-mobile population. We also examined how we could generalize our model to one of west African countries.
We obtained the following findings:
1) Mobility and population distribution patterns, including access to job opportunities, vary across different socio-economic groups. The highly-mobile population are often geographically concentrated on informal areas. This could be part of factors determining other types of accessibility such as access to services and infrastructure.
2) There are specific areas and timing where high-risk population start to concentrate and leave towns, which are closely related to agricultural calendar/seasonality.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
We managed to have discussion with local stakeholders regarding the use of statistics generated from CDR data.
Through the discussion we figured that local stakeholders concern about data representativeness that could potentially affect extracted patterns. So, we additionally investigated how data representativeness could vary across regions and if there is a certain indicator/variable which could potentially enable us to estimate the variation.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
コロナの影響で、昨年度は大学だけでなく、多くの国際機関やNGOの活動が制約を受け、特に調査については対面を介さない形態の調査が優先して行われた。
これに伴い、もともと想定していたマラリア患者のデータ更新が限定的であることは否めない。このため、同じく感染症としてCOVID-19関連のデータを用いて分析を進めることも併せて検討する。
今年度は最終年度のため、研究成果の発表を積極的に行う。また、他国でのスケールの実現を視野に入れた、成果の整理を行うことを目指す。
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Report
(3 results)
Research Products
(8 results)
