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Mapping seasonal demography and mobility for malaria elimination

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K10447
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 58020:Hygiene and public health-related: including laboratory approach
Research InstitutionReitaku University (2023)
The University of Tokyo (2020-2022)

Principal Investigator

Arai Ayumi  麗澤大学, 工学部, 准教授 (10788574)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 金杉 洋  東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 協力研究員 (00526907)
ウィタヤンクーン アピチョン  東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 客員研究員 (90726407)
Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥130,000 (Direct Cost: ¥100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥30,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2020: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywordsmobile phone data / big data / developing countries / mobility pattern / evidence-based policy / Africa / human mobility / developing country / representativeness / population statistics / malaria / mobility indicator / public health
Outline of Research at the Start

This study will first address how sociodemographic factors vary with movement, and map demographic variables important to malaria transmission and risk throughout Mozambique during each month of the year.
This study will combine seasonal demography and movement predictions with monthly malaria risk maps to predict populations at-risk of malaria exposure in high transmission months.

Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this study we identified the population mobility patterns that are considered to influence the spread of infectious diseases. By mapping the analysis results, we were able to identify seasonally varying mobility patterns. Linking these to the distribution of malaria cases, enables us to predict risk. This approach makes it possible to identify populations at high risk during peak transmission periods.

The analysis clarified the characteristics of the residential distribution and its changes among highly mobile populations, revealing a tendency for high-risk populations to concentrate in specific times and places. The findings of this analysis can be applicable to other countries in Africa.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

Outcome of our research helps understand seasonally-varying mobility patterns, crucial for advancing intervention in public health domain. It enables predicting disease spread and optimizing healthcare delivery. These insights enable policy makers to tailor interventions and policies effectively.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2023 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • 2020 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2020 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (6 results) Journal Article (1 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (6 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] GBoS/PURA/World Bank(ガンビア)

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] DART/TCRA(タンザニア)

    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Eduardo Mondlane University/INCM(モザンビーク)

    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Eduardo Mondlane University(モザンビーク)

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] Eduardo Mondlane University/Mobile network operator(モザンビーク)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] LIRNEasia/Mobile network operator(スリランカ)

    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Development of Big Data-Analysis Pipeline for Mobile Phone Data with Mobipack and Spatial Enhancement2022

    • Author(s)
      Witayangkurn Apichon、Arai Ayumi、Shibasaki Ryosuke
    • Journal Title

      ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information

      Volume: 11 Issue: 3 Pages: 196-196

    • DOI

      10.3390/ijgi11030196

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Mobile phone data for mobility statistics2024

    • Author(s)
      Ayumi Arai
    • Organizer
      International Seminar on Data Science for the Statistical and Transport Communities
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Understanding migration landscape using mobile phone data in The Gambia2023

    • Author(s)
      Sering Touray
    • Organizer
      CSAE Conference 2023: Economic Development in Africa
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Introduction and Launch of the Guidelines on use of MPD data for: Dynamic Population and census; Tourism: Migration: Information Society; Displacement & Disaster; and Transport2023

    • Author(s)
      Ayumi Arai
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference on Big Data and Data Science
    • Related Report
      2023 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Mapping gaps in coverage and usage of mobile phone network services2022

    • Author(s)
      Silvino Pedro Cumbane
    • Organizer
      International Conference Mobile Tartu 2022
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Mobile Phone Data for official statistics (panel)2022

    • Author(s)
      Ayumi Arai
    • Organizer
      7th International Conference on Big Data and Data Science
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Building a data ecosystem for using telecom data to inform the COVID-19 response efforts2020

    • Author(s)
      Ayumi Arao
    • Organizer
      The 5th International Conference Data for Policy 2020.
    • Related Report
      2020 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2020-04-28   Modified: 2025-01-30  

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