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Refining Human Decision-Making Models with Biological Data and Financial Markets

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21530313
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Science

Principal Investigator

SHIMOKAWA Tetsuya  東京理科大学, 経営学部, 准教授 (30366447)

Project Period (FY) 2009 – 2011
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2009: ¥3,120,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥720,000)
Keywordsファイナンス / ニューロエコノミクス / 意思決定 / fNIRS / 人工市場 / 投資意思決定 / 金融 / 市場価格形成 / f NIRS / 市場化価格形成
Research Abstract

Recent development of neuroscience has spurred revision of models of decision-making under risk, as have been used thus far in economics, based on assumptions of axiomatically defined rationality and prompted the construction of new, more realistic models of bounded rationality decision-making. This study tries to refine decision-making models by using biological data and provide a market foundation for the decision-making model observed in financial markets.
First, we conducted experiments and described a trade behavior which refines existing learning-models. Next, we conducted an agent-based simulation using an artificial market model with selection pressures in order to check whether the observed bounded rationality could have an evolutionary basis.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2011 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • 2009 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (38 results)

All 2012 2011 2010 2009 Other

All Journal Article (14 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 13 results) Presentation (16 results) Remarks (4 results) Patent(Industrial Property Rights) (4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Evolutionary Foundation of Bounded Rationality in a Financial Market2012

    • Author(s)
      Kanta Kinoshita, Kyoko Suzuki, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      The IEEE transactions on Evolutionary Computation

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The role of the orbitofrontal cortex in human adaptive learning under strategic environments2011

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiro Miyagawa, Tadanobu Misawa, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      Economics Bulletin

      Volume: Volume 31, Issue 3

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The role of the orbitofrontal cortex in human adaptive learning under strategic enviroments2011

    • Author(s)
      Kazuhiro Miyagawa, Tadanobu Misawa, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      Economics Bulletin

      Volume: 31(3)

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An agent based approach to test the usefulness of the behavioral finance in real financial markets2011

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Kyoko Suzuki, Satoru Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Computational Science

      Volume: Vol.4, No.2 Pages: 199-217

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Brain-computer Interface for Purchase Decision-making2011

    • Author(s)
      Tadanobu Misawa, Shinichi Shiomi, Kyoko Suzuki, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Computational Science

      Volume: Voi.4,No.2 Pages: 173-185

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An agent-based approach to test the usefulness of the behavioral finance in real financial markets2010

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Kyoko Suzuki and Satoru Takahashi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Computational Science

      Volume: 4(2) Pages: 199-217

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Brain Computer Interfaceを用いた投資行動分析2010

    • Author(s)
      鈴木恭子, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 塩見真一, 参沢匡将, 下川哲矢
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会論文誌

      Volume: Vol.25, No.1 Pages: 183-195

    • NAID

      130000151249

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Brain Computer Interface を用いた投資行動分析2010

    • Author(s)
      鈴木恭子, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 塩見真一, 参沢匡将, 下川哲矢
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会論文誌 Vol.25, No.1

      Pages: 183-195

    • NAID

      130000151249

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Predicting Investment Behavior : an Augmented Reinforcement Learning Model2009

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Tadanobu Misawa and Kyoko Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Neurocomputing

      Volume: 16-18 Pages: 3447-3461

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Predictability of Investment Behavior from Brain Information Measured by Functional Near-Infrared Spectroscopy : A Bayesian Neural Network Model2009

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Kyoko Suzuki, Tadanobu Misawa, Kazuhiro Miyagawa
    • Journal Title

      Neuroscience

      Volume: 161 Pages: 347-358

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Agent-based Approach to Option Pricing Anomalies2009

    • Author(s)
      Kyoko Suzuki, Tadanobu Misawa, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      The IEEE transactions on Evolutionary Computation

      Volume: 13(1) Pages: 19-32

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Predictability of Investment Behavior from Brain Information Measured by Functional Near-Infrared Spectroscopy : A Bayesian Neural Network Model2009

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Kyoko Suzuki, Tadanobu Misawa, Kazuhiro Miyagawa
    • Journal Title

      Neuroscience 161

      Pages: 347-358

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Predicting Investment Behavior : an Augmented Reinforcement Learning Model2009

    • Author(s)
      Tetsuya Shimokawa, Tadanobu Misawa, Kyoko Suzuki
    • Journal Title

      Neurocomputing Volume 72, Issues 16-18

      Pages: 3447-3461

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] An Agent-based Approach to Option Pricing Anomalies2009

    • Author(s)
      Kyoko Suzuki, Tadanobu Misawa, Tetsuya Shimokawa
    • Journal Title

      The IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation Volume : 13, Issue 1

      Pages: 19-32

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 不確実性下での意思決定問題における認知過程の個体差に関する研究2011

    • Author(s)
      荒山泰佑, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      電気学会,電子・情報・システム部門大会
    • Place of Presentation
      富山大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 神経経済学的な観点からの限定合理性モデルの評価2011

    • Author(s)
      酒谷拓孝、下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      電気学会,電子・情報・システム部門大会
    • Place of Presentation
      富山大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-07
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 脳情報のマイニングによる経済意思決定モデルの精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      下川哲矢, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢匡将
    • Organizer
      2011年度人工知能学会全国大会(第25回)
    • Place of Presentation
      アイーナいわて県民情報交流センター
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-02
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Neuroeconomicsの知見を応用した自律的Brain Computer Interface Systemの作成と評価2011

    • Author(s)
      木下寛大, 宮川和大, 荒山泰祐, 酒谷拓孝, 参沢匡将, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      2011年度人工知能学会全国大会(第25回)
    • Place of Presentation
      アイーナいわて県民情報交流センター
    • Year and Date
      2011-06-02
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] インターネットを介した自律的なニューロ・マーケティング・システムの構築2011

    • Author(s)
      宮川和大, 木下寛大, 参沢将匡, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会 第73回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 生体情報のマイニングによる投資意思決定モデルの精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      荒山泰佑, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会 第73回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人工市場における神経経済学的分析:意思決定バイアスとマーケットイベントを中心に2011

    • Author(s)
      酒谷拓孝, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会 第73回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-04
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Intelligent Market:市場安定化のためのマーケットメイカー型ブレイン・コンピュータ・インターフェイスの作成2011

    • Author(s)
      下川哲矢, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢将匡
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会 第73回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-02
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 脳情報のマイニングによる経済意思決定モデルの精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      下川哲矢, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢匡将
    • Organizer
      2011年度人工知能学会全国大会(第25回)論文集
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Intelligent Market :市場安定化のためのマーケットメイカー型ブレイン・コンピュータ・インターフェイスの作成2011

    • Author(s)
      下川哲矢, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢匡将
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会第73回全国大会論文集
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] インターネットを介した自律的なニューロ・マーケティング・システムの構築2011

    • Author(s)
      宮川和大, 木下寛大, 参沢匡将, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会第73回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 生体情報のマイニングによる投資意思決定モデルの精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      荒山泰佑, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会第73回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 人工市場における神経経済学的分析:意思決定バイアスとマーケットイベントを中心に2011

    • Author(s)
      酒谷拓孝, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      プロシーディングス,情報処理学会第73回全国大会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Neuroデータのマイニングによる投資意思決定モデルの精緻化2011

    • Author(s)
      下川哲矢, 木下寛大, 宮川和大
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会ファイナンス研究会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] SmartMarket : NeuroFinanceの知見を応用したマーケットメイカー型Brain Computer Interfaceの作成と評価2011

    • Author(s)
      宮川和大, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会ファイナンス研究会
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report 2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Neuroeconomicsの知見を応用した自律的Brain Computer Interface Systemの作成と評価2010

    • Author(s)
      木下寛大, 宮川和大, 荒山泰祐, 酒谷拓孝, 参沢匡将, 下川哲矢
    • Organizer
      2011年度人工知能学会全国大会(第25回)論文集
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.ms.kuki.tus.ac.jp/outline/faculty/profile/shimokawa.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.ms.kuki.tus.ac.jp/outline/faculty/profile/shimokawa.html

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www.ms.kuki.tus.ac.jp/KMSLab/shimokawa/index.html

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] ただし業績のみ

    • URL

      http://www.ms.kuki.tus.ac.jp/outline/faculty/profile/shimokawa.html

    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Patent(Industrial Property Rights)] 金融資産表示データ生成装置、及びプログラム2009

    • Inventor(s)
      下川哲矢,参沢匡将,鈴木恭子,木下寛大,宮川和大
    • Industrial Property Rights Holder
      東京理科大学
    • Industrial Property Number
      2009-230901
    • Filing Date
      2009
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Patent(Industrial Property Rights)] 投資行動に寄与する投資情報を提供する投資行動補助サーバ及びその方法2009

    • Inventor(s)
      下川哲矢,参沢匡将,鈴木恭子,木下寛大,宮川和大
    • Industrial Property Rights Holder
      東京理科大学
    • Industrial Property Number
      2009-021661
    • Filing Date
      2009
    • Related Report
      2011 Final Research Report
  • [Patent(Industrial Property Rights)] 投資行動に寄与する投資情報を提供する投資行動補助サーバ及びその方法2009

    • Inventor(s)
      下川哲矢, 鈴木恭子, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢匡将
    • Industrial Property Rights Holder
      東京理科大学
    • Industrial Property Number
      2009-216617
    • Filing Date
      2009-09-21
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report
  • [Patent(Industrial Property Rights)] 金融資産表示データ生成装置、及びプログラム2009

    • Inventor(s)
      下川哲矢, 鈴木恭子, 木下寛大, 宮川和大, 参沢匡将
    • Industrial Property Rights Holder
      東京理科大学
    • Industrial Property Number
      2009-230901
    • Filing Date
      2009-09-21
    • Related Report
      2009 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2009-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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