Understanding the typhoon activity over the western North Pacific during the 20th century

• Project/Area Number: 21684028
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (A)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
• Research Institution: Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
• Principal Investigator: KUBOTA Hisayuki 独立行政法人海洋研究開発機構, 地球環境変動領域, 研究員 (40359211)
• Research Collaborator: LU Mong-ming Central Weather Bureau, Chief Researcher ; CHAN Johnny C. L. City University of Hong Kong, Professor ; KATAOKA Kumi 筑波大学, 生命環境科学研究科, 講師 ; WANG Bin University of Hawaii, Professor ; ZHAO Bingke Shanghai Typhoon Institute
• Project Period (FY): 2009 – 2011
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2011)
• Budget Amount: ¥13,130,000 (Direct Cost: ¥10,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,030,000); Fiscal Year 2011: ¥2,210,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥510,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥5,850,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,350,000)
• Keywords: 台風 / 西部北太平洋 / 長期変動 / 20世紀 / 西部太平洋 / データレスキュー / データ収集

Research Abstract

The dataset of the location of tropical cyclone(TC) over the western North Pacific during the 20th century was created by collecting and digitizing the historical paper records stored in the libraries in Asian countries. This dataset provides us the new view of TC number trend during the 20th century. Overall numbers do not have trend but the TC tracks tend to shift northward and eastward during the 20th century.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Regional patterns of tropical Indo-Pacific climate change : Evidence of the walker circulation weakening (2012)
  • Author(s): Tokinaga, H., S.-P. Xie, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, T. Ogata, H. Kubota and Y. M. Okumura
  • Journal Title: J. Climate Volume: 25 Pages: 1689-1710
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Inter-decadal variations in ENSO teleconnection to the Indo-western Pacific for 1870-2007 (2012)
  • Author(s): Chowdary, J. S., S.-P. Xie, H. Tokinaga, Y. M. Okumura, H. Kubota, N. C. Johnson and X.-T. Zheng
  • Journal Title: J. Climate Volume: 25 Pages: 1722-1744
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 研究会報告 (2012)
  • Author(s): 石原正仁、楠木英典、山岸昌伸、加藤輝之、津口裕茂、坪木和久、上田博、篠田太郎、加藤雅也、大東忠保、吉岡真由美、尾上万里子、牛山素行、牧原康隆、久保田尚之、村田文絵、三隅良平
  • Journal Title: 研究会報告平成23年台風第12号、第15号 Volume: 59 Pages: 183-189
• [Journal Article] Regional patterns of tropical Indo-Pacific climate change : Evidence of the walker circulation weakening (2012)
  • Author(s): Tokinaga, H., S.-P.Xie, A.Timmermann, S.McGregor, T.Ogata, H.Kubota, Y.M.Okumura
  • Journal Title: J.Climate Volume: 25 Pages: 1689-1710
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Inter-decadal variations in ENSO teleconnection to the Indo-western Pacific for 1870-2007 (2012)
  • Author(s): Chowdary, J.S., S.-P.Xie, H.Tokinaga, Y.M.Okumura, H.Kubota, N.C.Johnson, X.-T.Zheng
  • Journal Title: J.Climate Volume: 25 Pages: 1722-1744
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Interannual rainfall variability over the eastern maritime continent (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., R. Shirooka, Hamada J.-I., and F. Syamsudin
  • Journal Title: J. Meteor. Soc. Japan Volume: 89A Pages: 11-22
  • NAID: 130004788744
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The influence of observations propagated by convectively coupled equatorial waves Quart (2011)
  • Author(s): Moteki, Q., K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, H. Kubota, K. Yasunaga, J. Suzuki, A. Seiki, N. Sato, T. Enomoto, T. Miyoshi, and S. Yamane
  • Journal Title: J. Roy. Meteor. Soc Volume: 137 Issue: 656 Pages: 641-655
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.779
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Interannual rainfall variability over the eastern maritime continent (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H.
  • Journal Title: J.Meteor.Soc.Japan Volume: 89A Pages: 11-22
  • NAID: 130004788744
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Characteristics of deep convection measured by using the A-train constellation (2010)
  • Author(s): Iwasaki, S., T. Shibata, J. Nakamoto, H. Okamoto, H. Ishimoto, and H. Kubota
  • Journal Title: J. Geophys. Res. Volume: 115 Issue: D6
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009jd013000
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] How much do tropical cyclones affect seasonal and interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific? (2009)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H. and B. Wang
  • Journal Title: J. Climate Volume: 22 Pages: 5495-5510
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005 (2009)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H. and J. C. L. Chan
  • Journal Title: Geophys. Res. Lett Volume: 36 Issue: 12
  • DOI: 10.1029/2009gl038108
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Diurnal to interannual variation in the raindrop size distribution over Palau in the Western tropical Pacific (2009)
  • Author(s): Ushiyama, T., K. K. Reddy, H. Kubota, K. Yasunaga, R. Shirooka
  • Journal Title: Geophys. Res. Lett. Volume: 36 Issue: 2
  • DOI: 10.1029/2008gl036242
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] How much do tropical cyclones affect seasonal and interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific? (2009)
  • Author(s): H.Kubota
  • Journal Title: Journal of Climate 22 Pages: 5495-5510
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005 (2009)
  • Author(s): H Kubota
  • Journal Title: Geophysical Rearch Letters 36
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] 過去100年間の西部北太平洋域の台風経路の変化 (2011)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之, J.C.L.Chan, 松本淳, E.W.L.Ginn
  • Organizer: 日本気象学会2011年秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 名古屋大学(愛知県)
  • Year and Date: 2011-11-18
• [Presentation] PJパターンを通した夏期西部北太平洋域のモンスーン活動の数十年変動 (2011)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之, 小坂優, 謝尚平
  • Organizer: 日本気象学会2011年秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 名古屋大学(愛知県)
  • Year and Date: 2011-11-16
• [Presentation] Interdecadal rainfall variability associated with typhoon and monsoon over the western north Pacific (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., B. Wang, J. Matsumoto, E. W. L. Ginn, and E. O. Cayanan, 2011 : Asian Monsoon Years
  • Organizer: World Climate Research Program Open Science Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Denver, USA
  • Year and Date: 2011-10-24
• [Presentation] Asian Monsoon Years (2007-2012) : Interdecadal rainfall variability associated with typhoon and monsoon over the western north Pacific (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., B.Wang, J.Matsumoto, E.W.L.Ginn, E.O.Cayanan
  • Organizer: World Climate Research Program Open Science Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Denver, USA
  • Year and Date: 2011-10-24
• [Presentation] Heavy rainfall in the winter monsoon in Philippines (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., J.Matsumoto, S.-Y.Ogino, P.Wu, N.Endo, M.Hattori, K.Masuda, I.Akasaka, E.O.Cayanan
  • Organizer: The Second International MAHASRI/HyARC workshop on Asian monsoon and Water Cycle
  • Place of Presentation: Nha Trang, Vietnam
  • Year and Date: 2011-08-22
• [Presentation] The Recovery of Historical Typhoon Track Data over the Western North Pacific for Understanding the Typhoon Activity during the Past 100 Years (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., J. C. L. Chan, J. Matsumoto, and E. W. L. Ginn
  • Organizer: Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2011
  • Place of Presentation: Taipei, Taiwan
  • Year and Date: 2011-08-11
• [Presentation] Rainfall variability associated with typhoon and monsoon during the past 100 years over the Western North Pacific (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H., B. Wang, E. W. L. Ginn, and E. O. Cayanan
  • Organizer: International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics XXV General Assembly
  • Place of Presentation: Melborne, Australia
  • Year and Date: 2011-07-03
• [Presentation] 20世紀前半の西部北太平洋域の台風経路データセット (2011)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之、松本淳、E.W.L.Ginn
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2011年大会
  • Place of Presentation: 幕張メッセ(千葉県)
  • Year and Date: 2011-05-27
• [Presentation] 20世紀を通した西部北太平洋域での台風とモンスーンに関する変動 (2011)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之、B.Wang, E.W.L.Ginn, E.O.Cayanan
  • Organizer: 日本気象学会2011年春季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 国立オリンピック記念青少年センター(東京都)
  • Year and Date: 2011-05-18
• [Presentation] Data rescue of historical typhoon tracks over the western north Pacific back to late 19th century (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H.
  • Organizer: 2nd IBTrACS (International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship) Workshop
  • Place of Presentation: Honolulu, USA
  • Year and Date: 2011-04-13
• [Presentation] Interannual rainfall variability over the eastern maritime continent (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H
  • Organizer: Research Institute for Global Change(RIGC) Annual Symposium FY2010
  • Place of Presentation: 横須賀 海洋研究開発機構
  • Year and Date: 2011-02-24
• [Presentation] Interannual rainfall variability over the eastern maritime continent (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H.
  • Organizer: 91st American Meteorological Society annual meeting Micho Yanai Symposium
  • Place of Presentation: Seattle Convection Center USA
  • Year and Date: 2011-01-27
• [Presentation] Typhoon activities during the past 100 years over the Western North Pacific (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H
  • Organizer: JSPS international Forum, "Climatic Changes in Monsoon Asia (CCMA)"
  • Place of Presentation: Siam City Hotel Bangkok Thailand
  • Year and Date: 2011-01-07
• [Presentation] 20世紀を通した西部北太平洋域の台風経路の復元 (2010)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之
  • Organizer: 2010年日本地理学会秋季学術大会
  • Place of Presentation: 名古屋大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-10-02
• [Presentation] 20世紀を通した西部北太平洋域の台風経路の復元 (2010)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之
  • Organizer: JAMSTEC「地球環境シリーズ」講演会
  • Place of Presentation: 東京 国連大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-08-09
• [Presentation] 20世紀前半の西部北太平洋域の台風経路の復元 (2010)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2010年大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉 幕張メッセ
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-27
• [Presentation] 20世紀前半の西部北太平洋域の台風経路の復元 (2009)
  • Author(s): 久保田尚之
  • Organizer: 日本気象学会
  • Place of Presentation: 福岡アクロス福岡
  • Year and Date: 2009-11-25
• [Presentation] Weather observations over the Tropical Westem Pacific region for understanding the climate change (2009)
  • Author(s): H.Kubota
  • Organizer: Taipei Minicipal University of Education Invited lecture
  • Place of Presentation: Taipei, Taiwan Taipei Minicipal University of Education
  • Year and Date: 2009-10-28
• [Presentation] The Recovery of Historical Typhoon Track Data over the WNP for Understanding the Climate Change During the Past 100 Years, National Workshop on Adaptation to Climate Change in the Philippines (2009)
  • Author(s): H.Kubota
  • Organizer: National Workshop on Adaptation to Climate Change in the Philippines : Development of Climate Change Scenarios
  • Place of Presentation: Manila, Philippines Torre Venezia Hotel
  • Year and Date: 2009-10-19
• [Presentation] Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005 (2009)
  • Author(s): H.Kubota
  • Organizer: MOCA-09
  • Place of Presentation: Montreal, Canada Palais des congres
  • Year and Date: 2009-07-23
• [Book] Variability of typhoon tracks and genesis over the Western North Pacific, Cyclones : Formation, Triggers and Control (2012)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H.
  • Publisher: Nova Science Publishers, Inc.(出版は確定)(未定)
• [Book] Variability of typhoon tracks and genesis over the Western North Pacific (2011)
  • Author(s): Kubota, H.
  • Publisher: Nova Science Publishers
• [Remarks] (1) 20世紀前半の台風経路データセット
  • URL: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/drc/maps/e/kadai/mon/mon_tt.html
• [Remarks] (2) 20世紀前半のフィリピン日降水量データセット
  • URL: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/drc/maps/e/kadai/mon/mon_pr.html
• [Remarks] (3)水文気候観測データ地点別目録システム
  • URL: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/rigc/mahadis/search/
• [Remarks] (4) 2011年台風12号の類似台風1889年十津川水害の台風2011年9月14日TBSラジオ森本毅郎・スタンバイ!
• [Remarks] 20世紀前半のフィリピン降水量データセット作成 DIAS地球観測データ 統合解析プロダクトに掲載
  • URL: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/drc/maps/e/kadai/mon/mon_pr.html