Innovation Policies and Sustained Economic Growth in an Era of Declining Fertility Rates and Rapidly Aging Society

• Project/Area Number: 21730218
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: Economic policy
• Research Institution: Yamagata University
• Principal Investigator: NODA Hideo Yamagata University, 人文学部, 准教授 (90347724)
• Project Period (FY): 2009 – 2010
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2010)
• Budget Amount: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000); Fiscal Year 2010: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000); Fiscal Year 2009: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
• Keywords: 少子高齢化 / 知識基盤経済 / 経済成長 / 人的資本 / R&D / イノベーション政策 / 高年齢者雇用促進政策 / 人口減少 / 持続的経済成長 / 雇用政策

Research Abstract

This study aims to examine the relationship between demographic change and innovation, and derive policy implications that contribute to the promotion of economic growth. The framework of this study is based on an endogenous technological change model with an expanding variety of products. As a result of analysis, we find that the rate of innovation will decline over the long run with population aging.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Why Employment Promotion Policies for Older Workers Matter (2011)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄
  • Journal Title: 経済政策ジャーナル 第8巻,第2号 Pages: 19-28
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] AR成分付き季節調整モデルの推定に関する新しい試み (2011)
  • Author(s): 姜興起、野田英雄
  • Journal Title: Information Volume: 14 Pages: 29-49
  • NAID: 120006390598
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Analysis of the Technical Change in Japan (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Journal Title: 経済政策ジャーナル 第7巻,第2号 Pages: 2-5
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Regional Analysis of the Japanese Economy Based on Bayesian Modeling (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Journal Title: システム制御情報学会論文誌 第54巻,第2号 Pages: 19-28
  • NAID: 10026358852
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Analysis of the Technical Change in Japan (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄、姜興起
  • Journal Title: 経済政策ジャーナル Volume: 7 Pages: 2-5
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Statistical Analysis of the Dynamic Structure of China's Economic Sectors Based on Bayesian Modeling (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄、姜興起
  • Journal Title: Information Volume: 13 Pages: 923-939
  • NAID: 120006390512
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Regional Analysis of the Japanese Economy Based on Bayesian Modeling (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Journal Title: システム制御情報学会論文誌 54 Pages: 19-28
  • NAID: 10026358852
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Estimation of the CES Production Function with a Time-Varying Efficiency Parameter (2009)
  • Author(s): Noda, H., K.Kyo
  • Journal Title: The Empirical Economics Letters 8(10) Pages: 949-960
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Methods for TFP Analysis of a Multi-Region Economy with Dynamic Structure and Application to Japan (2009)
  • Author(s): Noda, H., K.Kyo
  • Journal Title: Journal of Economic Research 14(2) Pages: 151-195
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Methods for TFP Analysis of a Multi-Region Economy with Dynamic Structure and Application to Japan (2009)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Journal Title: Journal of Economic Research 14 Pages: 151-195
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Bayesian Estimation of the CES Production Function with a Time-Varying Efficiency Parameter (2009)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Journal Title: The Empirical Economics Letters 8 Pages: 949-960
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] A New Algorithm for Estimating the Parameters in Seasonal Adjustment Models with Cyclical Component (2010)
  • Author(s): 姜興起、野田英雄
  • Organizer: Fifth International Conference on Innovative Computing, Information and Control
  • Place of Presentation: Xi'an Hotel, China
  • Year and Date: 2010-12-21
• [Presentation] Duration of Patent Protection and Optimal R & D Intensity (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄
  • Organizer: 9th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association
  • Place of Presentation: 早稲田大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-11-28
• [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of the Technical Change Based on CES Production Functions (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄、姜興起
  • Organizer: The 2nd European Asian Economics, Finance, Econometrics and Accounting Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Park Plaza Science Beijing Hotel, China
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-10
• [Presentation] AR成分付き季節調整モデルのパラメータ推定について (2010)
  • Author(s): 姜興起、野田英雄
  • Organizer: 2010年度統計関連学会連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 早稲田大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-09-06
• [Presentation] 経済時系列における循環変動の推定法の提案 (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄、姜興起
  • Organizer: 日本応用経済学会2010年度春季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 西南学院大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-06-19
• [Presentation] Product Development Performance in an Aging Society (2010)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄
  • Organizer: 日本経済政策学会第67回(2010年度)全国大会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都産業大学
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-30
• [Presentation] Bayesian Methods for TFP Analysis via a Dynamic Production Function with Application to China and Taiwan (2009)
  • Author(s): Noda, H., K.Ky
  • Organizer: The Third All China Economics (ACE) International Conference
  • Place of Presentation: City University of Hong Kong, China.
  • Year and Date: 2009-12-14
• [Presentation] Bayesian Analysis of Sources of Sectoral Growth in Post-Reform China (2009)
  • Author(s): Noda, H., K.Kyo
  • Organizer: The Fifth International Conference on Information
  • Place of Presentation: Kyoto University, Japan.
  • Year and Date: 2009-11-08
• [Presentation] Another Look at the Productivity Performance of the Taiwanese Economy (2009)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Organizer: 日本地域学会第46回年次大会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-10-12
• [Presentation] Sources of Economic Growth in Japan and the United States (2009)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Organizer: 日本経済政策学会第66回(2009年度)全国大会
  • Place of Presentation: 東北学院大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-05-30
• [Presentation] Sources of Economic Growth in Japan and the United States (2009)
  • Author(s): 野田英雄・姜興起
  • Organizer: 日本経済政策学会
  • Place of Presentation: 東北学院大学
  • Year and Date: 2009-05-30
• [Book] 経済成長のミステリー (2009)
  • Author(s): 大住圭介・池下研一郎・野田英雄・伊ヶ崎大理
  • Total Pages: 168
  • Publisher: 九州大学出版会
• [Remarks] ホームページ等