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Political Analysis of Fiscal Reconstruction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 21K01292
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Review Section Basic Section 06010:Politics-related
Research InstitutionOsaka University

Principal Investigator

Kamikawa Ryunoshin  大阪大学, 大学院法学研究科, 教授 (40346656)

Project Period (FY) 2021-04-01 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2024)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2021: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Keywords財政赤字 / 予算編成 / 税制改正 / 消費税 / 財務省(大蔵省) / 財政金融政策 / 財政危機 / 首相 / 財政再建 / 財務省
Outline of Research at the Start

本研究では、大平内閣から第2次以降の安倍内閣までの財政政策(予算編成・税制改正)の決定過程を詳細に分析することで、なぜ国民に不人気な財政再建策に取り組む政治家が繰り返し登場するのかを解明するとともに、その際に財務省(大蔵省)が果たした役割について検討し、その政治的影響力の実態について分析する。

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research tries to answer a following question. Although the risk of a sovereign debt crisis in Japan remains low, why have a lot of administrations pursued unpopular fiscal consolidation measures. This study traces the process of fiscal policy making (compiling budgets and tax reforms) from the Ohira Administration to the second Abe Administration and reveals that many politicians have engaged in fiscal restructuring for their own political gain. This research also makes it clear that the Ministry of Finance has retained some influence on successive administrations through playing a significant role in the management of the administration and the handling of parliamentary matters.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

政治学や経済学では、1990年代以降に先進諸国では財政再建が進んだのに、なぜ日本では財政再建が進まないのかが研究されてきた。だが、政府債務危機が発生する可能性の低い日本で、国民に不人気な増税や緊縮財政が進まないのは当然だと考えられる。ところが現実には、大平内閣以降、多くの政権が大型間接税の導入や消費税増税、財政緊縮策に取り組んできた。そしてそのことで世論の反発を招き、政権存続の危機に陥ってきた。社会的関心の高い財政政策を対象とし、なぜ歴代政権が国民には不人気な財政再建に取り組んできたのかという、先行研究とは異なる観点から分析を行う点で、本研究は社会的意義と学術的意義を有する。

Report

(5 results)
  • 2024 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Research-status Report
  • 2021 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2024 2023 2022 2021

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) Book (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] The Emergence of the Theory of Growth Regimes in Comparative Political Economy2024

    • Author(s)
      上川 龍之進
    • Journal Title

      阪大法学

      Volume: 74 Issue: 3-4 Pages: 105-137

    • DOI

      10.18910/99472

    • ISSN
      04384997
    • Year and Date
      2024-11-30
    • Related Report
      2024 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 政争の具としての財政再建――小渕内閣から第二次以降の安倍内閣までの軌跡――2021

    • Author(s)
      上川 龍之進
    • Journal Title

      阪大法学

      Volume: 71 (3・4) Pages: 97-137

    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] 原発事故から学ぶ政治学2021

    • Author(s)
      上川 龍之進
    • Organizer
      日本政治学会
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 檢證安倍政權:保守與現實主義的政治2024

    • Author(s)
      亞太倡議智庫
    • Total Pages
      398
    • Publisher
      玉山社
    • ISBN
      9789862944080
    • Related Report
      2024 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] Critical Review of the Abe Administration: Politics of Conservatism and Realism2023

    • Author(s)
      Yoichi Funabashi, Koji Nakakita, Ryunoshin Kamikawa, Shiro Sakaiya, Ken Jimbo, Takashi Terada, Naoko Kumagai, Harukata Takenaka, Yuki Tsuji, Kenneth Mori McElwain
    • Total Pages
      264
    • Publisher
      Routledge
    • ISBN
      9781032548852
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Examining Heisei Japan, Vol. II: Politics2023

    • Author(s)
      Supervised by KITAOKA Shinichi, Edited by IIO Jun
    • Total Pages
      267
    • Publisher
      Japan Publishing Industry Foundation for Culture
    • ISBN
      9784866582474
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 日本政治の第一歩〔新版〕2023

    • Author(s)
      上神 貴佳、三浦 まり
    • Total Pages
      284
    • Publisher
      有斐閣
    • ISBN
      9784641151123
    • Related Report
      2022 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 検証 安倍政権: 保守とリアリズムの政治2022

    • Author(s)
      アジア・パシフィック・イニシアティブ
    • Total Pages
      408
    • Publisher
      文藝春秋
    • ISBN
      9784166613465
    • Related Report
      2021 Research-status Report

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Published: 2021-04-28   Modified: 2026-01-16  

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