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Statistical Modeling to predict spatial distribution of an exotic ant and to evaluate its effects on native ant community

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22500250
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionHokkaido University

Principal Investigator

KUBO Takuya  北海道大学, 大学院・地球環境科学研究院, 助教 (80344498)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ITO Fuminori  香川大学, 農学部, 教授 (50260683)
Project Period (FY) 2010 – 2012
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2012)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2010: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Keywordsアルゼンチンアリ / 外来性侵入生物 / 群集動態 / 時系列データ解析 / 階層ベイズモデル / 外来侵入生物 / 分布拡大 / 群集生態学 / 統計モデル / 空間相関 / パラメーター推定 / 特定外来生物
Research Abstract

We analyzed the expanding dynamics and impact of Argentine ants (Linepithema humile), an invasive alien species in Japan, on native ant community using Bayesian statistical models based on a long-term monitoring data taken from 2000 to 2012 in Hatsukaichi-city, Japan. The results clearly showed that the Argentine ants in high density decreased the density of native ant species, while the ecological factors controlling on their expansion could not detected.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2012 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2011 Annual Research Report
  • 2010 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All 2013 2012 2011 2010

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 6 results) Presentation (14 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 四国の港湾地域におけるアルゼンチンアリの分布調査2012

    • Author(s)
      池永宜弘, 伊藤文紀
    • Journal Title

      香川生物

      Volume: 39 Pages: 63-69

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] ommon allometric response of open-grown leader shoots to tree height in cooccurring deciduous broad-leaved trees2011

    • Author(s)
      Miyata, Kubo, Nabeshima, Kohyama
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Botany

      Volume: 108 Issue: 7 Pages: 1279-1286

    • DOI

      10.1093/aob/mcr228

    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ergatoid queen development in the ant Myrmecina nipponica: Modular and heterochronic regulation of caste differentiation.2010

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Miyazaki, Takahiro Murakami, Takuya Kubo , Noriko Azuma, Seigo Higashi and Toru Miura.
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the Royal Society B

      Volume: 277(1690) Issue: 1690 Pages: 1953-1961

    • DOI

      10.1098/rspb.2010.0142

    • NAID

      120005906981

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Bayesian analysis of the temporal change of local density of proboscis monkeys: implications for environmental effects on a fission-fusion society.2010

    • Author(s)
      Ikki Matsuda, Takuya Kubo,Augustine Tuuga, and Seigo Higashi.
    • Journal Title

      American Journal of Physical Anthropology

      Volume: 142 Issue: 2 Pages: 235-245

    • DOI

      10.1002/ajpa.21218

    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Ergatoid queen development in the ant Myrmecina nipponica : Modular and heterochronic regulation of caste differentiation2010

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Miyazaki
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of the Royal Society B

      Volume: 277 Pages: 1953-1961

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Bayesian analysis of the temporal change of local density of proboscis monkeys : implications for environmental effects on a fission-fusion society2010

    • Author(s)
      Ikki Matsuda
    • Journal Title

      American Journal of Physical Anthropology

      Volume: 142 Pages: 235-245

    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 「割算」やめて統計モデルで対処しよう.2013

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥.
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第60回大会(静岡)自由集会データ解析で出会う統計的問題-その「割算」あぶなくない?
    • Place of Presentation
      静岡県コンベンションアーツセンター,静岡
    • Year and Date
      2013-03-07
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 廿日市市のアルゼンチンアリは他種のアリを減らしているのか?2013

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥.
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学,高松
    • Year and Date
      2013-02-18
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 市民と取り組むアルチン早期発見の試み.2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤文紀
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学,高松
    • Year and Date
      2013-02-18
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 市民と取り組むアルチン早期発見の試み2013

    • Author(s)
      伊藤文紀
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川県高松市香川大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 廿日市市のアルゼンチンアリは他種のアリを減らしているのか?2013

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川県高松市香川大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 分割表の作図・GLM・ベイズモデル.2012

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥.
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第59回大会(大津)自由集会データ解析で出会う統計的問題-分割表の問題と統計モデリング
    • Place of Presentation
      龍谷大学,大津
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-19
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 分割表の作図・GLM・ベイズモデル2012

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第59回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      龍谷大学
    • Year and Date
      2012-03-19
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 廿日市市アルゼンチンアリデータのベイズ統計モデリング.2012

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥.
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学,高松.
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-03
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] アルゼンチンアリが管住性ハチ類に及ぼす影響.2012

    • Author(s)
      伊藤文紀.
    • Organizer
      アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学,高松.
    • Year and Date
      2012-02-03
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] ルリアリはなぜアルゼンチンアリにくちくされるのか2011

    • Author(s)
      横井洋平、頭山昌郁、伊藤文紀
    • Organizer
      日本昆虫学会第71回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      信州大学
    • Year and Date
      2011-09-17
    • Related Report
      2011 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 選択・勝敗の階層ベイズモデル.2011

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥.
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第58回大会(札幌)自由集会データ解析で出会う統計的問題-選択や勝負の統計モデル
    • Place of Presentation
      札幌コンベンションセンター,札幌.
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-09
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] 選択・勝敗の階層ベイズモデル2011

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥
    • Organizer
      日本生態学会第58回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道札幌市
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-09
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] アルゼンチンアリが地表歩行性動物に及ぼす影響.2011

    • Author(s)
      伊藤文紀.
    • Organizer
      第2回アルゼンチンアリ研究会議.
    • Place of Presentation
      香川大学,高松.
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-28
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] アルゼンチンアリが地表歩行性動物に及ぼす影響2011

    • Author(s)
      伊藤文紀
    • Organizer
      第2回アルゼンチンアリ研究会議
    • Place of Presentation
      香川県三木町
    • Year and Date
      2011-01-28
    • Related Report
      2010 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] データ解析のための統計モデリング入門:一般化線形モデル・階層ベイズモデル・MCMC.2012

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Final Research Report
  • [Book] データ解析のための統計モデリング入門 - 一般化線形モデル・階層ベイズモデル・MCMC -2012

    • Author(s)
      久保拓弥
    • Total Pages
      272
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2010-08-23   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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