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Analyzing international supply chain risks to Japan's low-carbon energy transition

Research Project

Project/Area Number 22KF0227
Project/Area Number (Other) 22F22725 (2022)
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for JSPS Fellows

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund (2023)
Single-year Grants (2022)
Section外国
Review Section Basic Section 64060:Environmental policy and social systems-related
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

TRENCHER GREGORY  京都大学, 地球環境学堂, 准教授 (90802108)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) CARLSON JORDAN  京都大学, 地球環境学堂, 外国人特別研究員
Project Period (FY) 2023-03-08 – 2025-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2023)
Budget Amount *help
¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000)
Fiscal Year 2022: ¥300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥300,000)
Keywordshydrogen supply chains / import / export / production / end-use / risks / decarbonisation / hydrogen / ammonia / supply chains / net-zero
Outline of Research at the Start

This project investigates potential low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia supply chain pathways for Japan. It identifies export countries and sustainability and security risks related to production and import paths. Policy recommendations to reduce risks are then made.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

Research during this year concerned the question: “What risks emerge to national decarbonisation goals from relying on the use of blue and green hydrogen?” To answer this question, we conducted an integrative literature review to develop a framework for assessing the decarbonisation risks of different hydrogen and ammonia production pathways and end uses. We conceptualised risks using the IPCC’s feasibility categories for climate change mitigation options (IPCC, 2022), that considers the geophysical, environmental-ecological, technological, economic, sociocultural, institutional, and geopolitical groundings of risks to achieving decarbonisation through hydrogen development.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

A journal paper was submitted to Energy Research and Social Science for the above research topic. We have now proceeded to the second stage, which is to empirically examine how decarbonisation risks are acknowledged in national hydrogen strategies.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

This year, we will use the previously developed framework to consider the strategic risks to national decarbonisation goals emerging from national hydrogen strategies in four nation-states proposing different configurations of international hydrogen economies. Specifically, we consider two states that plan to be net importers of hydrogen produced overseas and shipped to their ports (Japan and Germany), and two that plan to be net exporters meeting the global demand represented by the former (Australia and the United States). Using document analysis, we review the hydrogen strategies of each country to identify decarbonisation risks that might threaten the viability or long-term stability of emissions reductions.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • 2022 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (1 results)

All 2023

All Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Presentation] A framework for considering novel decarbonisation risks for hydrogen and ammonia energy supply chains in first-mover markets2023

    • Author(s)
      Carlson, J., Trencher, G.
    • Organizer
      European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) 2023
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research

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Published: 2022-11-17   Modified: 2024-12-25  

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