• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Incertitude in Disaster Sciences and Scientists' Responsibilities: A Case Study of the L'Aquila Earthquake Trial

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23510219
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Natural disaster science
Research InstitutionKeio University (2013-2014)
The University of Tokyo (2011-2012)

Principal Investigator

OKI Satoko  慶應義塾大学, 環境情報学部, 准教授 (40443337)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) NAKAYACHI Kazuya  同志社大学, 心理学部, 教授 (50212105)
YOKOYAMA Hiromi  東京大学大学院, 理学系研究科, 准教授 (50401708)
Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) KOKETSU Kazuki  東京大学, 地震研究所, 教授 (90134634)
Research Collaborator TOMARI Jiro  
KUWABARA Eiji  
Project Period (FY) 2011-04-28 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,590,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,290,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Keywords災害情報 / 地震災害 / イタリア裁判 / 科学コミュニケーション / リスク・コミュニケーション / 刑事裁判 / 刑事責任 / 災害科学 / コミュニケーション / 地震 / 災害 / 科学者 / ラクイラ地震 / イタリア / 津波 / 東日本大震災 / 東北地方太平洋沖地震 / 専門家
Outline of Final Research Achievements

What disaster sciences are expected by the society is to prevent or mitigate future natural disasters, and therefore it is necessary to foresee natural disasters. However, various constraints often make the foreseeing difficult so that there is a high incertitude in the social contribution of disaster sciences. If scientists overstep this limitation, they will be held even criminally responsible. The L'Aquila trial in Italy is such a recent example and so we have performed data collections, hearing investigations, analyses of the reasons for judgement, etc., to explore the incertitude of disaster sciences and scientists’ responsibilities. As a result, we concluded that the casualties during the L'Aquila earthquake were mainly due to a careless "safety declaration" by the vice-director of the Civil Protection Agency, where the incertitude of disaster sciences had never been considered. News media which reported only this "safety declaration" were also responsible for the casualties.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (24 results)

All 2015 2013 2012 2011 Other

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 1 results) Presentation (12 results) (of which Invited: 4 results) Book (6 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] ラクイラ地震裁判ー災害科学の不定性と科学者の責任ー2015

    • Author(s)
      纐纈一起・大木聖子
    • Journal Title

      科学技術社会論研究

      Volume: 11 Pages: 50-67

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] aradoxical effects of the record- high tsunamis caused by the 2011 Tohoku earthquake on public judgments of danger2012

    • Author(s)
      atoko OKI and Kazuya NAKAYACHI
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction

      Volume: 2 Pages: 37-45

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.ijdrr.2012.07.002

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 東日本大震災の巨大津波がもたらしたリスク判断への皮肉な効果2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Journal Title

      日本リスク研究学会第24回年次大会講演論文集

      Volume: 24 Pages: 97-102

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 巨大津波が西日本の住民にもたらしたリスク判断の逆説的影響2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Journal Title

      日本災害情報学会第13回研究発表大会予稿集

      Volume: 13 Pages: 321-326

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 地震学の限界と地震災害情報2011

    • Author(s)
      纐纈一起,大木聖子
    • Journal Title

      日本災害情報学会第13回研究発表大会予稿集

      Volume: 13 Pages: 127-132

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ラクイラ地震裁判を読み解く2013

    • Author(s)
      纐纈一起・大木聖子
    • Organizer
      地球惑星科学連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      千葉県幕張市
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ラクイラ地震裁判2013

    • Author(s)
      纐纈一起
    • Organizer
      科学技術社会論学会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Communication of Disaster Sciences; Possible Pitfalls of Science Communication2013

    • Author(s)
      atoko OKI and Kazuki KOKETSU
    • Organizer
      Public Communication of Science and Technology
    • Place of Presentation
      Christchurch, New Zealand
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] リスク・クライシス管理としての災害科学情報2012

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,纐纈一起
    • Organizer
      地球惑星科学連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ,千葉市
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 知識の獲得・防災意識の高揚・防災行動の関連性2012

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      函館市民会館,函館市
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Knowledge, awareness, and preparedness unlinked in layperson2012

    • Author(s)
      Satoko Oki, Kazuya Nakayachi
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] School Education Under the Limitations of Science: Cases for 2011 Tohoku Earthquake2012

    • Author(s)
      Satoko OKI and Kazuki KOKETSU
    • Organizer
      Asia Oceania Geosciences Society
    • Place of Presentation
      Singapore, Singapore
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 東日本大震災の巨大津波がもたらしたリスク判断への皮肉な効果2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Organizer
      日本リスク研究学会第24回年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      浜松市静岡大学浜松キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 巨大津波が西日本の住民にもたらしたリスク判断の逆説的影響2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Organizer
      日本災害情報学会第13回研究発表大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋市名古屋大学東山キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地震学の限界と地震災害情報2011

    • Author(s)
      纐纈一起,大木聖子
    • Organizer
      日本災害情報学会第13回研究発表大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋市名古屋大学東山キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 記録的巨大津波が西日本の住民に及ぼしたリスク認知の逆説的影響2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,中谷内一也
    • Organizer
      日本地震学会2011年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      静岡市静岡県コンベンションアーツセンター
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Ironic Effects of the Destructive Tsunami on Public Risk Judgment2011

    • Author(s)
      Satoko OKI, Kazuya NAKAYACHI
    • Organizer
      American Geophysical Union, 2011 Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, U.S.A.
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Book] Terremoti comunicazione diritto2015

    • Author(s)
      Alessandro Amato, Kazuki Koketsu, Satoko Oki
    • Publisher
      FrancoAngeli
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] これからどうする2013

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子
    • Total Pages
      150
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 科学2012

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子
    • Total Pages
      85
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] リスクの社会心理学2012

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子
    • Total Pages
      250
    • Publisher
      有斐閣
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 超巨大地震に迫る-日本列島で何が起きているのか2011

    • Author(s)
      大木聖子,纐纈一起
    • Total Pages
      205
    • Publisher
      NHK出版新書
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 大木聖子2011

    • Author(s)
      地球の声に耳をすませて-地震の正体を知り,命を守る
    • Total Pages
      143
    • Publisher
      くもん出版
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] ラクイラ地震 禁錮6年の有罪判決について(1)ー(7)

    • URL

      http://raytheory.jp/2012/10/201210_laquila1/

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi