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Nonlinearity and Steady-State Changes in DSGE models

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23730306
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Monetary economics
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

HIROSE Yasuo  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (50583663)

Project Period (FY) 2011 – 2013
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2013)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,290,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥990,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2011: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords動学的一般均衡モデル / 名目金利の非負制約 / 確率的トレンド / ベイズ推計 / マクロ経済学 / 金融政策 / DSGEモデル / ベイズ推定
Research Abstract

In the first project regarding dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with the zero lower bound constraint on the nominal interest rate, I examine how and to what extent parameter estimates can be biased in a DSGE model that ignores the existence of the zero lower bound. In the second project that employs DSGE models with stochastic trends, I propose a method to identify news shocks, which are anticipated by economic agents, and quantify the importance of such shocks in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2013 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • 2011 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (25 results)

All 2014 2013 2012 2011 Other

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Invited: 2 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (5 results)

  • [Journal Article] Indeterminacy and Forecastability2014

    • Author(s)
      Ippei Fujiwara, Yasuo Hirose
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Money, Credit and Banking

      Volume: 46(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 243-251

    • DOI

      10.1017/s1365100510001008

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report 2013 Final Research Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Do Investment-Specific Technological Changes Matter for Business Fluctuations? Evidence from Japan2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Journal Title

      Pacific Economic Review

      Volume: 17(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 208-230

    • DOI

      10.1111/j.1468-0106.2012.00580.x

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Effects of Bank of Japan's Liquidity Provision on the Year-End Premium2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose, Shinsuke Ohyama, and Ken Taniguchi
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 26(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 179-185

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2011.09.007

    • NAID

      210000188127

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report 2011 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Conference on Expectations in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models
    • Place of Presentation
      Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco(アメリカ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zero Lower Bound and Parameter Bias in an Estimated DSGE Model2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Atsushi Inoue
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Vancouver(カナダ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zero Lower Bound and Parameter Bias in an Estimated DSGE Model2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Atsushi Inoue
    • Organizer
      North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Southern California(アメリカ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Royal Economic Society Annual Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Royal Holloway, University of London(イギリス)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「世界金融危機の理論・実証・政策」
    • Place of Presentation
      法政大学(東京都小金井市)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Zero Lower Bound and Parameter Bias in an Estimated DSGE Model2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Atsushi Inoue
    • Organizer
      North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society
    • Place of Presentation
      南カリフォルニア大学(アメリカ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Zero Lower Bound and Parameter Bias in an Estimated DSGE Model2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Atsushi Inoue
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      バンクーバー(カナダ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Conference on Expectations in Dynamic Macroeconomic Models
    • Place of Presentation
      サンフランシスコ連邦準備銀行(アメリカ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      シンポジウム「世界金融危機の理論・実証・政策」
    • Place of Presentation
      法政大学(東京都小金井市)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2013

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Royal Economic Society Annual Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Royal Holloway, University of London(英国)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Prague(チェコ共和国)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Prague(チェコ共和国)
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Changes in the Federal Reserve Communication Strategy: A Structural Investigation2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      Crawford School Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Australian National University
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Identifying News Shocks with Forecast Data2012

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      RSE Macroeconomics Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      Australian National University
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Changes in the Federal Reserve Communication Strategy : A Structural Investigation2011

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco (アメリカ)
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Presentation] Changes in the Federal Reserve Communication Strategy: A Structural Investigation2011

    • Author(s)
      Yasuo Hirose and Takushi Kurozumi
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance
    • Place of Presentation
      Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report
  • [Book] DSGE モデルによるマクロ実証分析の方法2012

    • Author(s)
      廣瀬康生
    • Total Pages
      124
    • Publisher
      三菱経済研究所
    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/yasuohirose/

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://ideas.repec.org/e/phi84.html

    • Related Report
      2013 Final Research Report
  • [Remarks] 個人ホームページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/yasuohirose/

    • Related Report
      2013 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 個人ホームページ

    • URL

      https://sites.google.com/site/yasuohirose/

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://sites.google.com/site/yasuohirose/

    • Related Report
      2011 Research-status Report

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Published: 2011-08-05   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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