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Market-Based Emission Permits and Border Carbon Adjustments

Research Project

Project/Area Number 23K12460
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Review Section Basic Section 07040:Economic policy-related
Research InstitutionHitotsubashi University

Principal Investigator

Cheng Haitao  一橋大学, 社会科学高等研究院, 特任講師 (50906930)

Project Period (FY) 2023-04-01 – 2028-03-31
Project Status Granted (Fiscal Year 2024)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2027: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2026: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2025: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2024: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2023: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
KeywordsCarbon pricing / Carbon border adjustment / Abatement investments / Carbon leakage / International oligopoly / Emissions Trading / Border Carbon Adjustment / Pollution Haven / Carbon Leakage / Technology Transfer / border carbon adjustment / carbon markets / emission abatement / firm locations
Outline of Research at the Start

This project revisits border carbon adjustments in the presence of market-based emission permits. It analyzes how border carbon adjustments affect carbon prices, firms' investment in environmental R&D and location choices, countries' choices of emission permits, global emissions and welfare.

Outline of Annual Research Achievements

In FY2024, I analyzed the home country's unilateral carbon taxes and border tax adjustments (BTAs) when firms can abate emissions. According to the findings, carbon taxes may not be effective in decreasing global emissions. Interestingly, an increase in the carbon tax rate can increase global emissions. High tax rates may discourage emission abatement. With fixed firm locations, no BTAs or partial BTAs with carbon-content tariffs can be more effective in reducing global emissions than full BTAs. When firm locations are endogenous, firms tend to produce in the foreign country to avoid the home carbon tax with no BTAs. However, with BTAs, high tax rates do not necessarily induce foreign production. Global emissions could be largest in the middle range of the tax rate.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

As has been planned, I completed further analysis of this project.
I attended many conferences and workshops from which I received many useful comments and suggestions.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

In FY2025, I will consider emission permits rather than carbon taxes in my model. In addition, I will take into account the foreign country's environmental regulations. Finally, I will study how the two countries decide on their issuance of emission permits in the presence of border tax adjustments.

Report

(2 results)
  • 2024 Research-status Report
  • 2023 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2024 2023

All Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 4 results)

  • [Journal Article] Domestic versus international emissions trading with capital mobility2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Journal Title

      Resource and Energy Economics

      Volume: 77 Pages: 101433-101433

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.reseneeco.2024.101433

    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report 2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Consumption pollution and taxes with endogenous firm locations and different market sizes2023

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Journal Title

      International Tax and Public Finance

      Volume: 30 Issue: 6 Pages: 1601-1632

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10797-022-09768-4

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Assessing carbon emissions embodied in international trade based on shared responsibility2023

    • Author(s)
      Airebule Palizha、Cheng Haitao、Ishikawa Jota
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies

      Volume: 68 Pages: 101260-101260

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jjie.2023.101260

    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] An Introduction to Trade and the Environment2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Organizer
      2024 International Young Scholars Forum
    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Carbon Tax and Border Tax Adjustments with Technology and Location Choices2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao, Ishikawa Jota
    • Organizer
      Hitotsubashi-Gakushuin Conference on International Trade and FDI 2024
    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] International Emissions Trading with Asymmetric Environmental Assessments2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao, Ishikawa Jota
    • Organizer
      International Trade and FDI Workshop at Kushiro Public University of Economics
    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Carbon Tax and Border Tax Adjustments with Technology and Location Choices2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao, Ishikawa Jota
    • Organizer
      The Nineteenth Annual Meeting of the APTS
    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] International Transfers of Green Technology and Carbon Mitigation Outcomes2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao, Yanase Akihiko
    • Organizer
      Keio International Economics Workshop
    • Related Report
      2024 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] International Transfers of Green Technology and Carbon Mitigation Outcomes2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Organizer
      Symposium of the Japan Society of International Economics Kansai
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Carbon Tax and Border Tax Adjustments with Technology and Location Choices2024

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Organizer
      Seminar at Kobe University
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Domestic versus International Emissions Trading with Capital Mobility2023

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Organizer
      2023 Annual Meeting of the China Society of World Economics at Fudan University
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Domestic versus International Emissions Trading with Capital Mobility2023

    • Author(s)
      Cheng Haitao
    • Organizer
      International Trade and FDI Workshop at Shimane University
    • Related Report
      2023 Research-status Report

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Published: 2023-04-13   Modified: 2025-12-26  

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