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Time Series Modeling of Real Estate Prices: Theory and Evidence

Research Project

Project/Area Number 24510204
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionChuo University

Principal Investigator

ISHIJIMA Hiroshi  中央大学, その他の研究科, 教授 (20317308)

Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha) MAEDA Akira  東京大学, 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (30317309)
Project Period (FY) 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2012: ¥2,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥570,000)
Keywordsファイナンス / 不動産 / 不動産ファイナンス / 資産価格評価 / 時系列分析 / 混合効果モデル / Webアプリケーション / 資産価格評価理論 / 不動産と金融資産 / 動学的確率的一般均衡 / 金融工学 / 理論と実証 / リスクとリターン / インデックスと指数
Outline of Final Research Achievements

As real estate and financial asset markets are now merging, we need a theoretical foundation for analysis of real estate investments in conjunction with both domestic and international financial investments. This study presents a methodology for evaluating real estate values. Specifically, we extend a classical hedonic model to a sophisticated one that allows us to generate “implied” capital returns on real estate and to estimate risks and returns on real estate investments. The results of our theory and statistical analysis here highlight the role of real estate investments in contrast to that of financial securities.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2014 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2013 Research-status Report
  • 2012 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (22 results)

All 2015 2014 2013 2012 Other

All Journal Article (9 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 9 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (10 results) (of which Invited: 1 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] 不動産の価格とリスクの評価:我が国の住宅価格分析への応用2015

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 11(1) Pages: 20-40

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 不動産投資における市場リスクのファクターモデル2015

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会論文誌: 数理モデル化と応用

      Volume: 8

    • NAID

      110008791141

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Time series modelling of real estate prices2014

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi Ishijima and Akira Maeda
    • Journal Title

      Global Business and Economics Review

      Volume: 16(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 26-45

    • DOI

      10.1504/gber.2014.058075

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report 2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Real Estate Pricing Models: Theory, Evidence, and Implementation2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Journal Title

      Asia-Pacific Financial Markets

      Volume: Published Online Issue: 4 Pages: 369-396

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10690-013-9170-7

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 宅地価格時系列データの推計と投資収益性の計量分析2013

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章
    • Journal Title

      経済政策ジャーナル

      Volume: 10(2) Pages: 28-31

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report 2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 不動産価格とリターン時系列の理論と応用2013

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Journal Title

      ジャレフ・ジャーナル

      Volume: 6 Pages: 37-58

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Real Estate Price Modeling and Empirical Analysis2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Economic Policy Studies

      Volume: NA

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 個々の不動産に対する投資リターンの時系列の推定モデル2013

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会論文誌: 数理モデル化と応用

      Volume: 6(1) Pages: 90-101

    • NAID

      110009552322

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Time Series Modeling of Real Estate Prices and Its Application2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Journal Title

      Global Business and Economics Review

      Volume: NA

    • NAID

      40019257453

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Implied Returns on Real Estate Investment: Understanding its Risk-Return Profiles in Japanese Asset Allocation2013

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Organizer
      2013 AsRES (Asian Real Estate Society) International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto University
    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 個別不動産の投資リターン時系列の推定と応用2013

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(JAFEE) 2012 冬季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      筑波大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Implied Capital Returns on Investment in Less-Marketed Assets2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Organizer
      The 11th International Conference of the Japan Economic Policy Association
    • Place of Presentation
      Nagoya Gakuin University
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Time Series Modeling of Real Estate Prices and Its Application2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Organizer
      Business and Economics Society International July 2012 Conferences
    • Place of Presentation
      The Crowne Plaza Hotel Salzburg, Austria
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Log-mean Variance Portfolio Selection subject to Regime Switching Cross-correlation Risks2012

    • Author(s)
      Ishijima, H. and A. Maeda
    • Organizer
      7th Bachelier Finance Society World Congress 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      Hilton Sydney
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 不動産の価格とリターンの評価モデルと応用2012

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      大阪大学金融・保険教育研究センター (CSFI) 主催 中之島ワークショップ 金融工学・数理計量ファイナンスの諸問題 2012
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 個々の不動産に対する投資リターンの時系列の推定モデル2012

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Organizer
      情報処理学会 数理モデル化と問題解決研究会(MPS), 第90回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      小樽経済センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 不動産ファンダメンタル・ベータ: 不動産投資における市場リスクのファクターモデル2012

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Organizer
      日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(JAFEE) 2012 夏季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      成城大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ファイナンス研究と連動したWebサービスの可能性2012

    • Author(s)
      石島博
    • Organizer
      IT連携フォーラムOACIS第22回シンポジウム「金融工学と情報通信技術」
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 不動産キャピタル・リターンの推定2012

    • Author(s)
      石島博, 前田章, 谷山智彦
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会第20回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      一橋大学
    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 石島研究室

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 石島研究室

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2013 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 石島研究室HP

    • URL

      http://ilabfe.jp/

    • Related Report
      2012 Research-status Report

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Published: 2013-05-31   Modified: 2019-07-29  

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