| Project/Area Number |
25670294
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Exploratory Research
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Epidemiology and preventive medicine
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| Research Institution | The University of Tokyo |
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Principal Investigator |
STUART Gilmour 東京大学, 医学(系)研究科(研究院), 助教 (20608913)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2013-04-01 – 2015-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2014)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2013: ¥2,340,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥540,000)
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| Keywords | 疫学 / HIV / Epidemiology / Mathematical models / HIV/AIDS / 数理モデル |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
HIV and tuberculosis remain a major public health challenge in parts of sub-Saharan Africa and Asia. This study used new epidemiological techniques to assess the strategies being used for HIV control in sub-Saharan Africa. Data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) for 32 sub-Saharan African countries between 2000 and 2012 was analyzed using spatio-temporal regression to identify trends in HIV testing, and the trends compared against target rates of testing required to achieve elimination of new HIV infections by 2020. The study found that of the 32 countries, only 9 have exceeded the 2012 testing rate target, and one third of the countries are statistically significantly below this threshold, indicating that they are far below the level of testing coverage required to achieve HIV elimination. New and more effective strategies are needed in sub-Saharan Africa to achieve elimination and disease control goals.
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