Study of evacuation plan in metropolitan area concerning complex disaster

Research Project

Project/Area Number	25702018
Research Category	Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (A)
Allocation Type	Partial Multi-year Fund
Research Field	Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research Institution	Nagoya University
Principal Investigator	HIROI U 名古屋大学, 減災連携研究センター, 准教授 (50456141)
Project Period (FY)	2013-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status	Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help	¥15,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥11,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,570,000) Fiscal Year 2015: ¥5,070,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,170,000) Fiscal Year 2014: ¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000) Fiscal Year 2013: ¥5,460,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,260,000)
Keywords	都市防災 / 避難シミュレーション / 市街地火災 / 帰宅困難者 / 大都市 / 複合災害 / 大都市防災 / 避難行動
Outline of Final Research Achievements	we built "Evacuation Simulation in Metropolitan Area" for the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. The simulation can evaluate policies for stranded commuters and provide several risk maps of heavy traffic in catastrophic disaster, using decision making model and movement data in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area on the Great East-Japan Earthquake. As a result, if catastrophic disaster occurs and everyone goes home all together in metropolitan area, we calculated that heavy traffic will overload the trunk lines for many hours in wide area and huge people(for example, six people in a square meter) along some sidewalks.