National scale analysis on population distribution and movement using mobile phone data

• Project/Area Number: 26249074
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: The University of Tokyo
• Principal Investigator: Shibasaki Ryosuke 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 教授 (70206126)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): 瀬崎 薫 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 教授 (10216541) ; 関本 義秀 東京大学, 生産技術研究所, 准教授 (60356087) ; 渡辺 知保 東京大学, 医学(系)研究科(研究院), 教授 (70220902)
• Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha): Kanasugi Hiroshi 東京大学, 地球観測データ統融合連携研究機構, 特任研究員 (00526907) ; Arai Ayumi 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 特任研究員 (10788574) ; Apichon Witayangkurn 東京大学, 空間情報科学研究センター, 特任助教 (90726407)
• Project Period (FY): 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
• Budget Amount: ¥41,470,000 (Direct Cost: ¥31,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥9,570,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥11,960,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,760,000); Fiscal Year 2015: ¥12,740,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥2,940,000); Fiscal Year 2014: ¥16,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥12,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥3,870,000)
• Keywords: 携帯電話データ / データ解析 / 人口分布 / 人流 / バングラデシュ / 災害対応 / 携帯電話 / 位置情報解析 / 国土計画 / CDRデータ / 属性推定 / 人口統計 / 途上国 / 人口動態 / 移動解析 / 不健康問題

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Population distribution and its movement is a key information for better informed decision-making in disaster risk management, transportation　planning and environmental conservation. Using mobile phone systems, we could estimate the distribution and movement of population. The estimation with mobile phone data will have a significant impact to and make contributions to society.
This study, keeping global scale applications in mind, develops a series of methodologies of estimating the distribution and movement of population at national scale using mobile phone data or CDR (Call Detail Record) data. The methodologies include a spatio-temporal interpolation method of CDR data, a method of estimating demographic attributes to create Dynamic Census data.　The methodologies are implemented as a system that could be easily transplanted. Finally the system are applied to mobile phone data of Bangladesh (27 million subscribers). Population distribution and movement were successfully estimated.

Research Products

• [Int'l Joint Research] BUET(Bangladesh)
• [Int'l Joint Research] LIRNE Asia(Sri Lanka)
• [Int'l Joint Research] BUET(Bangladesh)
• [Int'l Joint Research] LIRNE Asia(Sri Lanka)
• [Journal Article] Comparative perspective of human behavior patterns to uncover ownership bias among mobile phone users. (2016)
  • Author(s): Arai, Ayumi, Zipei Fan, Dunstan Matekenya, and Ryosuke Shibasaki.
  • Journal Title: ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 5 Volume: 5
  • DOI: 10.3390/ijgi5060085
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Identification of Village Building via Google Earth Images and Supervised Machine Learning Methods (2016)
  • Author(s): Guo, Z., Shao, X., Xu, Y., Miyazaki, H., Ohira, W., Shibasaki, R
  • Journal Title: Remote Sensing Volume: 8 Pages: 271-285
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Reviews of Geospatial Information Technology and Collaborative Data Delivery for Disaster Risk Management (2015)
  • Author(s): Miyazaki, H., Nagai, M., Shibasaki, R.
  • Journal Title: ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information Volume: 4 Pages: 1936-1964
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Journal Article] Understanding Tourist Behavior Using Large-scale Mobile Sensing Approach: A Case Study Of Mobile Phone Users In Japan (2014)
  • Author(s): Phithakkitnukoon, S., Horanont, T., Witayangkurn, A., Siri, R., Sekimoto, Y., and Shibasaki R.
  • Journal Title: Pervasive and Mobile Computing Volume: 1 Pages: 1-22
  • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] CityCoupling: bridging intercity human mobility (2016)
  • Author(s): Zipei Fan, Xuan Song, Ryosuke Shibasaki, Tao Li, and Hodaka Kaneda
  • Organizer: Proceedings of the 2016 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing (UbiComp '16)
  • Place of Presentation: Heidelberg, Germany
  • Year and Date: 2016-09-12
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] A Collaborative Filtering Approach to Citywide Human Mobility Completion from Sparse Call Records (2016)
  • Author(s): Z. Fan, A. Arai, X. Song, A. Witayangkurn, H. Kanasugi, R. Shibasaki
  • Organizer: Proc. of 25th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI)
  • Place of Presentation: New York, USA
  • Year and Date: 2016-07-09
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Transportation Melting Pot Dhaka: Road-link Based Traffic Volume Estimation from Sparse CDR Data (2015)
  • Author(s): Hasegawa, Y., Sekimoto, Y., Kashiyama, T., Kanasugi, Y.
  • Organizer: Urb-IoT 2014,2015/10/28
  • Place of Presentation: Boston USA
  • Year and Date: 2015-10-28
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Reconstruction of People Flow in Areas of Incomplete Data Availability (2015)
  • Author(s): Xu, Y., Shibasaki, R., Shao, X.
  • Organizer: IEEE 18th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems
  • Place of Presentation: Canary Islands, Spain
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-15
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Real-time Passenger Location Estimation Using CDRs and Train Objects Generated from Crowdsourced Timetables (2015)
  • Author(s): Kanno, T., Kanasugi, H., Sekimoto, Y., Shibasaki, R.
  • Organizer: Adjunct Proceedings of the 2015 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing and Proceedings of the 2015 ACM International Symposium on Wearable Computers,
  • Place of Presentation: グランフロント大阪（大阪府,大阪市）
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-07
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] CityMomentum: an Online Approach for Crowd Behavior Prediction at a Citywide Level (2015)
  • Author(s): Fan, Z., Song, X., Shibasaki, R., Adachi. R.
  • Organizer: Proceedings of the 2015 ACM International Joint Conference on Pervasive and Ubiquitous Computing
  • Place of Presentation: グランフロント大阪（大阪府,大阪市）
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-07
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Understanding User Attributes from Calling Behavior: Exploring Call Detail Records through Field Observations and Potential of Estimating User Attributes of Anonymized Call Records (2015)
  • Author(s): Arai, A., Witayangkurn, Kanasugi, H., A., Horanont, T., Shao, X., Shibasaki, R.
  • Organizer: NetMob 2015
  • Place of Presentation: Boston USA
  • Year and Date: 2015-04-07
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Estimate of Human Demographic Attributes Using Person Flow Dataset (2014)
  • Author(s): Nishimura, T., Akiyama, Y., Kanasugi, Y., Horanont, T., Shibasaki, R., Sekimoto, Y.
  • Organizer: The International Symposium on City Planning 2014,2014/11/07
  • Place of Presentation: Hanoi Vietnam
  • Year and Date: 2014-11-07
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Prediction of human emergency behavior and their mobility following large-scale disaster (2014)
  • Author(s): Song, X., Zhang, Q., Sekimoto, Y., Shibasaki, R.
  • Organizer: Proc. of 20th SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining(KDD 2014),p5-14,2014/08/27
  • Place of Presentation: New york USA
  • Year and Date: 2014-08-27
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Intelligent System for Urban Emergency Management During Large-scale Disaster (2014)
  • Author(s): Song, X., Zhang, Q., Sekimoto, Y., Shibasaki, R.
  • Organizer: AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence(AAAI)2014
  • Place of Presentation: Atlantic City USA
  • Year and Date: 2014-06-30
  • Int'l Joint Research