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Interaction between financial and fiscal crises, contagion effects and desirable policy response

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26285059
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionKeio University

Principal Investigator

IKEO Kazuhito  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (00135930)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 土居 丈朗  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60302783)
小林 慶一郎  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (60371184)
寺井 公子  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (80350213)
別所 俊一郎  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (90436741)
北尾 早霧  慶應義塾大学, 経済学部, 教授 (50769958)
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥13,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥4,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥4,160,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥960,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥6,630,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,530,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥6,760,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,560,000)
Keywords経済危機 / 危機管理対応 / コンティジョン / 金融システム / 財政健全化 / コンテイジョン
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We quantitatively evaluated the effect of institutional reforms necessary to avoid the outbreak of fiscal crisis and also considered the fiscal problems from political-economic viewpoint. Contagion from a fiscal crisis to a financial crisis could be caused by the chain that in a fiscal crisis, the collapse of government bond prices inevitably occurs and balance sheets such as banks are seriously damaged since financial institutions such as banks hold a large amount of government bonds. It was pointed out that the implementation of large-scale accommodative monetary policy in recent years has transformed the character of this chain. Moreover, it was showed that the swollenness of outstanding government bonds had depressive effects on the economy even if it did not arrive at a fiscal crisis.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Annual Research Report
  • 2014 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (51 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (25 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 10 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 7 results) Presentation (17 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 6 results,  Invited: 4 results) Book (8 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] カリフォルニア大学アーバイン校(米国)

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本の金融の現状を考える2017

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Journal Title

      月刊資本市場

      Volume: 通巻377号 Pages: 24-31

    • NAID

      40021069592

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Strategic Delegation When Public Inputs for a Global Good Are Imperfect Substitutes2017

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura, Yukihiro, and Kimiko Terai
    • Journal Title

      International Tax and Public Finance

      Volume: 24 Issue: 1 Pages: 96-111

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10797-016-9411-6

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Is Abe's fiscal policy loose or tight?2017

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi
    • Journal Title

      Asian Economic Policy Review

      Volume: 13

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Tax incidence in base shifting from corporate income to labor cost2017

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 近刊

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Do benefits in kind or refunds affect health service utilization and health outcomes? A natural experiment from Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      Takaku, Reo and Shun-ichiro Bessho
    • Journal Title

      Health Policy

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 5 Pages: 534-542

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.healthpol.2017.02.016

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 東日本大震災に伴う医療費一部負担金の免除施策が被災地の医療サービス利用にあたえた影響:自然実験2017

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 17-J-004 Pages: 1-75

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The Direction of Strategic Delegation and Voter Welfare in Asymmetric Tax Competition Models2016

    • Author(s)
      Nishimura, Yukihiro, and Kimiko Terai
    • Journal Title

      Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University

      Volume: No. 16-27 Pages: 1-12

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Heterogeneity and Redistribution in Financial Crises2016

    • Author(s)
      Keiichiro Kobayashi and Daichi Shirai
    • Journal Title

      Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press

      Volume: 20 Pages: 1527-1549

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] When Do We Start? Pension reform in aging Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      北尾早霧
    • Journal Title

      RIETI Discussion Paper

      Volume: 16-E-077 Pages: 1-21

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Case study of central and local government finance in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Journal Title

      ADBI Working Papers

      Volume: No. 599 Pages: 1-26

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 金融グローバル化の30年 -回顧と展望-2016

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Journal Title

      保険学雑誌

      Volume: 632号 Pages: 31-47

    • NAID

      130005171883

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 日本経済の展望2016

    • Author(s)
      小林慶一郎
    • Journal Title

      月刊資本市場

      Volume: 1月号 Pages: 30-36

    • NAID

      40020717659

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Out-of-pocket payments and community-wide health outcomes: an examination of influenza vaccination subsidies in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Ibuka, Yoko and Shun-ichiro Bessho
    • Journal Title

      Health Economics, Policy and Law

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 3 Pages: 275-302

    • DOI

      10.1017/s1744133116000037

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Vaccination policy of Japanese municipalities2016

    • Author(s)
      Bessho, Shun-ichiro and Yoko Ibuka
    • Journal Title

      慶應義塾大学経済研究所Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: 2016-004 Pages: 1-24

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 金融規制の新たなアーキテクチャー2015

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Journal Title

      ファイナンシャルレビュー

      Volume: 125号 Pages: 144-167

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 資本生産性の時代2015

    • Author(s)
      小林慶一郎
    • Journal Title

      証券アナリストジャーナル

      Volume: 6月号 Pages: 5-14

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] データからみたアベノミクス2015

    • Author(s)
      小林慶一郎
    • Journal Title

      月刊文藝春秋

      Volume: 12月号 Pages: 73-81

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Principal-Agent Problems When Principal Allocates a Budget2015

    • Author(s)
      Kimiko Terai, Amihai Glazer
    • Journal Title

      Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series

      Volume: DP2015-012 Pages: 1-48

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Subsidies for influenza vaccination, vaccination rates, and health outcomes among the elderly in Japan.2015

    • Author(s)
      Yoko Ibuka and Shun-ichiro Bessho
    • Journal Title

      Japan and the World Economy

      Volume: 36 Pages: 56-66

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.japwor.2015.07.001

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Fiscal adjustment in Japanese municipalities2015

    • Author(s)
      Bessho, Shun-ichiro and Hikaru Ogawa
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Comparative Economics

      Volume: - Issue: 4 Pages: 1053-1068

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jce.2014.10.007

    • NAID

      120005300015

    • Description
      【掲載確定】 印刷中
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 公的金融と民間金融の役割分担再論2015

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗
    • Journal Title

      証券アナリストジャーナル

      Volume: 53(1) Pages: 30-42

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] On the optimality of the Friedman rule in a new monetarist model2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiraguchi, Ryoji, and Keiichiro Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Economics Letters

      Volume: forthcoming

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Multiplicity of the monetary steady state2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiraguchi, Ryoji, and Keiichiro Kobayashi
    • Journal Title

      Economics Letters

      Volume: forthcoming

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 2年目のアベノミクスと日本経済2014

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Journal Title

      証券アナリストジャーナル

      Volume: 52(12) Pages: 68-77

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 予算編成と財政規律2014

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子
    • Journal Title

      ECO-FORUM

      Volume: 29 Pages: 11-17

    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Hospitals, Patients and Politics: Political Cycles in Public Hospital Management2017

    • Author(s)
      Shun-ichiro Bessho
    • Organizer
      マックスプランク研究所 Public Policy Workshop 2
    • Place of Presentation
      ミュンヘン(ドイツ)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] How a Corrupt Official Can Increase His Budget2016

    • Author(s)
      Terai, Kimiko, and Amihai Glazer
    • Organizer
      International Symposium of Urban Economics and Public Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学(大阪府吹田市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-22
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Principal-Agent Problems When Principal Allocates a Budget2016

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子
    • Organizer
      The 2016 Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society
    • Place of Presentation
      フライブルク(ドイツ)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Principal-Agent Problems When Allocating a Budget2016

    • Author(s)
      Terai, Kimiko, and Amihai Glazer
    • Organizer
      ヨーロッパ公共選択学会
    • Place of Presentation
      フライブルク(ドイツ)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Principal-Agent Problems When Principal Allocates a Budget2016

    • Author(s)
      Terai, Kimiko, and Amihai Glazer
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県名古屋市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Debt-ridden borrowers and productivity slowdown2016

    • Author(s)
      Kei-ichiro Kobayashi
    • Organizer
      2016 European Meeting of the Economic Society
    • Place of Presentation
      ジュネーヴ(スイス)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Policy Uncertainty and the Cost of Delaying Social Security Reform2016

    • Author(s)
      北尾早霧
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県名古屋市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 高齢化と社会保障改革のマクロモデル分析2016

    • Author(s)
      北尾早霧
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京都新宿区)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Changing Corporate Behavior by Corporate Tax Reform in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Takero Doi
    • Organizer
      22nd International Panel Data Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      フリーマントル(オーストラリア)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Vaccination policy of Japanese municipalities2016

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県名古屋市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 医療費減免と医療サービス消費: 2013年度宮城県での自然実験2016

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都産業大学(京都府京都市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 子ども手当、扶養控除と家計の労働供給2016

    • Author(s)
      別所俊一郎
    • Organizer
      公的統計のミクロデータ等を用いた研究の新展開
    • Place of Presentation
      統計数理研究所(東京都立川市)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 金融グローバル化の30年 -回顧と展望-2015

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Organizer
      日本保険学会全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学(東京都、港区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-25
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Insufficient Experimentation Because Agents Herd2015

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子
    • Organizer
      The 2015 Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society
    • Place of Presentation
      フローニンゲン(オランダ)
    • Year and Date
      2015-04-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 予算過程におけるエージェンシー問題2014

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 量的・質的金融緩和の導入から1年- 中間評価2014

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会
    • Place of Presentation
      慶應義塾大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-24
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Budgets under Delegation2014

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子
    • Organizer
      The 2014 Annual Meeting of the European Public Choice Society
    • Place of Presentation
      ケンブリッジ市(イギリス)
    • Year and Date
      2014-04-05
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 財政と民主主義2017

    • Author(s)
      加藤創太、小林慶一郎(編著)
    • Total Pages
      311
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版社
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 日本経済再生25年の計2017

    • Author(s)
      池尾和人、 幸田博人(編著)
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版社
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 激論 マイナス金利政策2016

    • Author(s)
      日本経済研究センター(編)、うち第10章を池尾和人が執筆
    • Total Pages
      408
    • Publisher
      日本経済新聞出版社
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 私たちと公共経済2015

    • Author(s)
      寺井公子、肥前洋一
    • Total Pages
      277
    • Publisher
      有斐閣
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report 2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] 社会保障改革しか道はない -2025年度に向けた7つの目標-2015

    • Author(s)
      土居丈朗・鶴光太郎・井伊雅子・小塩隆士・西沢和彦・柳川範之
    • Total Pages
      73
    • Publisher
      総合研究開発機構
    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] The Political Economy of Fiscal Consolidation in Japan2015

    • Author(s)
      Toshihiro Ihori, Hideki Konishi, Ryuta Kato, Masumi Kawade, Nobuo Akai, Hiroki Kondo, Takero Doi, Kimiko Terai, Amihai Glazer, et al.
    • Total Pages
      195
    • Publisher
      Springer Japan
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ジャパン・クライシス~ハイパーインフレがこの国を滅ぼす2014

    • Author(s)
      橋爪大三郎、小林慶一郎
    • Total Pages
      304
    • Publisher
      筑摩書房
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report
  • [Book] ソーシャルデザインで社会的孤立を防ぐ2014

    • Author(s)
      藤本健太郎編、小林慶一郎
    • Total Pages
      250
    • Publisher
      ミネルヴァ書房
    • Related Report
      2014 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2022-02-16  

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