Statistical analysis of an influenza infection system
Project/Area Number |
26330045
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
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Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Section | 一般 |
Research Field |
Statistical science
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Research Institution | Kyoto University (2016-2017) Oita University (2014-2015) |
Principal Investigator |
Eshima Nobuooki 京都大学, 高大接続・入試センター, 特定教授 (20203630)
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Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
徳丸 治 大分大学, 福祉健康科学部, 教授 (40360151)
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Project Period (FY) |
2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
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Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
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Budget Amount *help |
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
|
Keywords | インフルエンザ / サーベイランスデータ / ワクチン接種 / 一般化線形モデル / パス分析 / ワクチン / サーベイランス / RSウイルス感染症 / 傾向性検定 / 感染症 / 感染の性年齢差 / 小児感染症 / 一般化線型モデル / パス解析 / 感染症流行モデル / 定点観測データ解析 / 競争方程式 / 微分方程式 / 差分方程式 |
Outline of Final Research Achievements |
The present study has been made to analyze the influenza surveillance data in 1999/2000 to 2017/2018 influenza seasons in Japan and to develop a statistical method for analyzing causal relationships among variables. The influenza vaccine efficacy and effectiveness cannot be examined from reported influenza-like illness (ILI) patient and vaccine dose data; however, it is statistically concluded that reported ILI patient data have an increasing trend, despite a rigorously increasing practice of influenza vaccination in Japan. The result may come from the methods of vaccine administration and/or environments in Japan. In order to control the infection, it is concluded that the vaccine efficacy and effectiveness must be studied over flu seasons and also, we have to clarify the cause of the contradictory phenomenon shown in the ILI patient surveillance and flu vaccine data in Japan. A basic method of path analysis has been made in view of entropy.
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Report
(5 results)
Research Products
(16 results)
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[Journal Article] Tooth loss, swallowing dysfunction and mortality in Japanese older adults receiving home care services2017
Author(s)
Furuta, M., Takeuchi, K., Adachi, M., Kinoshita, T., Eshima, N., Akifusa, S., Kikutani, T., Yamashita, Y.
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Journal Title
Geriatrics & Gerontology International
Volume: -
Issue: 6
Pages: 873-880
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed
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[Journal Article] Relationship between increases in BMI and changes in periodontal status: a prospective cohort study2015
Author(s)
Ekuni D, Mizutani S, Kojima A, Tomofuji T, Irie K, Azuma T, Yoneda T, Furuta M, Eshima N, Iwasaki Y, Morita M
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Journal Title
Journal of Clinical Peridontology,
Volume: 41
Issue: 8
Pages: 772-778
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
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[Journal Article] Gender differences in the association between metabolic syndrome and periodontal disease: the Hisayama Study.2013
Author(s)
Furuta M, Shimazaki Y, Takeshita T, Shibata Y, Akifusa S, Eshima N, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T, Hirakawa Y, Mukai N, Nagata M, Yamashita Y.
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Journal Title
J Clin Periodontol
Volume: 40
Issue: 8
Pages: 743-752
DOI
Related Report
Peer Reviewed
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