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Application of bivariate degradation analysis for prediction of remaining capacity of Lithium ion secondary battery

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26350472
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionThe University of Electro-Communications (2016)
独立行政法人高齢・障害・求職者雇用支援機構職業能力開発総合大学校(能力開発院、基盤整備センター) (2014-2015)

Principal Investigator

Yokogawa Shinji  電気通信大学, i-パワードエネルギー・システム研究センター, 准教授 (40718532)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥3,510,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥810,000)
Keywordsリチウムイオン二次電池 / 劣化予測 / 故障解析 / 充放電劣化 / 待機劣化 / 線形混合効果モデル / 信頼性 / 2変量ストレス / 劣化 / 混合効果モデル / 特徴量 / ニューラルネットワーク / 予測 / ハザード / 故障モード / トップ事象モード / 影響・危害 / 二変量ストレス / タイムスケール
Outline of Final Research Achievements

A prediction model for capacity degradation of Lithium-ion secondary battery (LiB) under practical use conditions was developed based on two degradation mechanisms, which are cycle stress and calendar stress, and their interaction.
Multiple physical and chemical reactions in the LiBs that contribute to the capacity degradation were observed with the experiment. By modeling the capacity degradation with the power law as the fixed effects and modeling the individual variations as the random effects, the linear mixed effect model can be applied to the prediction obtaining a highly accurate prediction.
Proposed model can give the highly accurate predictions corresponding to changes in use conditions under long-term usages.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (20 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (15 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Invited: 1 results) Patent(Industrial Property Rights) (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Two-step probability plot for parameter estimation of lifetime distribution affected by defect clustering in time-dependent dielectric breakdown2017

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Yokogawa
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Applied Physics

      Volume: 56

    • NAID

      210000148113

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] トラブル予測表を用いた故障モード予測方法と信頼性・安全性の作りこみ評価指標の提案2016

    • Author(s)
      山崎 雄大,横川慎二, 鈴木和幸
    • Journal Title

      日本信頼性学会誌

      Volume: 38 Pages: 271-283

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A simulation study for lifetime distribution of time-dependent dielectric breakdown in middle-of-line affected by global and local space variations2016

    • Author(s)
      Yokogawa, S.
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Applied Physics

      Volume: 55 Issue: 6S3 Pages: 06JF02-06JF02

    • DOI

      10.7567/jjap.55.06jf02

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Statistical characteristics of lifetime distribution based on the defect clustering for time-dependent dielectric breakdown in middle- and back-end-of-line2015

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Yokogawa
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Journal of Applied Physics

      Volume: 54 Issue: 5S Pages: 05EC02-05EC02

    • DOI

      10.7567/jjap.54.05ec02

    • NAID

      210000145173

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Impacts of Censoring on Lifetime Analysis by 2-step Probability Plot in Defect Clustered TDDB2017

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Yokogawa
    • Organizer
      IEEE International Reliability Physics Symposium
    • Place of Presentation
      Monterey, USA
    • Year and Date
      2017-04-02
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 半導体集積回路配線の信頼性課題と寿命予測2017

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      第64回応用物理学会春季学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県・横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-14
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 信頼性の寿命分布に関する最近の動向ーばらつきとクラスタリングー2016

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      第26回RCJ電子デバイスの信頼性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      太田区産業プラザ(東京都・大田区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-30
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] A simple method of parameter estimating for time-dependent clustering model in MOL/BEOL TDDB lifetime2016

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Yokogawa
    • Organizer
      Advanced Metallization Conference 2016: 26th Asian Session
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo University (Tokyo)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-20
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の劣化における充放電サイクルと待機時間の影響2016

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二, 長野祐児
    • Organizer
      第24回日本信頼性学会春季信頼性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      日本科学技術連盟(東京都・杉並区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-23
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の劣化における充放電サイクル数と待機時間の影響2016

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二, 長野祐児
    • Organizer
      日本信頼性学会春季信頼性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京, 新宿区
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の製品事故におけるトップ事象モードに着目した未然防止に関する一考察2015

    • Author(s)
      長野祐児, 横川慎二
    • Organizer
      日本信頼性学会秋季信頼性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京, 新宿区
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Virtual Grid for Renewable Energy Society2015

    • Author(s)
      H. Ichikawa, A. Ahmed, H. Hanafusa, S. Yokogawa, Y. Kawakita, K. Sawada, H. Mikami, N. Yoshikawa
    • Organizer
      IEEE ISGT Asia 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Bangkok, Thailand
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A simulation study of impacts of global and local space variations on lifetime distribution in MOL/BEOL TDDB2015

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Yokogawa
    • Organizer
      Advanced Metallization Conference 25th Asian Session
    • Place of Presentation
      Korea, Seoul
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-19
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 社会インフラの老朽化による事故とその未然防止への一考察2015

    • Author(s)
      藤田進, 横川慎二, 鈴木和幸
    • Organizer
      日科技連信頼性保全性シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京, 千代田区
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-16
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の再利用における信頼性の課題2015

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      日本品質管理学会第107回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京, 東高円寺
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の再利用における信頼性の課題2015

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      日本品質管理学会第107回研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都・杉並区・日本科学技術連盟
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 二次電池のリユースに関する信頼性・安全性の課題と信頼度予測について2015

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      電気通信大学情報システム学研究科シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都・調布市・電気通信大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池の充放電による容量劣化の予測に関する一考察2014

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      2014年度日本信頼性学会秋季シンポジウム
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都・渋谷区・日本科学技術連盟
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] リチウムイオン二次電池における充放電特性の温度依存性検証2014

    • Author(s)
      横川慎二
    • Organizer
      第22回職業能力開発研究発表講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京都・小平市・職業能力開発総合大学校
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-17 – 2014-10-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Patent(Industrial Property Rights)] 蓄電池管理システム、蓄電池情報サーバ、充放電制御装置及び蓄電池2015

    • Inventor(s)
      市川晴久、川喜田佑介、澤田賢治、横川慎二
    • Industrial Property Rights Holder
      市川晴久、川喜田佑介、澤田賢治、横川慎二
    • Industrial Property Rights Type
      特許
    • Industrial Property Number
      2015-150389
    • Filing Date
      2015-07-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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